Jensen Huang isn’t giving up on China. Despite years of escalating US export restrictions on advanced AI chips, Nvidia’s CEO confirmed on May 23 that the company views China as a long-term opportunity within a projected $200 billion CPU and data center market.

That’s a bold stance for a company that has, by Huang’s own admission, “largely conceded” the advanced AI chip sector in China to domestic competitors like Huawei. But Huang is playing the long game, and his recent trip to Beijing with President Trump’s delegation in mid-May suggests he’s betting on diplomacy as much as silicon.

The $200 billion bet and the 40% problem

According to Huang, China represents nearly 40% of the global technology industry. The $200 billion CPU and data center market forecast he cited positions China as an essential component of Nvidia’s growth story. Huang has previously pegged the China market opportunity at “multi-billion dollars,” with earlier discussions referencing figures around $50 billion.

US export controls have severely limited what Nvidia can actually sell there. The company continues to ship licensed products like the H200, a lower-performance chip designed to comply with export regulations. But the flagship AI accelerators that power the most advanced data centers are off limits for Chinese buyers, handing Huawei and other domestic Chinese chipmakers an enormous gift as they build out their own AI chip ecosystems.

Trump’s delegation and the diplomatic angle

Huang’s participation in President Trump’s China delegation in mid-May wasn’t just a photo op. “The market will open over time,” Huang said during the trip, expressing optimism about the trajectory of US-China trade relations.

That optimism is grounded in Nvidia’s three-decade presence in China. The company has deep customer relationships across the region, and Huang clearly believes those connections will matter when the geopolitical winds eventually shift.

What this means for investors and the broader tech landscape

For investors, Nvidia’s near-term China revenue is structurally impaired. The export restrictions aren’t going away tomorrow, and Huawei is using this window to entrench itself as the default AI chip supplier for Chinese cloud providers and enterprises. A market representing nearly 40% of global tech spending is not something that gets priced into a stock at zero forever, and any credible path to re-entry would likely trigger a significant re-rating of Nvidia’s long-term revenue potential.

For the broader market, including crypto, Nvidia’s stock performance has become a bellwether for AI sentiment, and AI sentiment increasingly drives capital flows across technology sectors. Notably, no crypto assets or tokens were mentioned in relation to Huang’s remarks, though discussions in the cryptocurrency space indicated Nvidia’s stock fluctuations could indirectly affect market sentiment.