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Prediction Markets

Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 31% ▲2¢ Iran military action 3% ▲1¢ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% ▲1¢ U.S. anti-cartel operation timeline 99.9% ▼0¢ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 8% ▼0¢ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 8% ▼0¢ Kharg island control changes 8% ▼0¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 6% ▼0¢ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 6% ▼0¢ Spirit airlines shutdown 100% ▼0¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026 3% ▼0¢ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 2% ▼0¢ Israel withdraws from lebanon 3% ▼0¢ Next Israeli prime minister 3% ▼0¢ Bank of brazil decision in april 2026 100% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price above on may 2 100% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 4% ▼0¢ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% ▼0¢ Bab el-mandeb strait closure 11% ▼0¢ Trump's visit to China 0% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price targets 99.9% ▼0¢ ECB interest rates april 2026 5% ▼0¢ US withdrawal from NATO timeline 1% ▼0¢ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% ▼0¢ US-Iran ceasefire 100% ▼0¢ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% ▼0¢ MegaETH FDV one day after launch 100% ▼0¢ Anthropic mythos provision to US government 100% ▼0¢ Largest company by december 2026 100% ▼0¢ Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 31% ▲2¢ Iran military action 3% ▲1¢ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% ▲1¢ U.S. anti-cartel operation timeline 99.9% ▼0¢ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 8% ▼0¢ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 8% ▼0¢ Kharg island control changes 8% ▼0¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 6% ▼0¢ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 6% ▼0¢ Spirit airlines shutdown 100% ▼0¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026 3% ▼0¢ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 2% ▼0¢ Israel withdraws from lebanon 3% ▼0¢ Next Israeli prime minister 3% ▼0¢ Bank of brazil decision in april 2026 100% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price above on may 2 100% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 4% ▼0¢ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% ▼0¢ Bab el-mandeb strait closure 11% ▼0¢ Trump's visit to China 0% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price targets 99.9% ▼0¢ ECB interest rates april 2026 5% ▼0¢ US withdrawal from NATO timeline 1% ▼0¢ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% ▼0¢ US-Iran ceasefire 100% ▼0¢ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% ▼0¢ MegaETH FDV one day after launch 100% ▼0¢ Anthropic mythos provision to US government 100% ▼0¢ Largest company by december 2026 100% ▼0¢
AJEnglish1h

Iran accuses US of NPT non-compliance, heightening diplomatic tensions

▲ Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
31% (was 29%, ▲2¢ in 1h)
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting: 30% FLAT
YES ▲2¢ Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 1 article Developing
31% ▲2¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 30% FLAT
Y▲2
AJEnglish1h
Iran accuses US of NPT non-compliance, heightening diplomatic tensions
YES ▲1¢ Fall of the Iranian regime 1 article · 4h ago
3% ▲1¢
Y▲1
AJEnglishFirstSquawk✓ 24h
Israel launches airstrikes in Lebanon amid ongoing ceasefire violations
Likely NO Spirit airlines shutdown 1 article Developing
100% ▼0¢
Y↑
CHItrader6m
JetBlue expands at FLL as Spirit Airlines ceases operations
Likely NO Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026 1 article Developing
3% ▼0¢
⚡ Russia capture kostyantynivka 76% FLAT
N↑
Business7m
North Korea bolsters Russia’s Ukraine war effort with arms and troops
Likely NO U.S. anti-cartel operation timeline 1 article Developing
99.9% ▼0¢
Y↑
The Hill10m
US boosts Latin America presence with military, mineral deals amid China tensions
Likely NO Israel withdraws from lebanon 1 article Developing
3% ▼0¢
Y↑
FirstSquawk1h
US, Israeli military leaders intensify coordination amid Iran conflict
Likely NO Crude oil price predictions by june 1 article Developing
100% ▼0¢
N↑
Reuters1h
OPEC+ raises oil output quotas amid Strait of Hormuz closure
Likely NO Bank of brazil decision in april 2026 1 article Developing
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 1 100% FLAT
N↑
CoinDesk1h
Brazil bans stablecoin, crypto settlements for cross-border payments
Likely NO Next Israeli prime minister 1 article Developing
3% ▼0¢
N↑
Jerusalem Post (sitemap)1h
Bennett unveils ‘Israeli Renaissance’ plan, forms alliance to challenge Netanyahu
Likely NO MegaETH FDV one day after launch 2 articles · 2h ago
100% ▼0¢
⚡ MegaETH market cap predictions 100% FLAT
N↑
Get_truenorthMegaeth✓ 22h
MegaETH market cap falls short of $1B prediction post-launch
Y↑
Delphi_Digital5h
MegaETH TVL nears $600M after MEGA token launch despite price drop
Likely NO Anthropic mythos provision to US government 2 articles · 2h ago
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in april 0% FLAT
N↑
Alicharts2h
North Korean hackers behind record $635M crypto theft in April 2026
Y↑
Business4h
NSA tests Anthropic’s Mythos AI for Microsoft cybersecurity flaws
Likely NO Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 1 article · 2h ago
8% ▼0¢
N↑
IranIntl_EnRT✓ 22h
US redirects 48 vessels to enforce Hormuz blockade amid ongoing operation
Likely NO Kharg island control changes 1 article · 3h ago
8% ▼0¢
N↑
WhaleInsiderMiddle East Eye✓ 23h
Iran’s Ghalibaf asserts control over Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
Likely NO Largest company by december 2026 1 article · 3h ago
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Google stock price predictions 100% FLAT
N↑
Crypto_Briefing3h
Alphabet stock hits record high after strong Q1 earnings, US-Iran ceasefire
Likely NO ECB interest rates april 2026 1 article · 3h ago
5% ▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT
N↑
The Guardian3h
Bank of England warns inflation to rise amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO Bitcoin price predictions for april 30 1 article · 4h ago
4% ▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT
N↑
Coingecko4h
US-Israel strike on Iran impacts Bitcoin, price drops 6% to $63,038
Likely NO Bitcoin future price predictions 1 article · 4h ago
4% ▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 30 100% FLAT
Y↑
Coinbase4h
Coinbase milestones bolster Bitcoin’s institutional adoption amid US regulatory clarity
Likely NO Bitcoin price above on may 2 1 article · 4h ago
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT
Y↑
Vivek4real_4h
Taiwan lawmaker proposes converting $602B forex reserves to Bitcoin amid tensions
Likely NO Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 1 article · 4h ago
2% ▼0¢
N↑
Reuters4h
US, Philippines deploy anti-ship missiles near Taiwan amid military exercises