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✓ 43h Trump admin views Iran ceasefire as War Powers reset, avoiding Congress approval
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 43h Trump admin views Iran ceasefire as War Powers reset, avoiding Congress approval
▼ US-Iran ceasefire
1% (was 11%, ▼10¢ in 3h)
NO ▲3¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼3¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 4% FLAT
2h Trump skepticism dims hopes for US-Iran diplomatic meeting
YES ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
2 articles
Developing
81%
▲1¢
50m Apple stock rises on iPhone 17, MacBook Neo forecasts amid Nvidia competition
✓ 24h Apple earnings boost market confidence, dims Nvidia’s top market cap chances
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
2 articles
Developing
9%
▼0¢
6m White House considers seeking war authorization for Iran conflict
✓ 52h CENTCOM briefing to Trump suggests potential escalation towards Iran regime change
Likely NO
Next Israeli prime minister
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
1h Bennett-Lapid bloc challenges Netanyahu’s leadership amid Israeli political shift
Likely NO
Second largest company by end of april
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ SPY price movement on april 30 100% FLAT
1h US confirms military operations in Iran, impacting SPY market stability
Likely NO
Iran military action
5 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Iran warns of retaliation if US resumes attacks amid Congress deadline
✓ 21h Iran eyes revenge for Soleimani as WHCA Dinner shooting raises security concerns
2h Hezbollah drone strikes cause Israeli operational collapse in Lebanon
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Brazil to announce measures on household debt amid high Selic rates
Likely NO
MegaETH FDV one day after launch
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h MegaETH token drops 25-30% post-launch, $500M FDV in doubt
Likely YES
Bitcoin above on april 30
4 articles
Developing
100%
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 5% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 0% FLAT
1m SEC Chair Atkins announces pro-crypto policy shift at Bitcoin 2026
2h Iran war impacts global energy prices, inflation; Fed rate cuts unlikely in 2026
2h US defense secretary endorses Bitcoin, integrating it into defense strategies
Likely NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
19%
▼0¢
9m Iran extends Strait of Hormuz blockade amid US-Iran peace deal uncertainty
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
10m US inflation jumps in March amid Iran war, Trump tariffs impact
1h Newsom blames high gas prices on incompetence amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
Developing
41%
▼0¢
13m UN warns Hormuz crisis disrupting global markets amid US-Iran tensions
42m UK opposes US blockade, backs reopening of Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 30
4 articles
Developing
99%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 3 99% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 0% FLAT
18m Bitcoin hits $77,000 amid US-Israel-Iran tensions, oil prices surge
33m Bitcoin breaks four-year May decline pattern, hits $77,000 amid tensions
✓ 22h 10,000 Bitcoin worth $760M transferred to exchanges, potential selling pressure
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price in april 0% FLAT
✓ 220m Bitcoin ETFs see $14.7M inflow as Ethereum outflows continue
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
25m Israel orders evacuation of Lebanese towns ahead of planned military strikes
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
Developing
12%
▼0¢
1h EU approves €90B loan to Ukraine as Hungary lifts veto on pipeline repair
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
4 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
1h Middle East conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surge 46% in March
1h Oil prices rise amid US-Iran tensions as War Powers deadline nears
✓ 23h US gas prices hit $4.3 amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions, Trump comments on war end
Likely NO
Ethereum above on april 30
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
1h Bitmine stakes $366M in ETH amid geopolitical tensions, boosting long-term outlook
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h US GDP grows 2.0% in Q1 2026, defying market’s 1.0% prediction
2h US inflation in March 2026, highest in nearly three years
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO timeline
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
2h US lends 92.5M barrels from reserve amid high crude oil price expectations
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
1 article
· 2h ago
7%
▼0¢
2h Trump calls for ABC to fire Jimmy Kimmel over Melania joke
Likely NO
Solana price in april
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
2h Solana RWA market share, outpaces Ethereum’s 40%
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 2h ago
10%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
2h IAEA warns Iran may hide enriched uranium at Isfahan amid stalled diplomacy
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
10%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Iran drone attack on US base in Kuwait kills 6, injures 30
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
✓ 32h Pentagon pauses War Powers clock amid Iran ceasefire, de-escalation efforts
Likely NO
James comey sentenced to prison in 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Comey prosecution faces First Amendment hurdles, experts say
Likely NO
XRP price on april 30
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h CLARITY Act expected to reach President’s desk this summer, says Tim Scott
Likely NO
DHS shutdown end dates
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h US House passes DHS funding bill, ending 75-day partial shutdown
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Huawei AI chip sales surge as Nvidia loses ground in China: FT
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
20%
▼0¢
3h Iran threat boosts Brent crude futures to $111.4 amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 4h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 0% FLAT
4h Senate advances Kevin Warsh’s Fed Chair nomination, Powell exit likely by May 31