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✓ 41h Trump admin views Iran ceasefire as War Powers reset, avoiding Congress approval
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 41h Trump admin views Iran ceasefire as War Powers reset, avoiding Congress approval
▼ US-Iran ceasefire
4% (was 11%, ▼7¢ in 1h)
NO ▲7¢
US-Iran ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼7¢
✓ 41h 4h US-Iran ceasefire extended indefinitely, halting war authorization countdown
YES ▲2¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
2 articles
· 2h ago
80%
▲2¢
✓ 22h Apple earnings boost market confidence, dims Nvidia’s top market cap chances
3h Tim Cook warns of rising memory costs amid US-China tensions
NO ▲2¢
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
0%
▼2¢
4h Meta faces challenges amid Iran conflict, AI spending, and ad business shifts
YES ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions for april 30
4 articles
Developing
99.9%
▲1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 3 99% FLAT
✓ 21h 10,000 Bitcoin worth $760M transferred to exchanges, potential selling pressure
1h Bitcoin volatility spikes post-FOMC as market doubts $79K target
✓ 23h White House hints at Bitcoin reserve announcement, boosting price confidence
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
8%
▼1¢
3h Ukrainian drone strike hits Russian Black Sea port, escalating tensions
NO ▲1¢
Ethereum price in april
1 article
· 3h ago
0%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 1% FLAT
3h North Korea’s Lazarus Group hacks $635M from crypto protocols in April
Likely NO
James comey sentenced to prison in 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Comey prosecution faces First Amendment hurdles, experts say
Likely NO
XRP price on april 30
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h CLARITY Act expected to reach President’s desk this summer, says Tim Scott
Likely NO
DHS shutdown end dates
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h US House passes DHS funding bill, ending 75-day partial shutdown
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Huawei AI chip sales surge as Nvidia loses ground in China: FT
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
20%
▼0¢
2h Iran threat boosts Brent crude futures to $111.4 amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
2 articles
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 0% FLAT
2h Senate advances Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair nomination, Powell exit likely by May 31
✓ 23h Powell to stay on Fed board, delaying leadership changes
Likely NO
Bitcoin future price predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 1 100% FLAT
3h Kevin Warsh nomination impacts Bitcoin price outlook amid hawkish stance
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 41% FLAT
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
3h Iran’s political system showing signs of internal collapse: EU official
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 3h ago
80%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 0% FLAT
3h China eases rare earth restrictions, boosting odds of Trump visit by May 31
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Iran tensions drive oil price prediction to $90 by June
Likely YES
Iran military action
6 articles
Developing
100%
just now Iran warns of retaliation if US resumes attacks amid Congress deadline
34m Iran eyes revenge for Soleimani as WHCA Dinner shooting raises security concerns
1h Hezbollah drone strikes cause Israeli operational collapse in Lebanon
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
3 articles
Developing
16%
▼0¢
6m Oil prices rise amid US-Iran tensions as War Powers deadline nears
✓ 21h US gas prices hit $4.3 amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions, Trump comments on war end
✓ 22h Iran conflict closes Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global oil and food supply
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
8m Brazil to announce measures on household debt amid high Selic rates
Likely NO
MegaETH FDV one day after launch
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
12m MegaETH token drops 25-30% post-launch, $500M FDV in doubt
Likely NO
Ethereum above on april 30
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
13m Bitmine stakes $366M in ETH amid geopolitical tensions, boosting long-term outlook
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
27m US GDP grows 2.0% in Q1 2026, defying market’s 1.0% prediction
1h US inflation in March 2026, highest in nearly three years
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO timeline
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
44m US lends 92.5M barrels from reserve amid high crude oil price expectations
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
46m Trump calls for ABC to fire Jimmy Kimmel over Melania joke
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 451m CENTCOM briefing to Trump suggests potential escalation towards Iran regime change
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
Developing
4%
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
1m Newsom blames high gas prices on incompetence amid US-Iran tensions
3h ECB holds rates amid Iran conflict, oil prices may hit $150 in May
Likely NO
Solana price in april
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
53m Solana RWA market share, outpaces Ethereum’s 40%
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
56m IAEA warns Iran may hide enriched uranium at Isfahan amid stalled diplomacy
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 4% FLAT
1h Trump skepticism dims hopes for US-Iran diplomatic meeting
3h Iran reviews Trump’s negotiation request, potential diplomatic shift
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Iran drone attack on US base in Kuwait kills 6, injures 30
Likely NO
Bitcoin above on april 30
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 1 100% FLAT
1h Iran war impacts global energy prices, inflation; Fed rate cuts unlikely in 2026
1h US defense secretary endorses Bitcoin, integrating it into defense strategies
1h US stocks rise as S&P 500, NASDAQ see biggest monthly gains in years
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
✓ 31h Pentagon pauses War Powers clock amid Iran ceasefire, de-escalation efforts