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Prediction Markets

Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.

2026 midterms house popular vote 75% ▲8¢ Best AI model by november 2026 26% ▼5¢ Pete hegseth out as secretary of defense 54% ▲4¢ Best AI model by end of 2026 62% ▲4¢ Bitcoin price predictions for november 6 92% ▲3¢ 2026 house popular vote margin 75% ▲3¢ WTI crude oil price predictions for november 2026 1% ▼1¢ Houthis enter aden 6% ▼1¢ Crude oil all time high predictions 8% ▼0¢ Anthropic IPO market cap predictions 9% ▼0¢ Saudi airspace closure 10% ▼0¢ Anthropic valuation by december 31 13% ▼0¢ Texas data center moratorium 18% ▼0¢ CoreWeave bankruptcy announcements 30% ▼0¢ Tesla and spacex merger announcement 71% ▼0¢ OpenAI IPO timeline 98% ▼0¢ Louisiana data center moratorium 32% ▼0¢ 5-year treasury yield predictions before 2027 27% ▼0¢ Other Oklahoma data center moratorium 32% ▼0¢ Hyperliquid price predictions for 2026 5% ▼0¢ OpenAI bankruptcy predictions 9% ▼0¢ 2026 midterms house popular vote 75% ▲8¢ Best AI model by november 2026 26% ▼5¢ Pete hegseth out as secretary of defense 54% ▲4¢ Best AI model by end of 2026 62% ▲4¢ Bitcoin price predictions for november 6 92% ▲3¢ 2026 house popular vote margin 75% ▲3¢ WTI crude oil price predictions for november 2026 1% ▼1¢ Houthis enter aden 6% ▼1¢ Crude oil all time high predictions 8% ▼0¢ Anthropic IPO market cap predictions 9% ▼0¢ Saudi airspace closure 10% ▼0¢ Anthropic valuation by december 31 13% ▼0¢ Texas data center moratorium 18% ▼0¢ CoreWeave bankruptcy announcements 30% ▼0¢ Tesla and spacex merger announcement 71% ▼0¢ OpenAI IPO timeline 98% ▼0¢ Louisiana data center moratorium 32% ▼0¢ 5-year treasury yield predictions before 2027 27% ▼0¢ Other Oklahoma data center moratorium 32% ▼0¢ Hyperliquid price predictions for 2026 5% ▼0¢ OpenAI bankruptcy predictions 9% ▼0¢
FT16h

Democrats gain control of both chambers in 2026 midterms as political landscape shifts

▲ 2026 midterms house popular vote
75% (was 67%, ▲8¢ in 16h)
anthropic uses claude ai to accelerate custom chip desig 1
NO ▲5¢ Best AI model by november 2026 1 article · 18h ago
26% ▼5¢
N▲5
Theinformation18h
Anthropic uses Claude AI to accelerate custom chip design, challenges Nvidia, AMD
anthropic uses claude ai to accelerate custom chip desig 1
Google 2015 logo (Wikimedia Commons, public domain)
YES ▲4¢ Best AI model by end of 2026 1 article · 17h ago
62% ▲4¢
Y▲4
Google17h
Google launches voice remixing for Gemini 3.8 Flash TTS in AI Studio
Google 2015 logo (Wikimedia Commons, public domain)
Bitcoin logo (public domain), by Grayliptrot via Wikimedia Commons (Public domain)
YES ▲3¢ Bitcoin price predictions for november 6 1 article · 6h ago
92% ▲3¢
Y▲3
Crypto_Briefing6h
Trump Media moved $344 million in Bitcoin as stock hit low after US midterms
Bitcoin logo (public domain), by Grayliptrot via Wikimedia Commons (Public domain)
OpenAI official logo (public domain, Wikimedia Commons) — CryptoBriefing brand treatment
Likely NO OpenAI IPO timeline 1 article Developing
98% ▼0¢
⚡ OpenAI IPO timeline 2% FLAT
⚡ OpenAI IPO market cap 1% FLAT
N↑
CNBCWallstengine✓ 213m
OpenAI to cover data center power costs amid election backlash
OpenAI official logo (public domain, Wikimedia Commons) — CryptoBriefing brand treatment
Photo: Gonzalo Facello / Pexels
Likely NO Saudi airspace closure 1 article Developing
10% ▼0¢
Y↑
FinancialjuiceIranIntl_En✓ 234m
Saudi-led coalition intercepts missile targeting Medina region
Photo: Gonzalo Facello / Pexels
coreweave faces debt challenges amid potential neocloud 1 1
Likely NO CoreWeave bankruptcy announcements 1 article · 11h ago
30% ▼0¢
N↑
Motley Fool (Sitemap)11h
CoreWeave faces debt challenges amid potential neocloud stock rally
coreweave faces debt challenges amid potential neocloud 1 1
Photo: SpaceX / Pexels
Likely NO Tesla and spacex merger announcement 1 article · 14h ago
71% ▼0¢
N↑
Motley Fool (Sitemap)14h
SpaceX shares fall amid Democratic win, regulatory scrutiny concerns
Photo: SpaceX / Pexels
Photo: Brett Sayles / Pexels
Likely NO Oklahoma data center moratorium 1 article · 14h ago
32% ▼0¢
Y↑
New York Times TechnologyArs TechnicaSeekingAlphaAndrewCurran_TheinformationWashingtonpost✓ 614h
US midterms show voter support for AI data center restrictions
Photo: Brett Sayles / Pexels
Photo: Tima Miroshnichenko / Pexels
Likely NO OpenAI bankruptcy predictions 1 article · 20h ago
9% ▼0¢
N↑
Cardano_CF20h
Cardano Foundation puts 2025 financials on-chain with Grant Thornton attestation
Photo: Tima Miroshnichenko / Pexels