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Prediction Markets
Likely NO ↑US declaration of war on Iran10%
Trump hints at Iran war de-escalation, impacting December war declaration odds
✓ 212m YES ▲6¢Israel military action against Iran100%
Lebanon accuses Israel of ceasefire violations amid market tensions
13m Likely NO ↑Bitcoin price in april100%
Charles Schwab launches spot trading for Bitcoin and Ethereum
18m NO ▲1¢Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire25%
US-brokered ceasefire takes effect, pausing 2026 Israel-Lebanon war
22m Likely NO ↑Crude oil price predictions by end of june100%
Middle East ceasefire tempers crude oil market sentiment, $90 target in doubt
31m Likely NO ↑Bank of japan decision in april 2026100%
BOJ’s Ueda signals policy hold amid Middle East conflict concerns
45m Likely NO ↑Strait of hormuz ship transit april16%
IMF warns of severe impact from Iran conflict on energy-importing nations
52m NO ▲2¢Iran uranium enrichment agreement42%
Trump: Iran to relinquish enriched uranium, halt nuclear ambitions
✓ 21h YES ▲3¢US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations21%
China may supply Iran with advanced radar systems, complicating US military ops
✓ 21h NO ▲1¢US withdrawal from NATO25%
Senator questions legality of Trump’s threat to “end Iran’s civilization”
1h Likely YES ↑Next leader out of power3%
MK Boaz Bismuth attacked by haredi mob amid draft law tensions
1h Likely YES ↑US forces enter Iran100%
Iran’s top general declares full readiness amid US-Iran tensions
1h Quick Reviews
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BitGW’s single-sided AMM model highlights shift toward hybrid liquidity in crypto markets
How to invest in physical silver bullion: a guide for crypto-native investors
TRX/USDC trading pairs now available on Aerodrome, fueling cross-chain liquidity for TRON’s ecosystem
ChangeNOW Review: Non-custodial swaps meet enterprise infrastructure
TRON DAO expands TRON Academy initiative with Dartmouth, Princeton, Oxford, and Cambridge
Beginner’s guide to paying with stablecoins using crypto cards
TRON DAO advances stablecoin dialogue at digital assets at Duke Conference
How to choose a reliable Solana validator
Whales sell $3.4B worth of Bitcoin as price hits $92K wall
Bitcoin velocity RSI suggests a bottom, but trader positioning urges caution
BC.GAME review: Full-suite crypto casino with slots, roulette, sports, originals, and built-in token staking
JB.com review: Simplified crypto casino with 10K+ titles and 24/7 support
All News
Bitcoin
Goldman Sachs doubles down on Bitcoin exposure with new premium income ETF
Bitwise CIO says Iran conflict is showing Bitcoin’s geopolitical value beyond digital gold
Strategy buys $1 billion worth of Bitcoin, holdings top 780K BTC
Bitcoin exchange whale inflows fall below $3 billion as long term holders buy $49 billion
Solo Bitcoin miner wins $222K after beating 1 in 100,000 odds
Ethereum
Bitmine acquires 71,524 Ethereum, reaching 81% of its ETH supply accumulation goal
Ethereum Foundation on track to hit 70,000 ETH staking goal after latest deposits: On-chain data
Tom Lee’s Bitmine approaches 80% of goal to hold 5% Ethereum supply
Ethereum Foundation stakes over 22,500 ETH in largest single deployment
Bitmine adds $138M ETH as Tom Lee calls crypto a wartime store of value
Market
Stocks surge toward record highs as dollar weakens on Iran diplomacy hopes
HYPE tops $45 for first time in 5 months as oil contracts lead Hyperliquid volumes
Bitcoin nears $76K as fresh Iran talks reports lift crypto markets
Crypto investment products post $1.1B inflows in best week since January
Trump announces Strait of Hormuz blockade as Iran nuclear talks collapse, Bitcoin extends losses
Prediction Markets
Trump hints at Iran war de-escalation, impacting December war declaration odds
▼ US declaration of war on Iran
Lebanon accuses Israel of ceasefire violations amid market tensions
▲ Israel military action against Iran
Charles Schwab launches spot trading for Bitcoin and Ethereum
▼ Bitcoin price in april
US-brokered ceasefire takes effect, pausing 2026 Israel-Lebanon war
▼ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
Middle East ceasefire tempers crude oil market sentiment, $90 target in doubt
▼ Crude oil price predictions by end of june
AI
Anthropic plans UK rollout of Mythos AI model for financial institutions
Coinbase, Binance seek Anthropic Mythos access as crypto firms brace for AI security threats
OpenAI adds $100 Pro subscription with higher Codex limits
ASI Alliance and Matterhorn launch vibecoding with built-in safety for blockchain apps
Tether launches QVAC SDK for local AI across phones and desktops
Tech
Elon Musk’s X launches Smart Cashtags for crypto and stock tracking, adds one-tap trading access through Wealthsimple
Aeluma secures over $4M in US government contracts, stock soars 37% premarket
X to roll out auto-lock feature for first-time crypto mentions
Musk jokes lost Bitcoin could get a second chance thanks to future quantum computers
Google warns Bitcoin encryption could break with fewer quantum resources than expected
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Regulation
US government moves $606K in Bitcoin seized from Bitfinex hack to Coinbase Prime
