Earn with Nexo
1h US procurement rules may hinder Anthropic’s AI model ranking prospects
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
1h US procurement rules may hinder Anthropic’s AI model ranking prospects
▲ AI model rankings by end of april
95% (was 88%, ▲7¢ in 1h)
YES ▲7¢
Genius FDV after launch
1 article
Developing
95%
▲7¢
⚡ Crypto FDV predictions after launch 58% FLAT
TW✓ 21h Binance lists CHIP token for USD.AI, boosting market confidence
NO ▲5¢
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
Developing
42%
▼5¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions in april 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions april 20-26 1% FLAT
1h Bitcoin $80K target odds rise as BlackRock ETF sees $8.4B inflows
1h Tokenized funds hit $30B as JP Morgan, BlackRock drive Ethereum growth
NO ▲4¢
US-Iran ceasefire announcement
2 articles
Developing
19%
▼4¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire extension 36% FLAT
✓ 358m US-Iran ceasefire talks in Pakistan as tensions rise with naval incident
✓ 31h Iran denies delegation in Pakistan for US talks as ceasefire ends
NO ▲2¢
Karoline leavitt's press briefing statements
1 article
Developing
27%
▼2¢
⚡ Iran surrender enriched uranium 26% FLAT
1h Trump-Iran oil sanction deal talks intensify as ceasefire deadline looms
NO ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
10%
▼2¢
✓ 31h US military boards Iran-linked tanker in Indo-Pacific expansion
NO ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal
1 article
Developing
10%
▼2¢
1h US forces board Iran-linked tanker M/T Tifani in Indo-Pacific crackdown
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire extension
1 article
Developing
14%
▲1¢
⚡ Iran peace deals 12% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire extensions 36% FLAT
15m Trump’s Twitter opposition impacts US-Iran ceasefire extension prospects
YES ▲1¢
Trump visit to China
1 article
Developing
80%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump visit China 1% FLAT
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 6% FLAT
26m Trump hints at airstrikes on Iran after seizing ship with Chinese “gifts”
YES ▲1¢
Trump visit China
1 article
Developing
80%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump China visit 1% FLAT
✓ 233m Trump links seized ship to China, casting doubt on planned visit
NO ▲1¢
Iranian demands Trump agreement
1 article
Developing
14%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
✓ 336m Trump anticipates ‘great deal’ with Iran, eyes oil sanction relief
YES ▲1¢
USD.AI FDV predictions
1 article
Developing
95%
▲1¢
⚡ USD.AI and predict.fun FDV launch 58% FLAT
38m USDai’s CALIBER protocol bets on $300M valuation post-launch
YES ▲1¢
Next CEO of apple
1 article
Developing
99.5%
▲1¢
✓ 246m John Ternus to succeed Tim Cook as Apple’s CEO, signaling strategic shift
NO ▲1¢
Warships through the strait of hormuz
2 articles
Developing
26%
▼1¢
⚡ Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april 29% FLAT
56m Scam messages falsely offer safe transit through Strait of Hormuz, security firm warns
✓ 257m Iran closes Strait of Hormuz amid rising US tensions
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
37%
▼1¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 5% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
1h US-Iran deal stalled by nuclear, Strait of Hormuz disputes as deadline nears
✓ 21h US and Iran confirm attendance at Islamabad ceasefire talks
✓ 21h Iran may skip US talks in Islamabad amid naval blockade tensions
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran peace deal
1 article
Developing
14%
▼1¢
⚡ Who will meet with Iran by april 30 22% FLAT
✓ 21h Iran threatens ‘new cards’ as US-Iran ceasefire nears expiration
NO ▲1¢
Iran leadership status
1 article
Developing
27%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran surrender of enriched uranium stockpile 26% FLAT
1h US and Israel assassinations of Iranian scientists heighten nuclear tensions
Likely NO
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Who will meet with Iran by april 30 22% FLAT
59m Iran skips talks as ceasefire deadline nears, US-Iran meeting unlikely by April 30
Likely NO
Trump military operations against Iran
1 article
Developing
4%
⚡ Israel military action against Iran 2% FLAT
just now Netanyahu: Israel, US remove immediate Iran threat, vow continued action
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on april 17
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
13m US-Iran ceasefire nears end, traders wary of oil supply disruption
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on april 13
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 6% FLAT
✓ 332m Bitcoin falls below $76,000 as Trump warns of Iran attacks
1h Bitcoin holds above $75K amid US-Iran ceasefire and Fed chair hearing
Likely NO
Trump's fox business interview predictions
1 article
Developing
43%
▼0¢
✓ 334m Trump’s hardline Iran stance dims hopes for oil sanction relief
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
40m Lebanon PM, Macron to discuss strategy ahead of Israel talks
Likely NO
Trump's Iranian demands
1 article
Developing
43%
▼0¢
✓ 343m Goldman CEO: Iran conflict could drive oil to $170
Likely NO
Stablecoins depeg before 2027
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
48m UK Treasury to integrate stablecoins into payments framework
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 21
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 20 100% FLAT
49m Saylor’s $2.5B Bitcoin buy aligns with US-Iran peace talks collapse
1h Michael Saylor’s $2.5B Bitcoin buy boosts market sentiment amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
55m Halliburton earnings hit by Iran conflict, crude oil price expectations rise
Likely NO
Next leader out before 2027
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 2026 3% FLAT
✓ 259m EU diplomat hints at breakthrough on Ukraine’s €90B loan package
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
1h Lebanon warns of resistance if Israeli forces remain, ceasefire markets steady
Likely NO
Military action against Iran ends
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
✓ 51h US ready for major combat operations against Iran, says General Caine
Likely NO
Israel military action in beirut
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Israel warns South Lebanon residents, impacting Trump ceasefire market
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h US banks authorize $33B in buybacks amid $1.2T S&P 500 trend
Likely YES
US recession 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
2m Goldman CEO warns Iran conflict’s social media impact may raise US recession risk
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on april
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin above specific prices on april dates 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 21 0% FLAT
1h Strategy surpasses BlackRock as largest Bitcoin holder with 815,061 BTC
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
Developing
11%
▼0¢
1h Ukraine targets Russia’s Tuapse refinery with drones for second time in a week
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi enter Iran 6% FLAT
1h Iranian forces suppress Mashhad protests, impacting Pahlavi return odds
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 18
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Solana price predictions for april 15 100% FLAT
⚡ Solana price april 13-19 100% FLAT
1h Solana leads tokenized stock trading volume, eyes $110 target by April 18
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Iran quashes 2026 uprising with massive crackdown in two nights
Likely YES
Trump tariffs / trade war
1 article
Developing
100%
✓ 416m Trump shifts tariff strategy, praises Amazon and Apple
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on april 16
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Bitcoin hits $76,720 after Strategy’s $2.5B buy, US-Iran tensions ease
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 2026
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 41h Zelensky criticizes US envoys for Moscow focus, calls absence in Kyiv ‘disrespectful’
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
26%
3m Russia resumes Urals crude shipments after drone strike disruptions
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 3% FLAT
1h Germany urges Iran to hold talks with US in Islamabad