Fidelity’s director predicts Bitcoin will enter bear market in 2026, bottoming near $65K

Photo: Inked Pixels

Fidelity’s director predicts Bitcoin will enter bear market in 2026, bottoming near $65K

Analyst points to recurring four-year cycles as Bitcoin’s price action remains tied to historic market patterns and halvings.

Vivian Nguyen

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Updated 1:24 p.m. ET

Bitcoin may have wrapped up its halving-cycle bull run and could enter a cooling period in 2026, predicted Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro at Fidelity Investments.

The macro strategist suggested that Bitcoin could revisit the $65,000 to $70,000 range following the recent cycle peak, which saw the price reach $126,000. He still expects Bitcoin to rise in the long run.

Timmer previously noted that Bitcoin’s trend setup lagged behind gold’s, with indicators placing the two assets at opposite extremes. While this could eventually create a mean-reversion opportunity, he repeatedly said the timing was premature.

The analyst also pointed out that cycle highs are less extreme as adoption matures.

Bitcoin changed hands above $88,000 at press time, experiencing major price swings over the past few weeks amid investor caution ahead of year-end, per CoinGecko.

Fidelity’s director predicts Bitcoin will enter bear market in 2026, bottoming near $65K

Fidelity’s director predicts Bitcoin will enter bear market in 2026, bottoming near $65K

Analyst points to recurring four-year cycles as Bitcoin’s price action remains tied to historic market patterns and halvings.

by Vivian Nguyen | Powered by Gloria

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Photo: Inked Pixels

Bitcoin may have wrapped up its halving-cycle bull run and could enter a cooling period in 2026, predicted Jurrien Timmer, Director of Global Macro at Fidelity Investments.

The macro strategist suggested that Bitcoin could revisit the $65,000 to $70,000 range following the recent cycle peak, which saw the price reach $126,000. He still expects Bitcoin to rise in the long run.

Timmer previously noted that Bitcoin’s trend setup lagged behind gold’s, with indicators placing the two assets at opposite extremes. While this could eventually create a mean-reversion opportunity, he repeatedly said the timing was premature.

The analyst also pointed out that cycle highs are less extreme as adoption matures.

Bitcoin changed hands above $88,000 at press time, experiencing major price swings over the past few weeks amid investor caution ahead of year-end, per CoinGecko.