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4h Israel defense minister warns of potential military action against Iran
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
4h Israel defense minister warns of potential military action against Iran
▲ Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
21% (was 14%, ▲7¢ in 4h)
⚡ Iran airspace closure: 14% FLAT
YES ▲7¢
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 4h ago
21%
▲7¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 14% FLAT
4h 
NO ▲3¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
Developing
26%
▼3¢
57m Iran supertanker evades US blockade, impacting Strait of Hormuz market outlook
✓ 25h Hormuz deadlock persists as Trump faces War Powers deadline
6h Iran accuses US of piracy over seized oil tankers amid Hormuz tensions
NO ▲1¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
5 articles
Developing
31%
▼1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 32% FLAT
1h US-Iran diplomatic deadlock persists amid stalled negotiations
✓ 33h Iran-US hostilities expected to resume, impacting Hormuz blockade market
✓ 23h Iran submits 14-point proposal to US, aims to reopen Strait of Hormuz
YES ▲1¢
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▲1¢
2h Iranian speedboats spotted in Strait of Hormuz, mine activity reported
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
31%
▼1¢
3h US warns against paying Iran for Strait of Hormuz passage, raising tensions
NO ▲1¢
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 3h ago
31%
▼1¢
✓ 23h Iran sets one-month deadline for US negotiations amid nuclear tensions
NO ▲1¢
Largest company by december 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
79%
▼1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 68% FLAT
4h Nvidia expands Asian partnerships, eyes largest market cap by June 30
YES ▲1¢
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 5h ago
94%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 93% FLAT
5h Beijing defies US sanctions, escalating tensions ahead of Trump-Xi summit
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
2 articles
Developing
77%
▼0¢
7m Russia, Ukraine dispute Sumy region control amid ongoing conflict
5h Ukraine rejects Russia’s ceasefire proposal, demands long-term peace deal
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 3 0% FLAT
11m US Treasury injects $35B liquidity, supports Bitcoin’s potential rise to $115K
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 2% FLAT
17m US blockade cripples Iranian economy despite fragile ceasefire
1h UAE lifts air traffic restrictions amid easing Iran tensions
3h US ships 6,500 tons of munitions to Israel amid rising Iran tensions
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
3 articles
Developing
15%
▼0¢
19m North Korea cyber threats heighten risk of $1.2B crypto hacks in 2026
1h US warns Iran mimics North Korea’s nuclear strategy amid military tensions
3h Trump hints at renewed strikes on Iran amid nuclear deal uncertainty
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
4 articles
Developing
21%
▼0¢
28m Iran rejects US proposal, reduces odds of near-term diplomatic meeting
2h Iran criticizes Europe over nuclear deal, diplomatic tensions rise
4h Iran conflict hits Dubai tourism, hotel occupancy plunges
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
Developing
11%
▼0¢
32m Iran conflict escalates, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts oil supply
Likely NO
Trump visit to China
1 article
Developing
94%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 15% FLAT
37m China defies US sanctions, complicates Trump visit and Iran deal talks
Likely NO
MegaETH market cap after launch
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ MegaETH market cap predictions 100% FLAT
45m MegaETH launches MEGA token with $1.5B valuation on major exchanges
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
Developing
21%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 18% FLAT
✓ 253m Trump warns of potential military strikes against Iran amid tensions
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Satirical video escalates tensions, complicates Israel-Lebanon withdrawal plans
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, impacting oil supply amid UAE OPEC+ exit
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions for may
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Ethereum’s Glamsterdam upgrade triples gas limit, boosts scalability
Likely NO
US forces enter Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
21%
▼0¢
2h US radar system damage in Middle East may shift alliances toward China
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT
2h Vietnam inflation rises in April amid Iran conflict-driven energy price surge
6h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surge amid US-Iran conflict
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Spirit Airlines ceases operations after failing to secure $500M bailout
✓ 46h Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid financial struggles and rising fuel costs
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 22h US federal debt reaches record $39T amid economic growth concerns
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
92%
▼0¢
3h Alphabet’s Q1 earnings boost investor confidence, Google Cloud revenue up 63%
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 3h ago
99%
▼0¢
3h Jerome Powell to step down as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026, remain as governor
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
· 3h ago
6%
▼0¢
3h Russia launches 1,600 drones, 1,100 bombs in Ukraine escalation
5h Russia intercepts 270 Ukrainian drones amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
· 4h ago
8%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Trump signals deeper US troop cuts in Germany amid NATO tensions
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Israel conducts airstrikes on Hezbollah sites amid Lebanon tensions
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
· 4h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Protests in Tel Aviv signal growing discontent with Netanyahu’s leadership
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
5h Meta and Microsoft cut 81K jobs in Q1 2026 to fund AI infrastructure
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 25h Goolsbee warns against rate cuts as inflation, oil prices surge
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
· 6h ago
10%
▼0¢
✓ 116h Trump dismisses Iran proposal, signals continued diplomatic impasse