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✓ 32h Trump confirms ongoing Iran talks amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 32h Trump confirms ongoing Iran talks amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
▼ Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
28% (was 29%, ▼1¢ in 2h)
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting: 29% FLAT
NO ▲1¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
3 articles
· 2h ago
28%
▼1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 29% FLAT
✓ 32h ✓ 23h Iran ramps up diplomatic outreach amid US meeting prospects
✓ 24h Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, tensions with US escalate
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire
2 articles
· 2h ago
11%
▼1¢
✓ 122h Trump dissatisfied with Iran proposal, ceasefire market drops YES
✓ 24h Trump faces deadline on Iran military operations under War Powers Resolution
NO ▲1¢
US withdrawal from NATO timeline
1 article
· 2h ago
11%
▼1¢
2h Trump considers US troop withdrawal from Germany, Italy, Spain amid NATO tensions
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
4 articles
Developing
14%
▼0¢
7m US sanctions Iranian exchanges, Chinese terminal amid Hormuz crisis
✓ 229m WTI crude futures drop $3.1 amid easing US-Iran tensions
2h US imposes new Iran sanctions, warns against Hormuz toll payments
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
4 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
9m UAE exits OPEC amid Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts oil prices
22m Venezuela crude exports rise, surpass 1M barrels a day in April
3h Venezuela boosts oil exports to US and India amid geopolitical shifts
Likely NO
Trump out as president
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
13m Trump confirms end of Iran military operations with April 7 ceasefire
✓ 432m Trump ends Iran hostilities, hints at possible future military action
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on april 30 100% FLAT
20m Ethereum Foundation sells $22.9M ETH, market confidence wanes
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
Developing
11%
▼0¢
✓ 325m Trump asserts Iran operations don’t need congressional approval amid tensions
4h US Navy uses AI to counter Iranian mines, easing Strait of Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
27m IRGC asserts Supreme Leader to set new Persian Gulf rules amid power shift
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
3 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
36m Powell warns high oil prices may impact US economy amid Hormuz tensions
4h Strait of Hormuz blockade deepens economic divide among Gulf oil exporters
✓ 34h Iran proposes easing Hormuz blockade, oil prices fall
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
39m Powell signals cautious Fed stance, lowering rate cut expectations through 2026
3h Fed holds rates steady amid inflation concerns, Powell highlights Middle East risks
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
Developing
41%
▼0¢
46m Iran shuts Strait of Hormuz, stranding 20,000 seafarers amid US tensions
2h Iran accuses US of causing insecurity in Strait of Hormuz amid blockade tensions
Likely NO
Ethereum above on april 30
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on april 30 100% FLAT
✓ 249m Bitmine buys $234M in Ethereum amid US-Iran conflict tensions
54m Bitmine buys $294M Ethereum ahead of Clarity Act debate in May
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
57m ECB credit standards tighten amid geopolitical tensions, energy volatility
3h ECB holds rates steady amid inflation risks, market expects cuts by April 2026
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
58m Melania Trump urges ABC to fire Kimmel over widow joke amid political tensions
4h Melania Trump urges Disney to fire Jimmy Kimmel after controversial joke
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 30
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 0% FLAT
59m Bitcoin drops as leverage liquidations drive structural downside
3h Bitcoin closes above 21-week trend line amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Iran military action
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h IDF struggles with Hezbollah drones, complicating Israel’s Lebanon withdrawal
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
1h Trump comments hint at US-Iran tensions amid Strait of Hormuz blockade
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
✓ 22h Trump downplays US missile inventory concerns amid Iran de-escalation
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
2h Trump administration claims US no longer at war with Iran under War Powers Resolution
Likely NO
Trump's Iranian demands in april
1 article
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
✓ 32h US intensifies sanctions on Iran, impacting oil price expectations
Likely NO
Iran diplomatic meetings
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
✓ 42h Trump uncertain about Iran meeting by April 30 amid stalled talks
Likely NO
WTI crude oil predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
2h Iran conflict closes Strait of Hormuz, risks $160 WTI oil price in April 2026
Likely NO
Ethereum price on april 30
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price predictions for april 30 0% FLAT
3h Ethereum faces pressure as US-Iran talks impact price outlook
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
3h Alphabet shares hit all-time high on strong earnings boost
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
· 3h ago
41%
▼0¢
3h Muted shipping through Strait of Hormuz amid stalled US-Iran talks
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
3h Manufacturing ISM report shows price surge, employment drop amid Fed rate cut talk
4h Iran war disrupts oil exports, US manufacturing costs surge
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 3h ago
7%
▼0¢
3h Russia proposes ceasefire as symbolic gesture, Ukraine skeptical
Likely NO
Bitcoin above on april 30
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 2 100% FLAT
4h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, impacting Bitcoin market sentiment
Likely NO
MegaETH FDV one day after launch
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ MegaETH market cap predictions 100% FLAT
4h MegaETH token launch drives market confidence in $6B FDV potential