Earn with Nexo
3h Iran faces oil crisis as US sanctions tighten amid rising tensions
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
3h Iran faces oil crisis as US sanctions tighten amid rising tensions
▲ Iran airspace closure
15% (was 12%, ▲3¢ in 3h)
⚡ Bab el-mandeb strait closure: 11% FLAT
YES ▲3¢
Iran airspace closure
1 article
· 3h ago
15%
▲3¢
⚡ Bab el-mandeb strait closure 11% FLAT
3h 
NO ▲2¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
4 articles
· 2h ago
31%
▼2¢
✓ 22h Hormuz deadlock persists as Trump faces War Powers deadline
2h Iran accuses US of piracy over seized oil tankers amid Hormuz tensions
✓ 32h Trump calls US Hormuz blockade “profitable,” likens it to piracy amid tensions
NO ▲1¢
Largest company by december 2026
1 article
Developing
79%
▼1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 68% FLAT
35m Nvidia expands Asian partnerships, eyes largest market cap by June 30
YES ▲1¢
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
2 articles
Developing
15%
▲1¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 14% FLAT
50m Israel defense minister warns of potential military action against Iran
4h Iran expands military strikes, heightening instability and leadership change odds
YES ▲1¢
Trump's visit to China
2 articles
· 2h ago
94%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 93% FLAT
2h Beijing defies US sanctions, escalating tensions ahead of Trump-Xi summit
4h US backs Anthropic AI model amid China tech tensions
NO ▲1¢
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 3h ago
18%
▼1¢
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 18% FLAT
3h US appoints hawkish adviser Nick Stewart to Iran negotiating team
NO ▲1¢
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
2 articles
· 3h ago
10%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 14% FLAT
3h Iran asserts no uranium enrichment limits under IAEA, complicates US deal talks
4h Iran’s oil strategy may prevent WTI crude from hitting $150 in May 2026
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
42m Trump signals deeper US troop cuts in Germany amid NATO tensions
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
56m Israel conducts airstrikes on Hezbollah sites amid Lebanon tensions
✓ 22h Israel security cabinet to discuss Gaza military operations amid Hamas tensions
3h Israel intensifies operations in Bint Jbeil amid Lebanon withdrawal uncertainty
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi entry into Iran 4% FLAT
1h Iran conflict hits Dubai tourism, hotel occupancy plunges
✓ 32h US considers further military action against Iran amid missile threat
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Protests in Tel Aviv signal growing discontent with Netanyahu’s leadership
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 10% FLAT
1h Ukraine rejects Russia’s ceasefire proposal, demands long-term peace deal
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Meta and Microsoft cut 81K jobs in Q1 2026 to fund AI infrastructure
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Goolsbee warns against rate cuts as inflation, oil prices surge
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
2h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surge amid US-Iran conflict
4h Iran conflict drives oil prices over $100, impacting Fed rate cut outlook
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
· 2h ago
10%
▼0¢
✓ 92h Trump dismisses Iran proposal, signals continued diplomatic impasse
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
3 articles
· 2h ago
10%
▼0¢
✓ 62h Trump reviews Iran proposal amid potential diplomatic shift
✓ 42h Trump rejects Iran proposal, dims prospects for US-Iran talks
3h US fast-tracks $8.6B arms to Middle East, bypasses Congress amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 32h Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid financial struggles and rising fuel costs
✓ 44h Spirit Airlines collapses amid high jet fuel costs, failed $500M bailout
Likely YES
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 3h ago
1%
3h ‘The Devil Wears Prada 2’ tops box office with $32.5M opening day
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
6m Russia launches 1,600 drones, 1,100 bombs in Ukraine escalation
2h Russia intercepts 270 Ukrainian drones amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
3 articles
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
✓ 62h Trump warns of potential US strikes on Iran if they “misbehave”
2h US proposes Maritime Freedom Construct for Strait of Hormuz control
4h US defense vulnerabilities reduce likelihood of Iran invasion: WSJ
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Lagarde dismisses stagflation fears despite rising eurozone inflation
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 4
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
2h Coinbase unveils CUSHY fund for institutional stablecoin investments
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on may 2 100% FLAT
3h Ethereum faces downward pressure amid geopolitical, macroeconomic challenges
Likely NO
Bitcoin future price predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in april 0% FLAT
3h SEC chair calls for new crypto legislation amid outdated legal framework
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 10% FLAT
✓ 33h Iran proposes ceasefire, demands Israeli withdrawal amid US talks
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Solana price on may 2 0% FLAT
✓ 33h Bitcoin reclaims $79,000 amid Middle East ceasefire reports
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO timeline
1 article
· 3h ago
1%
▼0¢
✓ 33h Trump threatens troop withdrawals from NATO allies Spain, Italy
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
3h AllUnity expands EURAU stablecoin to Solana for euro transfers
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
3h Joe Rogan defends Jimmy Kimmel amid Trump family backlash over joke
Likely NO
Dissent at april Fed meeting
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
✓ 23h Fed’s Goolsbee highlights inflation concerns amid internal Fed disagreements
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2
2 articles
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 4 100% FLAT
4h Bitcoin up 15% as Game Theory Dashboard signals cooperation shift
✓ 34h CryptoQuant warns Bitcoin’s April surge speculative, correction risk looms
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
· 4h ago
11%
▼0¢
4h OPEC+ boosts output amid Hormuz closure, oil prices surge past $125