Pakistan says no dates set for next US-Iran talks amid negotiation stalemate

Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry stated that no dates have been decided for the next round of US-Iran talks, as the market for Trump agreeing to Iranian demands in April sits at 36.5% YES.

The absence of scheduled negotiations has kept traders on the sidelines. Odds of Trump agreeing to any Iranian demands this month are at 36.5%, unchanged from 24 hours ago. You can explore this market further here. The market is thin: $367 is enough to move prices by 5 percentage points.

The likelihood of no diplomatic meetings occurring by June 30 is at just 2.3% YES, meaning traders largely expect some form of engagement even with the current stalemate. That market has $77,986 in face value trading but only $1,133 in actual USDC, making it susceptible to sharp swings. See this market here.

No scheduled talks means no obvious path to Trump accepting Iranian demands before April ends. A YES share at 36.5¢ pays $1 if resolved, a potential 2.74x return. For that to pay off, a negotiating breakthrough would need to happen within days.

Watch for statements from the White House or Pakistani intermediaries suggesting a new meeting date or location. Any concrete scheduling announcement could move these markets quickly.

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