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3h EU labels US unreliable amid auto tariffs, impacting Greenland acquisition odds
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
3h EU labels US unreliable amid auto tariffs, impacting Greenland acquisition odds
▲ Trump's acquisition of greenland
88% (was 86%, ▲2¢ in 3h)
YES ▲2¢
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 4h ago
29%
▲2¢
✓ 24h Trump comments dampen US-Iran diplomatic meeting prospects by June 30
YES ▲1¢
Kharg island control changes
1 article
Developing
8%
▲1¢
53m IRGC Navy to enforce Khamenei’s directive amid US naval blockade in Persian Gulf
YES ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
75%
▲1¢
2h Apple’s Q1 revenue beat may bolster market cap race against Nvidia
NO ▲1¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
3 articles
· 3h ago
13%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 0% FLAT
✓ 23h Trump comments dampen prospects for US-Iran diplomatic meeting
✓ 23h US expedites arms transfers to Middle East amid Iran tensions
✓ 43h Trump suggests US pivot to Cuba after nearing completion in Iran
Likely NO
Iran diplomatic meetings
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Military actions against Iran 0% FLAT
15m US bypasses Congress for $8.6B arms sales amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
5 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
18m China urges continuation of Iran ceasefire amid stalled negotiations
✓ 23h Trump declares end to Iran military operations as war powers deadline hits
✓ 33h Trump dissatisfied with Iran’s peace proposal, ceasefire prospects dim
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
Developing
12%
▼0¢
27m UAE exits OPEC amid Middle East tensions, oil prices expected to rise
Likely NO
Best AI model by may
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Anthropic mythos provision to US government 100% FLAT
28m Anthropic’s AI actions may impact Google’s top model odds by May
Likely NO
China-taiwan invasion predictions
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin above on april 30 100% FLAT
30m Taiwan lawmaker proposes Bitcoin reserve amid China tensions
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
34m Google, Meta, Microsoft boost AI spending amid US-China competition
3h Meta’s Reality Labs reports $4B Q1 loss amid AI strategy shift
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
38m Trump demands Jimmy Kimmel’s firing after controversial joke at White House dinner
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
39m Ukraine repels massive drone swarm amid Russian strikes on critical infrastructure
4h Ukraine issues air raid alerts amid escalating Russian drone attacks
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
48m IAEA, Russia, US in talks to extract Iran’s enriched uranium from Isfahan
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 34% FLAT
1h Iran economy struggles as Strait of Hormuz traffic decreases amid instability
4h Middle East tensions drive WTI crude prices toward $150 amid Strait disruptions
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Samsung chip profit surges 48-fold amid AI demand, competition with Nvidia
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h Jim Cramer warns of economic decline amid rising US inflation
Likely NO
MegaETH market cap predictions
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h Coinbase deal on CLARITY Act provision may boost Bitcoin regulatory clarity
Likely NO
Bitcoin price april 27-may 3
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 0% FLAT
1h BlackRock clients invest $284M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical tensions
3h Morgan Stanley buys $22.4M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 0% FLAT
1h Bitcoin posts best monthly gain in a year, retail interest wanes
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 2 100% FLAT
2h Brazil central bank bans crypto in cross-border eFX rails, tightening oversight
3h Banco do Brasil boosts capital limit to $30B amid rising loan defaults
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
2h Fed presidents oppose rate cuts, signaling hawkish stance for 2026
Likely NO
Iran military action
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 22h CNN report: Iranian strikes damage US bases, escalating tensions
3h Iran excavates missiles during ceasefire, raising military action concerns
Likely NO
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
2h OKX agent payments protocol launched with Ethereum, Solana backing
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
2h US stock market gains $6T in April amid easing geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin above on april 30
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
3h Iran war termination announcement stabilizes crude oil prices, market reflects
Likely NO
Ethereum up or down on april 30
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
3h XRP sentiment peaks with Rakuten Wallet integration, price capped at $1.4
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
· 3h ago
12%
▼0¢
3h Trump announces closure of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
4 articles
Developing
0%
44m USS Gerald R. Ford departs Middle East, signals partial US military de-escalation
1h Iran open to talks, Trump praises US laser defense amid Hormuz tensions
✓ 22h Trump advises Netanyahu on surgical strikes amid faltering Lebanon ceasefire
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 2h ago
41%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Iran seeks response to US naval blockade disrupting oil exports: WSJ
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 3h ago
10%
▼0¢
3h Trump, Putin discuss Ukraine ceasefire, potential easing of Russia sanctions
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 34% FLAT
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 0% FLAT
4h Pro-regime rally in Tehran signals regime stability amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 4h ago
7%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Iran leadership vacuum complicates diplomatic efforts amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
Largest company by december 2026
2 articles
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by end of april 100% FLAT
4h Alphabet nears $5T market cap, could surpass Nvidia as most valuable company
4h Alphabet’s $36.9B Q1 gain boosts market cap competitiveness against Microsoft