Earn with Nexo
3h Melania Trump calls for Jimmy Kimmel’s firing amid media controversy
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
3h Melania Trump calls for Jimmy Kimmel’s firing amid media controversy
▲ Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
5% (was 4%, ▲1¢ in 3h)
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
2 articles
Developing
100%
⚡ Ethereum price in april 0% FLAT
1m North Korean hackers behind record $635M crypto theft in April 2026
1h NSA tests Anthropic’s Mythos AI for Microsoft cybersecurity flaws
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
14m US redirects 48 vessels to enforce Hormuz blockade amid ongoing operation
4h Trump calls US Navy actions “pirate-like” amid Iranian port blockade
✓ 34h Trump rejects Iran proposal, Strait of Hormuz blockade remains
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
25m Israeli drone strike in Lebanon raises WTI oil price concerns for May 2026
✓ 21h US warns shipping firms of sanctions over Iran tolls in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO timeline
2 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
✓ 229m Trump orders 5,000 US troops out of Germany amid NATO tensions
✓ 44h US to withdraw 5,000 troops from Germany amid NATO tensions over Iran
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
3 articles
Developing
11%
▼0¢
31m Iraq reroutes oil exports through Syria, bypassing Strait of Hormuz
2h Iran oil storage nears capacity amid US blockade, impacting global supply
✓ 73h US tightens Strait of Hormuz blockade, impacting Iran oil exports
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
4 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 3 100% FLAT
1h Bitcoin struggles below $78K resistance amid ETF outflows
1h Alberta Investment Management makes $219M Strategy investment for Bitcoin exposure
2h Bitcoin ETFs see 5-week inflow streak amid easing US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Kharg island control changes
2 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
1h Iran’s Ghalibaf asserts control over Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
✓ 73h Pirates hijack oil tanker off Yemen, raising Bab el-Mandeb Strait concerns
Likely NO
Largest company by december 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Google stock price predictions 100% FLAT
1h Alphabet stock hits record high after strong Q1 earnings, US-Iran ceasefire
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT
1h Bank of England warns inflation to rise amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 30
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT
1h US-Israel strike on Iran impacts Bitcoin, price drops 6% to $63,038
4h Bitcoin faces pressure as US 30-year Treasury yield
Likely NO
Bitcoin future price predictions
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 30 100% FLAT
1h Coinbase milestones bolster Bitcoin’s institutional adoption amid US regulatory clarity
5h Senator Tillis stalls CLARITY Act, impacting Bitcoin’s long-term outlook
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
2 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Israel launches airstrikes in Lebanon amid ongoing ceasefire violations
✓ 44h UAE resumes normal air traffic, easing regional tensions
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
3 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
1h Drone strike on Russian oil complex escalates Black Sea tensions
3h Drone strike on Chornobyl escalates Russo-Ukrainian conflict tensions
5h Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil sites dim ceasefire prospects
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Iran’s president signals readiness for diplomacy amid ongoing US tensions
2h Iran expects further US attacks, dismisses ceasefire sincerity
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
3 articles
· 2h ago
10%
▼0¢
2h Trump, Putin discuss Ukraine ceasefire amid ongoing conflict
3h Zelensky warns of military activity on Belarus border amid ceasefire doubts
4h Russia warns US against Iran ground operation amid tensions
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Google stock price predictions 100% FLAT
✓ 22h Google stock price set for $310 by April, market shows 100% confidence
2h US equities hit record highs amid strong Q1 earnings despite US-Iran conflict
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 2
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT
2h Taiwan lawmaker proposes converting $602B forex reserves to Bitcoin amid tensions
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
2h US, Philippines deploy anti-ship missiles near Taiwan amid military exercises
Likely NO
MegaETH FDV one day after launch
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ MegaETH market cap predictions 100% FLAT
3h MegaETH TVL nears $600M after MEGA token launch despite price drop
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 3h ago
0%
▼0¢
✓ 43h China blocks US sanctions on refineries, impacting oil market dynamics
Likely NO
Bitcoin price april 27-may 3
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 3 100% FLAT
✓ 24h Bitcoin and Ethereum see $90.5M leveraged long amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 4h ago
6%
▼0¢
4h Israel intercepts shell amid ongoing Lebanon conflict with Hezbollah
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
2 articles
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Centcom to brief Trump on new Iran military strategy amid tensions
5h Pentagon considers deploying “Dark Eagle” hypersonic missile against Iran
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 4h ago
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
⚡ Iran leadership change 34% FLAT
4h Iran’s leadership vacuum stabilizes regime under IRGC control
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 4h ago
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
4h Iran executes dozens, arrests 4,000+ amid crackdown after US-Israel strikes
Likely NO
Iran military action
1 article
· 4h ago
6%
▼0¢
4h IAEA investigates drone strike near Zaporizhzhia NPP, heightening regional tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 1
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 2 100% FLAT
5h US debt hits $39T, Bitcoin seen as hedge amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
· 5h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 0% FLAT
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 31% FLAT
✓ 35h Graham calls for US action if Iran resists in nuclear talks, impacting markets