Bitwise launches spot Avalanche ETF with built in staking rewards
Pakistan’s central bank overrides ban on accounts for crypto service providers
Trump’s Fed chair pick Kevin Warsh discloses holdings in SpaceX, Polymarket, and Ethereum dev platform
ECB sees tokenization as opportunity to build unified European capital market
Web3
South Korea plans to ditch government cards in favor of blockchain deposit tokens
Polkadot bridge exploited, attacker seizes admin control to mint and dump 1B DOT tokens
AI firm leader robbed at knifepoint, says attackers sought crypto
Elliptic links Drift’s $286m exploit to North Korean Hackers
BONK.fun team account hacked and used to launch wallet drainer on site
AI Agents
Morpho introduces Morpho Agents to bring AI agents into DeFi lending
CoinFello unveils open source OpenClaw skill with MetaMask for AI agent transactions
Court blocks Perplexity from using AI agents to shop on Amazon
MoonPay launches non-custodial infrastructure for autonomous AI agents
OpenClaw creator Peter Steinberger joins OpenAI to advance personal AI agents
DeFi
Blockaid flags CoW Swap site as malicious amid front end attack
Justin Sun accuses Trump-backed World Liberty of hidden backdoor control
Lido, Chainlink and LI.FI launch one-click cross-chain ETH staking
Circle took no action during Drift Protocol attack, says investigator
Drift Protocol exploiter doubles down on Ethereum after siphoning $285 million in assets
Press Releases
Bybit CEO Ben Zhou on trust, AI, and the new financial platform at Paris Blockchain Week 2026
BNB Chain completes 35th quarterly token burn, marks second burn of 2026
Bitunix Exchange secures ISO 27001:2022 certification, reinforcing strong protection of user data
MEXC publishes April 2026 proof of reserves, BTC reserve ratio rises to 295%
MEXC launches EMBLEM Launchpool with 5,000,000 EMBLEM in airdrop rewards
NFTs
Justin Bieber’s Bored Ape NFT drops 99% from $1.3M to $12K
Gemini to close NFT marketplace Nifty Gateway as it sharpens focus on super app vision
Moonbirds to launch BIRB token in early Q1 2026
Magic Eden to expand $ME buybacks in 2026 using revenue from Swaps, Lucky Buy, and Packs
OpenSea CMO refutes rumors of a $150 million SEA token sale on Coinbase
Press Releases
In a challenging Q1 for crypto, CoinZoom hits record deposits and trading revenue
Utexo and x402 enable USDT payments for the agent economy with near-instant settlement
Beldex Research Labs advances zero-knowledge age verification for digital identity systems
Bybit launches learn & trade growth hub to guide users from education to trading with rewards
MEXC lists 17th batch of Ondo tokenized U.S. assets spanning defense, growth, value, and financials
MEXC unveils largest-ever 0-fee festival, empowering users to unlock infinite opportunities
Mixin integrates Coinbase to make fiat-to-crypto faster than a text message
CredShields joins Canton Network as official audit partner
Mirage announces seed round and closed alpha for private stablecoin transfers
Zoomex launches ZoomexStocks: Trade global equities with USDT + limited-time fee rebate campaign
Crypto Dispensers shuts down Bitcoin ATMs and goes all-in on Bitcoin POP
COINPAYMENTS bolsters North America leadership with head of sales appointment
Podcast Notes
Neil McDonald: Retail traders face historical informational asymmetry, AI enhances trading decisions, and social platforms improve risk management | The Pomp Podcast
Luke Gromen: Closure of the Strait of Hormuz could trigger nonlinear supply chain breaks, US faces a critical choice between economic contraction and monetary expansion, and significant food inflation is on the horizon | Macro Voices
Freddie New: Currency debasement leads to economic instability, historical parallels with Rome reveal modern risks, and the cyclical trap of money printing | The Peter McCormack Show
Vivek Raman: Ethereum’s proof of stake upgrade is key for Wall Street, its role as the ‘everything platform’ is transformative, and financial institutions are driven by incentives to adopt blockchain | Raoul Pal
Alex Pruden: Bitcoin could rise to 80-84k, market sentiment may have overreacted to ceasefire optimism, and AI advancements show no signs of plateauing | Galaxy Brains
Barry Eichengreen: The US dollar shows early signs of decline, central banks are diversifying away from Treasuries, and DeFi yields lag behind institutional returns | Bankless
Meg Appelgate: Child care institutions can harbor predators, religious affiliations complicate accountability, and adolescent behaviors are often misunderstood | Shawn Ryan Show
Brad Setser: Taxes drive currency demand, the 1970s oil shock reshaped finance, and current oil supply shortfalls reveal market complexities | Odd Lots
Ian Bremmer: A US political revolution is imminent, AI poses systemic risks to global security, and China’s investments are reshaping economic power | The Diary of a CEO
Anj Midha: Culture drives algorithmic innovation, AI models struggle with scientific analysis, and the importance of context feedback loops | 20VC
Jensen Huang: Nvidia’s role in transforming electrons to tokens, the exponential growth of AI agents, and overcoming semiconductor supply chain bottlenecks | Dwarkesh
