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41m Meta’s Reality Labs reports $4B Q1 loss amid AI strategy shift
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
41m Meta’s Reality Labs reports $4B Q1 loss amid AI strategy shift
▲ Meta platforms stock price predictions
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 41m)
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price predictions for april 30
1 article
Developing
100%
▲100¢
1h Iran conflict raises oil prices, impacts Bitcoin reaching $79K by April 30
YES ▲100¢
Military actions against Iran
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▲100¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 0% FLAT
✓ 42h US to withdraw 5,000 troops from Germany amid Iran tensions
✓ 32h Iran conflict spikes fuel prices, halts Strait of Hormuz shipping
YES ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
Developing
7%
▲1¢
1h Ukraine issues air raid alerts amid escalating Russian drone attacks
NO ▲1¢
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
33%
▼1¢
2h Exxon output drops 6% amid US-Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz disruptions persist
YES ▲1¢
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
27%
▲1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 26% FLAT
✓ 33h Trump signals prolonged US military presence in Iran amid tensions
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
1h Cuba rejects US sanctions, raising WTI crude oil supply chain concerns
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h UAE exits OPEC, raising geopolitical tensions and oil price volatility
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
Developing
41%
▼0¢
1h Iran proposes new management for Strait of Hormuz amid US blockade
✓ 43h US blockade costs Iran $4.8B in oil revenue, Pentagon reports
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
2 articles
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action 100% FLAT
2h Hezbollah refuses to disarm, impacting Israeli withdrawal outlook
4h IDF intensifies operations in Lebanon, kills 130 Hezbollah fighters
Likely NO
Bitcoin future price predictions
2 articles
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
2h JP Morgan Chase to accept Bitcoin as collateral for institutional loans
4h CFTC to legalize crypto perpetuals in US, boosting regulatory clarity
Likely NO
James comey sentenced to prison in 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ James comey arrest timeline 100% FLAT
2h James Comey indicted for threatening Trump in Instagram post
Likely NO
Next Israeli prime minister
1 article
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
2h Bennett, Lapid form “Together” bloc, challenging Netanyahu ahead of 2026 elections
Likely NO
XRP price on april 30
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 2 100% FLAT
✓ 32h US senators reach stablecoin yield deal ahead of CLARITY Act markup
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
· 3h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 0% FLAT
✓ 23h Trump declares end of Iran conflict, uranium deal remains uncertain
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 23h US officials may fast-track AI security deadlines amid cyber threat concerns
Likely NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 3h ago
23%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium 0% FLAT
3h Trump vows to counter nuclear ambitions amid Iran tensions
Likely YES
US-Iran ceasefire
5 articles
Developing
0%
2m Trump declares end to Iran military operations as war powers deadline hits
36m Trump dissatisfied with Iran’s peace proposal, ceasefire prospects dim
✓ 551m Trump’s comments fuel US-Iran tension, impact WTI crude oil outlook
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
9m Banco do Brasil boosts capital limit to $30B amid rising loan defaults
Likely NO
Ethereum up or down on april 30
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
13m XRP sentiment peaks with Rakuten Wallet integration, price capped at $1.4
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
5 articles
Developing
33%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 0% FLAT
16m Trump comments dampen prospects for US-Iran diplomatic meeting
✓ 218m US expedites arms transfers to Middle East amid Iran tensions
✓ 224m Trump suggests US pivot to Cuba after nearing completion in Iran
Likely NO
Iran military action
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 0% FLAT
20m Iran excavates missiles during ceasefire, raising military action concerns
3h Iran executes protest figures amid rising unrest and internet crackdown
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
Developing
12%
▼0¢
23m Trump announces closure of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Trump's acquisition of greenland
1 article
Developing
86%
▼0¢
32m EU labels US unreliable amid auto tariffs, impacting Greenland acquisition odds
Likely NO
Bitcoin price april 27-may 3
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 0% FLAT
38m Morgan Stanley buys $22.4M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
10%
▼0¢
40m Trump, Putin discuss Ukraine ceasefire, potential easing of Russia sanctions
2h US warns Europe of arms shipment delays amid Iran operations: FT
Likely NO
Bitcoin above on april 30
2 articles
Developing
100%
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
3m Iran war termination announcement stabilizes crude oil prices, market reflects
3h Banks reach compromise on crypto market structure bill, boosting Bitcoin outlook
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 34% FLAT
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 0% FLAT
55m Pro-regime rally in Tehran signals regime stability amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Iran leadership vacuum complicates diplomatic efforts amid ongoing conflict
✓ 34h Trump’s dissatisfaction dims Iran leadership change, ceasefire prospects
Likely NO
Largest company by december 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by end of april 100% FLAT
1h Alphabet nears $5T market cap, could surpass Nvidia as most valuable company
1h Alphabet’s $36.9B Q1 gain boosts market cap competitiveness against Microsoft
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
27%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Trump comments dampen US-Iran diplomatic meeting prospects by June 30
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Middle East tensions drive WTI crude prices toward $150 amid Strait disruptions
Likely NO
Starmer out timing
1 article
· 4h ago
42%
▼0¢
4h Wes Streeting prepares to challenge Keir Starmer’s Labour leadership: Telegraph