The chipmaker's HBM production is completely sold out through the end of 2026, fueling a revenue surge that has Wall Street recalibrating its models
Micron Technology projected fiscal year 2026 revenue exceeding $50 billion, a figure that sailed past analyst expectations.
The numbers behind the hype
Micron’s fiscal second quarter of 2026 delivered $23.86 billion in revenue. That’s a 196% increase year-over-year.
The engine behind this surge is high-bandwidth memory, or HBM. These are the specialized chips that AI data centers devour in enormous quantities to power everything from large language models to image generators.
Every unit of HBM that Micron can produce through the end of calendar year 2026 has already been claimed. Sold out. Zero availability.
Gross margins tell an equally compelling story. Micron guided for approximately 81% gross margins in the upcoming fiscal third quarter.
CEO Sanjay Mehrotra has pointed to these unprecedented shortages in AI memory as a dynamic likely to persist well into 2026, suggesting that the supply-demand imbalance isn’t a temporary blip but a structural feature of the current market.
From cyclical laggard to trillion-dollar company
Micron crossed the $1 trillion market cap threshold in May 2026.
Capital expenditure for fiscal year 2026 is expected to exceed $25 billion, with further increases planned for fiscal year 2027.
Micron sits alongside SK Hynix and Samsung as one of only three companies in the world capable of manufacturing advanced HBM at scale.
What this means for investors
Micron’s fiscal third quarter earnings are expected around June 24, 2026, with analysts projecting quarterly revenues in the neighborhood of $35 billion.
