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2h Israel defense minister warns of potential military action against Iran
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
2h Israel defense minister warns of potential military action against Iran
▲ Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
20% (was 14%, ▲6¢ in 2h)
⚡ Iran airspace closure: 14% FLAT
YES ▲6¢
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
20%
▲6¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 14% FLAT
2h 
YES ▲5¢
Iran airspace closure
2 articles
Developing
20%
▲5¢
54m US ships 6,500 tons of munitions to Israel amid rising Iran tensions
4h Iran faces oil crisis as US sanctions tighten amid rising tensions
NO ▲3¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
· 3h ago
30%
▼3¢
✓ 23h Hormuz deadlock persists as Trump faces War Powers deadline
3h Iran accuses US of piracy over seized oil tankers amid Hormuz tensions
✓ 34h Trump calls US Hormuz blockade “profitable,” likens it to piracy amid tensions
NO ▲1¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
6 articles
Developing
30%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 30% FLAT
57m Iran-US hostilities expected to resume, impacting Hormuz blockade market
✓ 258m Iran submits 14-point proposal to US, aims to reopen Strait of Hormuz
✓ 21h Iran demands ceasefire, delaying US nuclear talks past April 22
NO ▲1¢
Largest company by december 2026
1 article
Developing
79%
▼1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 68% FLAT
1h Nvidia expands Asian partnerships, eyes largest market cap by June 30
YES ▲1¢
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 3h ago
94%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 93% FLAT
3h Beijing defies US sanctions, escalating tensions ahead of Trump-Xi summit
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
2m Spirit Airlines ceases operations after failing to secure $500M bailout
✓ 43h Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid financial struggles and rising fuel costs
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
27m US federal debt reaches record $39T amid economic growth concerns
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
3 articles
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 10% FLAT
34m Iran criticizes Europe over nuclear deal, diplomatic tensions rise
2h Iran conflict hits Dubai tourism, hotel occupancy plunges
✓ 33h US considers further military action against Iran amid missile threat
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
Developing
92%
▼0¢
38m Alphabet’s Q1 earnings boost investor confidence, Google Cloud revenue up 63%
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
Developing
32%
▼0¢
40m US warns against paying Iran for Strait of Hormuz passage, raising tensions
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
Developing
99%
▼0¢
43m Jerome Powell to step down as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026, remain as governor
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
Developing
15%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
47m Trump hints at renewed strikes on Iran amid nuclear deal uncertainty
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
2 articles
Developing
32%
▼0¢
49m Iran sets one-month deadline for US negotiations amid nuclear tensions
4h US appoints hawkish adviser Nick Stewart to Iran negotiating team
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
1h Russia launches 1,600 drones, 1,100 bombs in Ukraine escalation
3h Russia intercepts 270 Ukrainian drones amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
8%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Trump signals deeper US troop cuts in Germany amid NATO tensions
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
3 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Israel conducts airstrikes on Hezbollah sites amid Lebanon tensions
✓ 24h Israel security cabinet to discuss Gaza military operations amid Hamas tensions
4h Israel intensifies operations in Bint Jbeil amid Lebanon withdrawal uncertainty
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Protests in Tel Aviv signal growing discontent with Netanyahu’s leadership
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 10% FLAT
2h Ukraine rejects Russia’s ceasefire proposal, demands long-term peace deal
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Meta and Microsoft cut 81K jobs in Q1 2026 to fund AI infrastructure
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Goolsbee warns against rate cuts as inflation, oil prices surge
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
3h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surge amid US-Iran conflict
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
· 3h ago
10%
▼0¢
✓ 113h Trump dismisses Iran proposal, signals continued diplomatic impasse
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
· 3h ago
5%
▼0¢
✓ 63h Trump warns of potential US strikes on Iran if they “misbehave”
4h US proposes Maritime Freedom Construct for Strait of Hormuz control
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Lagarde dismisses stagflation fears despite rising eurozone inflation
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 4
1 article
· 4h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
4h Coinbase unveils CUSHY fund for institutional stablecoin investments
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on may 2 100% FLAT
4h Ethereum faces downward pressure amid geopolitical, macroeconomic challenges
Likely NO
Bitcoin future price predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in april 0% FLAT
4h SEC chair calls for new crypto legislation amid outdated legal framework
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 10% FLAT
✓ 34h Iran proposes ceasefire, demands Israeli withdrawal amid US talks
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Solana price on may 2 0% FLAT
✓ 34h Bitcoin reclaims $79,000 amid Middle East ceasefire reports
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO timeline
1 article
· 4h ago
1%
▼0¢
✓ 34h Trump threatens troop withdrawals from NATO allies Spain, Italy
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 4h ago
4%
▼0¢
4h AllUnity expands EURAU stablecoin to Solana for euro transfers
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
1 article
· 5h ago
3%
▼0¢
5h Joe Rogan defends Jimmy Kimmel amid Trump family backlash over joke
Likely NO
Dissent at april Fed meeting
1 article
· 5h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
✓ 25h Fed’s Goolsbee highlights inflation concerns amid internal Fed disagreements