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Prediction Markets

Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.

Iran military action 2% ▼0¢ Fall of the Iranian regime 2% ▼0¢ Reza pahlavi entry into Iran 7% ▼0¢ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 8% ▼0¢ Kharg island control changes 8% ▼0¢ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 6% ▼0¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 6% ▼0¢ Israel withdraws from lebanon 6% ▼0¢ Meta platforms stock price predictions 4% ▼0¢ US-Iran ceasefire 5% ▼0¢ Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns 4% ▼0¢ Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 29% ▼0¢ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 2% ▼0¢ Bank of brazil decision in april 2026 100% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price above on may 2 100% ▼0¢ Next Israeli prime minister 3% ▼0¢ Bab el-mandeb strait closure 11% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 4% ▼0¢ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price targets 99.9% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 99.9% ▼0¢ Trump's visit to China 0% ▼0¢ ECB interest rates april 2026 5% ▼0¢ US withdrawal from NATO timeline 1% ▼0¢ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 100% ▼0¢ MegaETH FDV one day after launch 100% ▼0¢ Anthropic mythos provision to US government 100% ▼0¢ Largest company by december 2026 100% ▼0¢ Military actions against Iran 100% ▼0¢ Iran military action 2% ▼0¢ Fall of the Iranian regime 2% ▼0¢ Reza pahlavi entry into Iran 7% ▼0¢ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 8% ▼0¢ Kharg island control changes 8% ▼0¢ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 6% ▼0¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 6% ▼0¢ Israel withdraws from lebanon 6% ▼0¢ Meta platforms stock price predictions 4% ▼0¢ US-Iran ceasefire 5% ▼0¢ Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns 4% ▼0¢ Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 29% ▼0¢ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 2% ▼0¢ Bank of brazil decision in april 2026 100% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price above on may 2 100% ▼0¢ Next Israeli prime minister 3% ▼0¢ Bab el-mandeb strait closure 11% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 4% ▼0¢ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price targets 99.9% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 99.9% ▼0¢ Trump's visit to China 0% ▼0¢ ECB interest rates april 2026 5% ▼0¢ US withdrawal from NATO timeline 1% ▼0¢ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 100% ▼0¢ MegaETH FDV one day after launch 100% ▼0¢ Anthropic mythos provision to US government 100% ▼0¢ Largest company by december 2026 100% ▼0¢ Military actions against Iran 100% ▼0¢
CoinDesk5m

Brazil bans stablecoin, crypto settlements for cross-border payments

▼ Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
100% FLAT Δ 0¢ — 5m
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 1: 100% FLAT
Likely NO Bank of brazil decision in april 2026 1 article Developing
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 1 100% FLAT
N↑
CoinDesk5m
Brazil bans stablecoin, crypto settlements for cross-border payments
Likely NO Iran military action 1 article Developing
2% ▼0¢
N↑
MarioNawfal16m
Israel conducts over 20 strikes on Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, dozens killed
Likely NO Next Israeli prime minister 1 article Developing
3% ▼0¢
N↑
Jerusalem Post (sitemap)18m
Bennett unveils ‘Israeli Renaissance’ plan, forms alliance to challenge Netanyahu
Likely NO Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 1 article Developing
29% ▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 30% FLAT
N↑
AJEnglish43m
Iran accuses US of NPT non-compliance, heightening diplomatic tensions
Likely NO MegaETH FDV one day after launch 2 articles Developing
100% ▼0¢
⚡ MegaETH market cap predictions 100% FLAT
N↑
Get_truenorth1h
MegaETH market cap falls short of $1B prediction post-launch
Y↑
Delphi_Digital4h
MegaETH TVL nears $600M after MEGA token launch despite price drop
Likely NO Anthropic mythos provision to US government 2 articles Developing
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in april 0% FLAT
N↑
Alicharts1h
North Korean hackers behind record $635M crypto theft in April 2026
Y↑
Business3h
NSA tests Anthropic’s Mythos AI for Microsoft cybersecurity flaws
Likely NO Largest company by december 2026 1 article · 2h ago
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Google stock price predictions 100% FLAT
N↑
Crypto_Briefing2h
Alphabet stock hits record high after strong Q1 earnings, US-Iran ceasefire
Likely NO ECB interest rates april 2026 1 article · 2h ago
5% ▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT
N↑
The Guardian2h
Bank of England warns inflation to rise amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 2 articles · 2h ago
4% ▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT
N↑
Coingecko2h
US-Israel strike on Iran impacts Bitcoin, price drops 6% to $63,038
N↑
CoinDesk5h
Bitcoin faces pressure as US 30-year Treasury yield
Likely NO Bitcoin future price predictions 1 article · 2h ago
4% ▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 30 100% FLAT
Y↑
Coinbase2h
Coinbase milestones bolster Bitcoin’s institutional adoption amid US regulatory clarity
Likely NO Bitcoin price above on may 2 1 article · 3h ago
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT
Y↑
Vivek4real_3h
Taiwan lawmaker proposes converting $602B forex reserves to Bitcoin amid tensions
Likely NO Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 1 article · 3h ago
2% ▼0¢
N↑
Reuters3h
US, Philippines deploy anti-ship missiles near Taiwan amid military exercises
Likely NO Trump's visit to China 1 article · 4h ago
0% ▼0¢
N↑
ReutersMiddle East EyeFirstSquawkAJEnglish✓ 44h
China blocks US sanctions on refineries, impacting oil market dynamics
Likely NO Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns 1 article · 5h ago
4% ▼0¢
Y↑
BBC News5h
Melania Trump calls for Jimmy Kimmel’s firing amid media controversy
Likely NO Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 1 article · 5h ago
99.9% ▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 3 100% FLAT
Y↑
LookonchainCoinbureau✓ 25h
Bitcoin and Ethereum see $90.5M leveraged long amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO Israel withdraws from lebanon 1 article · 5h ago
6% ▼0¢
N↑
FirstSquawk5h
Israel intercepts shell amid ongoing Lebanon conflict with Hezbollah
Likely NO Military actions against Iran 1 article · 5h ago
100% ▼0¢
Y↑
Middle East Eye5h
Centcom to brief Trump on new Iran military strategy amid tensions
Likely NO Reza pahlavi entry into Iran 1 article · 6h ago
7% ▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
⚡ Iran leadership change 34% FLAT
N↑
IranIntl_En6h
Iran’s leadership vacuum stabilizes regime under IRGC control