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1h US inflation jumps in March amid Iran war, Trump tariffs impact
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
1h US inflation jumps in March amid Iran war, Trump tariffs impact
▼ Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
3% (was 4%, ▼1¢ in 1h)
⚡ Fed decision june and july: 3% FLAT
NO ▲1¢
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
1h 2h Newsom blames high gas prices on incompetence amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
Developing
11%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
8m US presents new military options to Trump amid Iran tensions
✓ 23h Iran drone attack on US base in Kuwait kills 6, injures 30
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
41%
▼0¢
16m Iran demands accountability from Gulf states amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
Best AI model by may
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Google stock price predictions 100% FLAT
20m Google Cloud leads AI race as Big Tech invests up to $700B by 2026
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
22m Russia-Ukraine ceasefire unlikely near term, ISW report suggests
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
Developing
41%
▼0¢
33m Rubio calls Strait of Hormuz an economic nuclear weapon amid Iran tensions
✓ 21h UN warns Hormuz crisis disrupting global markets amid US-Iran tensions
1h UK opposes US blockade, backs reopening of Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi entry into Iran 6% FLAT
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
44m Iran regime solidifies power under IRGC control after US-Israeli strikes
Likely NO
Next Israeli prime minister
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
45m Poll: Bennett, Eisenkot seen as more suitable than Netanyahu for Israeli PM
2h Bennett-Lapid bloc challenges Netanyahu’s leadership amid Israeli political shift
Likely NO
Iran military action
7 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
48m Trump briefed on Iran strike options as Tehran activates air defenses
1h Iran accelerates missile recovery amid fragile ceasefire with US, Israel
✓ 22h Iran warns of retaliation if US resumes attacks amid Congress deadline
Likely NO
Bitcoin above on april 30
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 5% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 0% FLAT
1h SEC Chair Atkins announces pro-crypto policy shift at Bitcoin 2026
3h Iran war impacts global energy prices, inflation; Fed rate cuts unlikely in 2026
4h US defense secretary endorses Bitcoin, integrating it into defense strategies
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
2 articles
Developing
9%
▼0¢
1h White House considers seeking war authorization for Iran conflict
✓ 53h CENTCOM briefing to Trump suggests potential escalation towards Iran regime change
Likely NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
19%
▼0¢
1h Iran extends Strait of Hormuz blockade amid US-Iran peace deal uncertainty
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 30
3 articles
Developing
99%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 3 99% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 0% FLAT
1h Bitcoin hits $77,000 amid US-Israel-Iran tensions, oil prices surge
1h Bitcoin breaks four-year May decline pattern, hits $77,000 amid tensions
✓ 23h 10,000 Bitcoin worth $760M transferred to exchanges, potential selling pressure
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price in april 0% FLAT
✓ 31h Bitcoin ETFs see $14.7M inflow as Ethereum outflows continue
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
1h Israel orders evacuation of Lebanese towns ahead of planned military strikes
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
80%
▼0¢
2h Apple stock rises on iPhone 17, MacBook Neo forecasts amid Nvidia competition
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 2h ago
12%
▼0¢
2h EU approves €90B loan to Ukraine as Hungary lifts veto on pipeline repair
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
3 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
2h Middle East conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surge 46% in March
2h Oil prices rise amid US-Iran tensions as War Powers deadline nears
✓ 24h US gas prices hit $4.3 amid Strait of Hormuz disruptions, Trump comments on war end
Likely NO
Second largest company by end of april
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ SPY price movement on april 30 100% FLAT
2h US confirms military operations in Iran, impacting SPY market stability
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Brazil to announce measures on household debt amid high Selic rates
Likely NO
MegaETH FDV one day after launch
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
2h MegaETH token drops 25-30% post-launch, $500M FDV in doubt
Likely NO
Ethereum above on april 30
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
2h Bitmine stakes $366M in ETH amid geopolitical tensions, boosting long-term outlook
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
2 articles
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h US GDP grows 2.0% in Q1 2026, defying market’s 1.0% prediction
3h US inflation in March 2026, highest in nearly three years
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO timeline
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
3h US lends 92.5M barrels from reserve amid high crude oil price expectations
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
1 article
· 3h ago
7%
▼0¢
3h Trump calls for ABC to fire Jimmy Kimmel over Melania joke
Likely NO
Solana price in april
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
3h Solana RWA market share, outpaces Ethereum’s 40%
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 3h ago
10%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
3h IAEA warns Iran may hide enriched uranium at Isfahan amid stalled diplomacy
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 3h ago
12%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 4% FLAT
3h Trump skepticism dims hopes for US-Iran diplomatic meeting
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
· 4h ago
9%
▼0¢
✓ 34h Pentagon pauses War Powers clock amid Iran ceasefire, de-escalation efforts
Likely NO
James comey sentenced to prison in 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Comey prosecution faces First Amendment hurdles, experts say
Likely NO
XRP price on april 30
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h CLARITY Act expected to reach President’s desk this summer, says Tim Scott