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2h US inflation jumps in March amid Iran war, Trump tariffs impact
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
2h US inflation jumps in March amid Iran war, Trump tariffs impact
▼ Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
3% (was 4%, ▼1¢ in 2h)
⚡ Fed decision june and july: 3% FLAT
NO ▲1¢
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
2h 3h Newsom blames high gas prices on incompetence amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
6m FCC review of ABC licenses intensifies pressure on Jimmy Kimmel
4h Trump calls for ABC to fire Jimmy Kimmel over Melania joke
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
12m Israeli shelling on Labour Day escalates tensions in Lebanon
2h Israel orders evacuation of Lebanese towns ahead of planned military strikes
Likely NO
Bitcoin price april 27-may 3
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 0% FLAT
14m $6.8B in Bitcoin long positions at risk of liquidation amid market downturn
Likely NO
Largest company by december 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by end of april 100% FLAT
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 0% FLAT
19m US tech giants report strong Q1 earnings driven by AI, cloud investments
Likely NO
Starmer out timing
1 article
Developing
41%
▼0¢
35m Labour’s London support declines, challenging Starmer’s leadership ahead of 2026 elections
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 2
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 1 100% FLAT
38m Bitcoin expected to stay above $68K despite geopolitical tensions by May 2
1h ECB’s Muller signals potential rate hike amid Middle East energy pressures
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
2 articles
Developing
13%
▼0¢
42m Iran’s president, parliament seek to dismiss FM Araghchi amid IRGC influence
1h Iran regime solidifies power under IRGC control after US-Israeli strikes
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap predictions
2 articles
Developing
79%
▼0¢
44m Apple sales success challenges Nvidia’s market cap lead by June 30
3h Apple stock rises on iPhone 17, MacBook Neo forecasts amid Nvidia competition
Likely NO
Brazil presidential election 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
47m Brazil cuts Bolsonaro’s jail term, boosting conservative election prospects
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
4 articles
Developing
40%
▼0¢
⚡ US x Iran ceasefire extensions 0% FLAT
52m Pakistan tanker exits Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tension easing
1h Rubio calls Strait of Hormuz an economic nuclear weapon amid Iran tensions
✓ 22h UN warns Hormuz crisis disrupting global markets amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
55m Middle East conflict drives oil price forecast to hit $90 by June
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 0% FLAT
1h Trump exits Iran nuclear pact, revives tensions with uranium enrichment
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
Developing
41%
▼0¢
1h US official: Iran war truce ‘terminated’ hostilities for war powers deadline
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h US GDP grows 2% in Q1 2026 despite geopolitical tensions
4h US GDP grows 2.0% in Q1 2026, defying market’s 1.0% prediction
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
Developing
11%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
1h US presents new military options to Trump amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
41%
▼0¢
1h Iran demands accountability from Gulf states amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
Best AI model by may
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Google stock price predictions 100% FLAT
1h Google Cloud leads AI race as Big Tech invests up to $700B by 2026
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
1h Russia-Ukraine ceasefire unlikely near term, ISW report suggests
Likely NO
Next Israeli prime minister
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
1h Poll: Bennett, Eisenkot seen as more suitable than Netanyahu for Israeli PM
3h Bennett-Lapid bloc challenges Netanyahu’s leadership amid Israeli political shift
Likely NO
Iran military action
4 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Trump briefed on Iran strike options as Tehran activates air defenses
2h Iran accelerates missile recovery amid fragile ceasefire with US, Israel
✓ 23h Iran warns of retaliation if US resumes attacks amid Congress deadline
Likely NO
Bitcoin above on april 30
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 5% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 0% FLAT
2h SEC Chair Atkins announces pro-crypto policy shift at Bitcoin 2026
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
2 articles
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
2h White House considers seeking war authorization for Iran conflict
✓ 54h CENTCOM briefing to Trump suggests potential escalation towards Iran regime change
Likely NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
19%
▼0¢
2h Iran extends Strait of Hormuz blockade amid US-Iran peace deal uncertainty
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 30
2 articles
· 2h ago
99%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 3 99% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 0% FLAT
2h Bitcoin hits $77,000 amid US-Israel-Iran tensions, oil prices surge
2h Bitcoin breaks four-year May decline pattern, hits $77,000 amid tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price in april 0% FLAT
✓ 32h Bitcoin ETFs see $14.7M inflow as Ethereum outflows continue
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 3h ago
12%
▼0¢
3h EU approves €90B loan to Ukraine as Hungary lifts veto on pipeline repair
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
3h Middle East conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surge 46% in March
3h Oil prices rise amid US-Iran tensions as War Powers deadline nears
Likely NO
Second largest company by end of april
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ SPY price movement on april 30 100% FLAT
3h US confirms military operations in Iran, impacting SPY market stability
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Brazil to announce measures on household debt amid high Selic rates
Likely NO
MegaETH FDV one day after launch
1 article
· 4h ago
1%
▼0¢
4h MegaETH token drops 25-30% post-launch, $500M FDV in doubt
Likely NO
Ethereum above on april 30
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
4h Bitmine stakes $366M in ETH amid geopolitical tensions, boosting long-term outlook
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO timeline
1 article
· 4h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
4h US lends 92.5M barrels from reserve amid high crude oil price expectations