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Bitcoin tumbles 50% amid geopolitical tensions; $STRC down 5%
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
Bitcoin tumbles 50% amid geopolitical tensions; $STRC down 5%
▲ Bitcoin price predictions for may
100% (was 17%, ▲83¢ in 4d)
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for june 5: 16% FLAT
YES ▲83¢
Bitcoin price predictions for may
1 article
· 4d ago
100%
▲83¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for june 5 16% FLAT
NO ▲33¢
OpenAI IPO timeline
3 articles
· 2h ago
10%
▼33¢
⚡ OpenAI valuation by december 31 24% FLAT
OpenAI files confidential IPO, market eyes December 2026 for public debut
OpenAI confidentially files for IPO, eyes December 2026 public offering
Anthropic files IPO paperwork, aims to outpace OpenAI in public-market race
NO ▲19¢
Solana price predictions for june 4
1 article
· 5d ago
36%
▼19¢
⚡ Hyperliquid price predictions for 2026 55% FLAT
Hyperliquid’s HYPE overtakes Solana in price as SOL hits 2023 lows
YES ▲15¢
Bitcoin price on june 9
6 articles
· 2d ago
85%
▲15¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on june 10 84% FLAT
Bitcoin, Ethereum see largest weekly drop since FTX, market cap down $390B
✓ 33d Bitcoin erases gains since Trump’s reelection, falls below $60K
Bitcoin drops below $61,000, losing $18,000 in 10 days
NO ▲13¢
Ethereum price june 1-7
2 articles
· 4d ago
31%
▼13¢
⚡ Ethereum price on june 5 30% FLAT
Ethereum faces $547M liquidation risk as price nears critical levels
Bixin Pool CEO buys back Ethereum at $1,645, anticipates short-term rebound
YES ▲8¢
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
2 articles
· 16h ago
100%
▲8¢
Anthropic to release public version of Mythos AI model tomorrow
ICE Markets, NYSE join Anthropic AI’s Project Glasswing for AI-secured infrastructure
YES ▲5¢
Iranian demands Trump will agree to by june 30
4 articles
· 22h ago
26%
▲5¢
⚡ Countries sending warships through hormuz by june 30 11% FLAT
Trump says Iran deal ‘very close,’ could impact troop withdrawal
Trump: US naval blockade of Iran to continue until final deal
✓ 83d Iran threatens full Strait of Hormuz shutdown after missile attacks on US bases
NO ▲5¢
Trump project freedom restart
1 article
· 2d ago
10%
▼5¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 15% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz normal traffic 1% FLAT
US downs Iranian drones threatening maritime traffic in Strait of Hormuz
NO ▲5¢
Anthropic valuation by december 31
3 articles
· 2d ago
7%
▼5¢
⚡ Second best AI model by june 2026 64% FLAT
Anthropic secures $35B from Apollo, Blackstone to boost AI development
Apollo, Blackstone finalize $35B funding for Anthropic’s AI infrastructure growth
Anthropic files for IPO, citing high AI model development costs
NO ▲5¢
Bitcoin price predictions for june
2 articles
· 5d ago
3%
▼5¢
⚡ Bitcoin above on june 6 43% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price on june 7 0% FLAT
Bitcoin price drops to $60k, triggering $1.7B in crypto liquidations
Bitcoin falls below $64,000, triggers $1.1B in liquidations
NO ▲5¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 5d ago
13%
▼5¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 6% FLAT
✓ 375d House rebukes Trump, limits military action in Iran
YES ▲4¢
Trump Iran ceasefire announcement
1 article
· 5h ago
26%
▲4¢
Trump announces imminent Middle East ceasefire amid weekend hostilities
YES ▲4¢
SpaceX valuation by june 30
1 article
· 4d ago
50%
▲4¢
⚡ SpaceX IPO closing market cap ranges 1% FLAT
⚡ SpaceX IPO market cap predictions 0% FLAT
SpaceX to go public next week, potential windfall for employees: WSJ
YES ▲4¢
Maine democratic Senate primary
1 article
· 4d ago
99%
▲4¢
Abuse and Nazi tattoo allegations shake Maine Senate candidate Platner’s campaign
NO ▲3¢
SpaceX IPO funding ranges
1 article
· 5h ago
94%
▼3¢
⚡ SpaceX IPO closing market cap above thresholds 99% FLAT
⚡ SpaceX IPO closing market cap ranges 1% FLAT
SpaceX IPO poised to exceed $1T market cap amid strategic shifts
YES ▲3¢
Senate reconciliation bill passage
1 article
· 4d ago
100%
▲3¢
Senate Republicans push $70B immigration bill, exposing party rifts
NO ▲3¢
SpaceX IPO predictions
2 articles
· 5d ago
94%
▼3¢
⚡ SpaceX IPO closing market cap above thresholds 99% FLAT
Goldman projects SpaceX AI revenue to hit $322B by 2030, boosting IPO valuation
SpaceX IPO launches at $135/share, valuing company at $1.7T
NO ▲2¢
Bitcoin hitting $150k
1 article
· 1d ago
85%
▼2¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on june 9 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price on june 10 92% FLAT
Bitcoin crashes amid 2026 crypto market selloff
NO ▲2¢
California governor primary
3 articles
· 2d ago
8%
▼2¢
⚡ California governor primary election 99% FLAT
Becerra, Hilton likely to face off in California governor race
Katie Porter out of California governor race, Becerra advances
California primary: GOP newcomers likely to advance, Karen Bass heads to runoff
NO ▲2¢
Ethereum price predictions for june
1 article
· 5d ago
1%
▼2¢
⚡ Ethereum price on june 3 100% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price predictions for june 5 99% FLAT
Ethereum price falls below $1,800, lowest since February
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price on june 10
1 article
· 12h ago
9%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on june 9 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin all time high predictions 0% FLAT
Bitcoin drops 35% amid US-Iran tensions, market volatility
NO ▲1¢
Ethereum price predictions for june 5
1 article
· 4d ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Ethereum price predictions for june 2% FLAT
Ethereum falls below $1,700 for first time since April 2025: INTEL
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price on june 7
1 article
· 5d ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for june 1% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price predictions for june 2% FLAT
BlackRock crypto funds see $2.2B outflows in ten days
Likely NO
Ethereum price june 8-14
1 article
· 10h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price predictions for june 1% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price on june 9 1% FLAT
Tom Lee’s Bitmine buys $213.5M Ethereum, boosting market confidence
Likely NO
LA mayoral election 2026 - first round second place
1 article
· 18h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ LA mayoral election first round 99% FLAT
⚡ Los angeles mayoral election 2026 55% FLAT
Karen Bass and Nithya Raman win 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election
Likely NO
California governor primary election
2 articles
· 3d ago
99%
▼0¢
⚡ California governor primary 28% FLAT
Xavier Becerra advances to California governor general election
Steve Hilton’s strong showing signals shift in California primary
Likely NO
Ethereum price prediction may
2 articles
· 4d ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price predictions for june 5 99% FLAT
Ethereum falls below $1,600 for first time since April 2025
Bitcoin drops 50% from all-time high amid market downturn
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on june 3
3 articles
· 5d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin above on june 6 44% FLAT
Bitcoin crashes under $63,000 amid market volatility: WatcherGuru
Bitcoin price drops below $65K, impacting prediction markets
Bitcoin price falls to $66K as market sentiment turns cautious