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Prediction Markets

AP (T1) · just now

US odds for ground forces entering Iran by April 30 jump to 86%


▲ US forces enter Iran
86% (at publish)
AP (T1) · just now

US rescue operation follows claims of downed fighter jet in Iran


▲ US forces enter Iran
66% (at publish)
WuBlockchain (T3) · 1m

Tokenized real-world asset market hits $27.6B in April 2026 amid crypto downturn


▼ Bitcoin price targets
FT (T1) · 3m

Zarif proposes US-Iran peace plan as ceasefire odds drop to 2% for April 7


▲ US-Iran ceasefire
2% (at publish)
FT (T1) · 3m

Iran’s former foreign minister proposes peace plan with US, market skeptical


▲ US-Iran ceasefire
1% (at publish)
SeekingAlpha (T3) · 20m

Strong payroll growth and inflation fears reduce June 2025 Fed rate cut odds: FT


▼ Fed rate decisions
FirstSquawk (T3) · 35m

Trump’s budget projects $464B in tariff revenue for 2027 amid trade tensions


▲ Trump tariffs / trade war
FT (T1) · 1h

Ceasefire odds between US and Iran plummet amid stalled negotiations


▼ US-Iran ceasefire
1% (unchanged)
Lookonchain (T3) · 1h

Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs face significant outflows as Solana sees minor inflow


▼ Bitcoin price targets
FirstSquawk (T3) · 1h

Democratic senators urge Trump to ban Chinese vehicle imports amid trade tensions: FT


▲ Trump tariffs / trade war
Unusual_whales (T3) · 1h

Goldman Sachs raises US recession odds to 30% by 2026 amid oil shocks


▲ US recession 2026
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Podcast Notes