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✓ 22h Trump declares end to Iran military operations as war powers deadline hits
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 22h Trump declares end to Iran military operations as war powers deadline hits
▲ US-Iran ceasefire
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 2h)
YES ▲100¢
US-Iran ceasefire
4 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▲100¢
✓ 22h ✓ 32h Trump dissatisfied with Iran’s peace proposal, ceasefire prospects dim
✓ 53h Trump’s comments fuel US-Iran tension, impact WTI crude oil outlook
YES ▲100¢
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▲100¢
2h Meta’s Reality Labs reports $4B Q1 loss amid AI strategy shift
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price predictions for april 30
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▲100¢
4h Iran conflict raises oil prices, impacts Bitcoin reaching $79K by April 30
YES ▲1¢
Trump's acquisition of greenland
1 article
· 2h ago
87%
▲1¢
2h EU labels US unreliable amid auto tariffs, impacting Greenland acquisition odds
YES ▲1¢
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 3h ago
28%
▲1¢
✓ 23h Trump comments dampen US-Iran diplomatic meeting prospects by June 30
YES ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
7%
▲1¢
3h Ukraine issues air raid alerts amid escalating Russian drone attacks
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 34% FLAT
2m Iran economy struggles as Strait of Hormuz traffic decreases amid instability
3h Middle East tensions drive WTI crude prices toward $150 amid Strait disruptions
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
4 articles
Developing
41%
▼0¢
10m Iran open to talks, Trump praises US laser defense amid Hormuz tensions
1h Trump advises Netanyahu on surgical strikes amid faltering Lebanon ceasefire
1h US troop withdrawal from Germany signals potential de-escalation with Iran
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
16m Samsung chip profit surges 48-fold amid AI demand, competition with Nvidia
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
19m Jim Cramer warns of economic decline amid rising US inflation
Likely NO
MegaETH market cap predictions
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
22m Coinbase deal on CLARITY Act provision may boost Bitcoin regulatory clarity
Likely NO
Bitcoin price april 27-may 3
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 0% FLAT
24m BlackRock clients invest $284M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical tensions
2h Morgan Stanley buys $22.4M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 0% FLAT
46m Bitcoin posts best monthly gain in a year, retail interest wanes
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap predictions
1 article
Developing
74%
▼0¢
1h Apple’s Q1 revenue beat may bolster market cap race against Nvidia
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 2 100% FLAT
1h Brazil central bank bans crypto in cross-border eFX rails, tightening oversight
2h Banco do Brasil boosts capital limit to $30B amid rising loan defaults
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
1h Fed presidents oppose rate cuts, signaling hawkish stance for 2026
4h Exxon output drops 6% amid US-Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz disruptions persist
Likely NO
Iran military action
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h CNN report: Iranian strikes damage US bases, escalating tensions
2h Iran excavates missiles during ceasefire, raising military action concerns
Likely NO
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
1h OKX agent payments protocol launched with Ethereum, Solana backing
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
Developing
41%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Iran seeks response to US naval blockade disrupting oil exports: WSJ
4h Iran proposes new management for Strait of Hormuz amid US blockade
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
1h US stock market gains $6T in April amid easing geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin above on april 30
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
2h Iran war termination announcement stabilizes crude oil prices, market reflects
Likely NO
Ethereum up or down on april 30
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
2h XRP sentiment peaks with Rakuten Wallet integration, price capped at $1.4
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
4 articles
· 2h ago
33%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 0% FLAT
✓ 22h Trump comments dampen prospects for US-Iran diplomatic meeting
✓ 22h US expedites arms transfers to Middle East amid Iran tensions
✓ 42h Trump suggests US pivot to Cuba after nearing completion in Iran
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
· 2h ago
12%
▼0¢
2h Trump announces closure of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
2 articles
· 2h ago
10%
▼0¢
2h Trump, Putin discuss Ukraine ceasefire, potential easing of Russia sanctions
4h US warns Europe of arms shipment delays amid Iran operations: FT
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 34% FLAT
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 0% FLAT
3h Pro-regime rally in Tehran signals regime stability amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 3h ago
7%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Iran leadership vacuum complicates diplomatic efforts amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
Largest company by december 2026
2 articles
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by end of april 100% FLAT
3h Alphabet nears $5T market cap, could surpass Nvidia as most valuable company
3h Alphabet’s $36.9B Q1 gain boosts market cap competitiveness against Microsoft
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
10%
▼0¢
4h Cuba rejects US sanctions, raising WTI crude oil supply chain concerns
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h UAE exits OPEC, raising geopolitical tensions and oil price volatility
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 4h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action 100% FLAT
4h Hezbollah refuses to disarm, impacting Israeli withdrawal outlook
Likely NO
Bitcoin future price predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
5%
▼0¢
4h JP Morgan Chase to accept Bitcoin as collateral for institutional loans
Likely NO
James comey sentenced to prison in 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ James comey arrest timeline 100% FLAT
4h James Comey indicted for threatening Trump in Instagram post