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5h Apple’s Q1 revenue beat may bolster market cap race against Nvidia
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
5h Apple’s Q1 revenue beat may bolster market cap race against Nvidia
▲ Largest company by market cap predictions
76% (was 74%, ▲2¢ in 5h)
NO ▲1¢
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
1 article
· 3h ago
5%
▼1¢
3h Trump demands Jimmy Kimmel’s firing after controversial joke at White House dinner
YES ▲1¢
Kharg island control changes
1 article
· 3h ago
8%
▲1¢
3h IRGC Navy to enforce Khamenei’s directive amid US naval blockade in Persian Gulf
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
4 articles
Developing
10%
1m Trump rejects Iran peace proposal, reinforcing US-Iran diplomatic stalemate
9m Iran closes Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions, risking global oil supply disruption
3h China urges continuation of Iran ceasefire amid stalled negotiations
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 6% FLAT
4m Trump announces US troop withdrawal from Germany amid Iran tensions
52m Iranian attacks on US bases in Kuwait escalate military tensions
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
⚡ Iran leadership change 34% FLAT
6m Iranian hardliners tighten grip, reducing odds of regime change
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 30
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 5% FLAT
14m Bitcoin surpasses $78,000 as Senate clears Clarity Act, boosting regulatory clarity
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
16m China urges UN to reconsider UNIFIL withdrawal amid Lebanon conflict
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
18m US-Israel airstrikes on Iran escalate tensions amid regime instability
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
43m Huawei AI chip sales surge as Nvidia faces China market challenges
4h Samsung chip profit surges 48-fold amid AI demand, competition with Nvidia
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
Developing
12%
▼0¢
45m Strait of Hormuz closure reroutes shipping, boosts Panama Canal costs
3h Iran economy struggles as Strait of Hormuz traffic decreases amid instability
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
47m Venezuela signs $2B oil MoUs with US firms amid supply shift
3h UAE exits OPEC amid Middle East tensions, oil prices expected to rise
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 0% FLAT
1h Trump favors no Iran deal as US military presence increases
Likely NO
Iran military action
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Israeli forces conduct 41 attacks in Lebanon, killing 23 amid ongoing conflict
✓ 25h CNN report: Iranian strikes damage US bases, escalating tensions
Likely NO
Fed rate decisions
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ ECB interest rates april 2026 100% FLAT
1h Bank of England signals potential rate hikes amid Iran conflict inflation risks
Likely NO
Bitcoin above on april 30
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Libya boosts oil output amid Iran conflict, Strait of Hormuz disruptions persist
Likely NO
US forces enter Iran
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h USS Gerald R. Ford leaves Middle East, signaling reduced US military presence
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
1h Trump signs order to expedite psychedelic treatments for veterans
Likely NO
Trump's Iranian demands in april
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 6% FLAT
2h Trump rejects Iranian demands, lowers US war declaration likelihood
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
4 articles
· 3h ago
0%
✓ 23h USS Gerald R. Ford departs Middle East, signals partial US military de-escalation
✓ 23h Iran open to talks, Trump praises US laser defense amid Hormuz tensions
✓ 24h Trump advises Netanyahu on surgical strikes amid faltering Lebanon ceasefire
Likely NO
MegaETH FDV one day after launch
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ MegaETH market cap predictions 100% FLAT
✓ 22h Upbit lists MEGA token, boosting MegaETH FDV prospects over $500M
Likely NO
Iran diplomatic meetings
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Military actions against Iran 0% FLAT
✓ 22h US bypasses Congress for $8.6B arms sales amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Best AI model by may
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Anthropic mythos provision to US government 100% FLAT
3h Anthropic’s AI actions may impact Google’s top model odds by May
Likely NO
China-taiwan invasion predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin above on april 30 100% FLAT
3h Taiwan lawmaker proposes Bitcoin reserve amid China tensions
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Google, Meta, Microsoft boost AI spending amid US-China competition
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
7%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Ukraine repels massive drone swarm amid Russian strikes on critical infrastructure
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 3h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
3h IAEA, Russia, US in talks to extract Iran’s enriched uranium from Isfahan
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
Developing
41%
2m Iran declares Hormuz non-negotiable amid US tensions
✓ 349m Trump criticizes US Navy’s Iranian port blockade as ‘piracy’ amid tensions
✓ 25h Iran seeks response to US naval blockade disrupting oil exports: WSJ
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
· 4h ago
5%
▼0¢
4h Jim Cramer warns of economic decline amid rising US inflation
Likely NO
MegaETH market cap predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
5%
▼0¢
4h Coinbase deal on CLARITY Act provision may boost Bitcoin regulatory clarity
Likely NO
Bitcoin price april 27-may 3
1 article
· 4h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 0% FLAT
4h BlackRock clients invest $284M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
· 4h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 0% FLAT
4h Bitcoin posts best monthly gain in a year, retail interest wanes
Likely NO
Trump out as president
1 article
Developing
0%
1h Trump ends Iran operations, reducing US invasion likelihood
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 2 100% FLAT
5h Brazil central bank bans crypto in cross-border eFX rails, tightening oversight
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
5h Fed presidents oppose rate cuts, signaling hawkish stance for 2026
Likely NO
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
· 5h ago
4%
▼0¢
5h OKX agent payments protocol launched with Ethereum, Solana backing
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
5h US stock market gains $6T in April amid easing geopolitical tensions