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4h EU labels US unreliable amid auto tariffs, impacting Greenland acquisition odds
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
4h EU labels US unreliable amid auto tariffs, impacting Greenland acquisition odds
▲ Trump's acquisition of greenland
88% (was 86%, ▲2¢ in 4h)
YES ▲1¢
Kharg island control changes
1 article
Developing
8%
▲1¢
1h IRGC Navy to enforce Khamenei’s directive amid US naval blockade in Persian Gulf
YES ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
75%
▲1¢
3h Apple’s Q1 revenue beat may bolster market cap race against Nvidia
NO ▲1¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
3 articles
· 4h ago
13%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 0% FLAT
✓ 24h Trump comments dampen prospects for US-Iran diplomatic meeting
✓ 24h US expedites arms transfers to Middle East amid Iran tensions
✓ 44h Trump suggests US pivot to Cuba after nearing completion in Iran
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
1h Trump demands Jimmy Kimmel’s firing after controversial joke at White House dinner
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
1h Ukraine repels massive drone swarm amid Russian strikes on critical infrastructure
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
1h IAEA, Russia, US in talks to extract Iran’s enriched uranium from Isfahan
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
· 2h ago
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 34% FLAT
2h Iran economy struggles as Strait of Hormuz traffic decreases amid instability
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Samsung chip profit surges 48-fold amid AI demand, competition with Nvidia
Likely NO
Bitcoin above on april 30
2 articles
Developing
100%
1m Libya boosts oil output amid Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz disruptions persist
4h Iran war termination announcement stabilizes crude oil prices, market reflects
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
14m Trump signs order to expedite psychedelic treatments for veterans
Likely NO
Trump's Iranian demands in april
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 6% FLAT
20m Trump rejects Iranian demands, lowers US war declaration likelihood
Likely NO
MegaETH FDV one day after launch
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ MegaETH market cap predictions 100% FLAT
23m Upbit lists MEGA token, boosting MegaETH FDV prospects over $500M
Likely NO
Iran diplomatic meetings
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Military actions against Iran 0% FLAT
1h US bypasses Congress for $8.6B arms sales amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
5 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
1h China urges continuation of Iran ceasefire amid stalled negotiations
✓ 24h Trump declares end to Iran military operations as war powers deadline hits
✓ 34h Trump dissatisfied with Iran’s peace proposal, ceasefire prospects dim
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
Developing
12%
▼0¢
1h UAE exits OPEC amid Middle East tensions, oil prices expected to rise
Likely NO
Best AI model by may
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Anthropic mythos provision to US government 100% FLAT
1h Anthropic’s AI actions may impact Google’s top model odds by May
Likely NO
China-taiwan invasion predictions
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin above on april 30 100% FLAT
1h Taiwan lawmaker proposes Bitcoin reserve amid China tensions
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Google, Meta, Microsoft boost AI spending amid US-China competition
✓ 24h Meta’s Reality Labs reports $4B Q1 loss amid AI strategy shift
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
2h Jim Cramer warns of economic decline amid rising US inflation
Likely NO
MegaETH market cap predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
2h Coinbase deal on CLARITY Act provision may boost Bitcoin regulatory clarity
Likely NO
Bitcoin price april 27-may 3
2 articles
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 0% FLAT
2h BlackRock clients invest $284M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical tensions
4h Morgan Stanley buys $22.4M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 0% FLAT
2h Bitcoin posts best monthly gain in a year, retail interest wanes
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
2 articles
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 2 100% FLAT
3h Brazil central bank bans crypto in cross-border eFX rails, tightening oversight
4h Banco do Brasil boosts capital limit to $30B amid rising loan defaults
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
3h Fed presidents oppose rate cuts, signaling hawkish stance for 2026
Likely NO
Iran military action
2 articles
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 23h CNN report: Iranian strikes damage US bases, escalating tensions
4h Iran excavates missiles during ceasefire, raising military action concerns
Likely NO
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
3h OKX agent payments protocol launched with Ethereum, Solana backing
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 3h ago
41%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Iran seeks response to US naval blockade disrupting oil exports: WSJ
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
3h US stock market gains $6T in April amid easing geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Ethereum up or down on april 30
1 article
· 4h ago
4%
▼0¢
4h XRP sentiment peaks with Rakuten Wallet integration, price capped at $1.4
Likely NO
US forces enter Iran
1 article
Developing
100%
2m USS Gerald R. Ford leaves Middle East, signaling reduced US military presence
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
· 4h ago
12%
▼0¢
4h Trump announces closure of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
4 articles
Developing
0%
✓ 21h USS Gerald R. Ford departs Middle East, signals partial US military de-escalation
2h Iran open to talks, Trump praises US laser defense amid Hormuz tensions
✓ 23h Trump advises Netanyahu on surgical strikes amid faltering Lebanon ceasefire
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 4h ago
10%
▼0¢
4h Trump, Putin discuss Ukraine ceasefire, potential easing of Russia sanctions
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 5h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 34% FLAT
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 0% FLAT
5h Pro-regime rally in Tehran signals regime stability amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 5h ago
7%
▼0¢
✓ 25h Iran leadership vacuum complicates diplomatic efforts amid ongoing conflict