Earn with Nexo
3h Israel defense minister warns of potential military action against Iran
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
3h Israel defense minister warns of potential military action against Iran
▲ Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
19% (was 14%, ▲5¢ in 3h)
⚡ Iran airspace closure: 14% FLAT
YES ▲5¢
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
19%
▲5¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 14% FLAT
3h 
NO ▲4¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
· 4h ago
29%
▼4¢
✓ 24h Hormuz deadlock persists as Trump faces War Powers deadline
5h Iran accuses US of piracy over seized oil tankers amid Hormuz tensions
✓ 35h Trump calls US Hormuz blockade “profitable,” likens it to piracy amid tensions
NO ▲2¢
US forces enter Iran
1 article
Developing
19%
▼2¢
1h US radar system damage in Middle East may shift alliances toward China
NO ▲2¢
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
· 5h ago
3%
▼2¢
✓ 65h Trump warns of potential US strikes on Iran if they “misbehave”
5h US proposes Maritime Freedom Construct for Strait of Hormuz control
YES ▲1¢
Iran airspace closure
2 articles
Developing
19%
▲1¢
5m UAE lifts air traffic restrictions amid easing Iran tensions
2h US ships 6,500 tons of munitions to Israel amid rising Iran tensions
NO ▲1¢
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
3 articles
Developing
9%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 10% FLAT
1h Iran criticizes Europe over nuclear deal, diplomatic tensions rise
3h Iran conflict hits Dubai tourism, hotel occupancy plunges
✓ 35h US considers further military action against Iran amid missile threat
NO ▲1¢
Largest company by december 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
79%
▼1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 68% FLAT
3h Nvidia expands Asian partnerships, eyes largest market cap by June 30
YES ▲1¢
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 4h ago
94%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 93% FLAT
4h Beijing defies US sanctions, escalating tensions ahead of Trump-Xi summit
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
8m Satirical video escalates tensions, complicates Israel-Lebanon withdrawal plans
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
22m Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, impacting oil supply amid UAE OPEC+ exit
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
6 articles
Developing
32%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 32% FLAT
27m US-Iran diplomatic deadlock persists amid stalled negotiations
✓ 32h Iran-US hostilities expected to resume, impacting Hormuz blockade market
✓ 22h Iran submits 14-point proposal to US, aims to reopen Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
2 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
38m US warns Iran mimics North Korea’s nuclear strategy amid military tensions
2h Trump hints at renewed strikes on Iran amid nuclear deal uncertainty
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions for may
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
39m Ethereum’s Glamsterdam upgrade triples gas limit, boosts scalability
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
57m Iranian speedboats spotted in Strait of Hormuz, mine activity reported
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT
1h Vietnam inflation rises in April amid Iran conflict-driven energy price surge
4h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surge amid US-Iran conflict
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Spirit Airlines ceases operations after failing to secure $500M bailout
✓ 45h Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid financial struggles and rising fuel costs
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 21h US federal debt reaches record $39T amid economic growth concerns
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
Developing
92%
▼0¢
1h Alphabet’s Q1 earnings boost investor confidence, Google Cloud revenue up 63%
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
Developing
32%
▼0¢
1h US warns against paying Iran for Strait of Hormuz passage, raising tensions
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 2h ago
99%
▼0¢
2h Jerome Powell to step down as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026, remain as governor
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
2 articles
· 2h ago
32%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Iran sets one-month deadline for US negotiations amid nuclear tensions
5h US appoints hawkish adviser Nick Stewart to Iran negotiating team
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
2h Russia launches 1,600 drones, 1,100 bombs in Ukraine escalation
4h Russia intercepts 270 Ukrainian drones amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
8%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Trump signals deeper US troop cuts in Germany amid NATO tensions
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
2 articles
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Israel conducts airstrikes on Hezbollah sites amid Lebanon tensions
✓ 25h Israel security cabinet to discuss Gaza military operations amid Hamas tensions
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Protests in Tel Aviv signal growing discontent with Netanyahu’s leadership
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 10% FLAT
3h Ukraine rejects Russia’s ceasefire proposal, demands long-term peace deal
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Meta and Microsoft cut 81K jobs in Q1 2026 to fund AI infrastructure
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Goolsbee warns against rate cuts as inflation, oil prices surge
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
· 5h ago
10%
▼0¢
✓ 115h Trump dismisses Iran proposal, signals continued diplomatic impasse
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
5h Lagarde dismisses stagflation fears despite rising eurozone inflation
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 4
1 article
· 5h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
5h Coinbase unveils CUSHY fund for institutional stablecoin investments
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on may 2 100% FLAT
5h Ethereum faces downward pressure amid geopolitical, macroeconomic challenges
Likely NO
Bitcoin future price predictions
1 article
· 5h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in april 0% FLAT
5h SEC chair calls for new crypto legislation amid outdated legal framework