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48m Solana reaches 10.1B transactions in Q1, boosting $150 price outlook for April
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
48m Solana reaches 10.1B transactions in Q1, boosting $150 price outlook for April
▲ Solana price in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 48m)
YES ▲3¢
Trump's acquisition of greenland
1 article
· 4h ago
84%
▲3¢
4h Trump’s Greenland acquisition unlikely amid US-Denmark tensions
YES ▲2¢
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
2 articles
Developing
28%
▲2¢
1h Iran demands accountability for US-Israeli actions amid diplomatic tensions
✓ 25h UAE distrusts Iran over Hormuz, complicates US-Iran peace efforts
YES ▲1¢
Fed rate decisions
1 article
Developing
5%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT
1h Federal Reserve holds rates steady amid dissenting vote for cut
NO ▲1¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
Developing
41%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 0% FLAT
1h Trump rejects Iran peace proposal, vows to maintain Hormuz blockade
YES ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
7%
▲1¢
3h Ukraine to escalate drone attacks amid ongoing conflict with Russia
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
4 articles
Developing
15%
▼0¢
6m Exxon CEO: Middle East oil production could resume quickly after Hormuz reopening
51m Exxon CEO warns Middle East supply constraints may boost WTI oil prices
2h Israeli airstrikes on Iran threaten oil supply, prices may hit $150
Likely NO
Bitcoin above on april 30
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 2 100% FLAT
21m Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, impacting Bitcoin market sentiment
Likely NO
MegaETH FDV one day after launch
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ MegaETH market cap predictions 100% FLAT
23m MegaETH token launch drives market confidence in $6B FDV potential
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
26m Melania Trump urges Disney to fire Jimmy Kimmel after controversial joke
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
4 articles
Developing
41%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 42% FLAT
34m Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, tensions with US escalate
2h Iran’s supreme leader rejects concessions as US weighs military options
✓ 52h Iran submits new proposal via Pakistan to mediate US standoff
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
37m ExxonMobil, Chevron resist US calls to boost oil output amid energy crisis
✓ 32h ExxonMobil output hit by 15% due to Strait of Hormuz closure
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
3 articles
Developing
41%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 42% FLAT
42m Strait of Hormuz blockade deepens economic divide among Gulf oil exporters
✓ 343m Iran proposes easing Hormuz blockade, oil prices fall
✓ 24h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, US maintains blockade amid oil price surge
Likely NO
WTI crude oil predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
15%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
45m UAE exits OPEC, plans to boost oil output amid Iran conflict
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 30 100% FLAT
1h Crypto hacks surge in April, dampening Ethereum and Bitcoin price outlook
Likely NO
Next Israeli prime minister
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
1h Bennett and Lapid alliance challenges Netanyahu’s leadership prospects
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
Developing
28%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 27% FLAT
✓ 31h US envoy proposes nuclear amendments in Iran talks amid regional tensions
Likely YES
Military actions against Iran
1 article
· 4h ago
0%
4h US Navy adopts AI for mine detection in Strait of Hormuz, aims for faster clearance
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
4 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
19m Trump faces deadline on Iran military operations under War Powers Resolution
✓ 31h Iran’s diplomatic push for ceasefire excludes key Gulf states
✓ 52h Iran responds to US deal amendments via Pakistani mediators: Axios
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
Developing
0%
2m US Navy uses AI to counter Iranian mines, easing Strait of Hormuz tensions
2h US military operations in Iran hit 60-day mark, raising escalation concerns
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Anthropic mythos provision to US government 100% FLAT
⚡ Second largest company by end of april 0% FLAT
1h Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon sign AI deal with Pentagon, boosting market position
3h Pentagon expands AI use with Nvidia, boosting market cap prospects
✓ 43h Pentagon expands AI contracts with Nvidia, ends Anthropic deal
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Israel expands military operations in southern Lebanon, raising withdrawal doubts
1h IDF captures Bint Jbeil, escalating tensions amid Lebanon withdrawal talks
✓ 24h IDF restores security guidelines amid Lebanon border tensions
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bank of brazil decision in april 2026 100% FLAT
1h Bank of England holds rates amid energy price surge
Likely NO
Trump out as president timeline
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
1h White House confirms third assassination attempt on Trump at press dinner
Likely NO
Dissent at april Fed meeting
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Kashkari warns oil shock could lead to Fed rate hikes amid Iran conflict
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
2h Fed’s Hammack opposes rate cut, aligns with hawkish regional sentiment
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ ECB interest rates april 2026 100% FLAT
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT
2h Iran conflict drives oil to $115, central banks adopt hawkish stance
2h Fed dissent dampens June rate cut expectations, Bitcoin $80K April odds low
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
2h Kashkari dissent highlights inflation risks from Iran conflict, complicates Fed policy
Likely NO
Fed decision june and july
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
3h US-Iran tensions drive oil prices above $110, impacting Fed rate cut odds
Likely NO
James comey sentenced to prison in 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ James comey arrest timeline 100% FLAT
5h James Comey indicted for threats against Trump, arrest seen as imminent
Likely NO
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
· 5h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in april 0% FLAT
5h Solana leads in quantum security with NIST-approved signatures, ahead of Ethereum