Prediction Markets

Iran supertanker evades US blockade, impacting Strait of Hormuz market outlook

NO ▲2¢ US invasion of Iran 1 article · 2h ago

19% ▼2¢

⚡ Iran airspace closure 18% FLAT

N▲2

✓ 22h

Trump warns of potential military strikes against Iran amid tensions

NO ▲2¢ US forces enter Iran 1 article · 3h ago

19% ▼2¢

N▲2

US radar system damage in Middle East may shift alliances toward China

NO ▲1¢ Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 4 articles · 2h ago

31% ▼1¢

⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 32% FLAT

N▲1

US-Iran diplomatic deadlock persists amid stalled negotiations

N▲5

✓ 34h

Iran-US hostilities expected to resume, impacting Hormuz blockade market

N▲1

Iran submits 14-point proposal to US, aims to reopen Strait of Hormuz

N▲1

Iran demands ceasefire, delaying US nuclear talks past April 22

NO ▲1¢ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 1 article · 4h ago

31% ▼1¢

N▲1

Iran sets one-month deadline for US negotiations amid nuclear tensions

YES ▲1¢ Trump's visit to China 1 article · 7h ago

94% ▲1¢

⚡ Trump visit to China 93% FLAT

Y▲1

7h

Beijing defies US sanctions, escalating tensions ahead of Trump-Xi summit

Likely NO Spirit airlines shutdown 1 article · 3h ago

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

✓ 23h

Spirit Airlines ceases operations after failing to secure $500M bailout

Likely NO US GDP growth Q1 2026 1 article · 4h ago

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

US federal debt reaches record $39T amid economic growth concerns

Likely NO Google stock price predictions 1 article · 4h ago

92% ▼0¢

Y↑

Alphabet’s Q1 earnings boost investor confidence, Google Cloud revenue up 63%

Likely NO Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline 1 article · 4h ago

99% ▼0¢

Y↑

Jerome Powell to step down as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026, remain as governor

Likely NO Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 2 articles · 5h ago

6% ▼0¢

N↑

5h

Russia launches 1,600 drones, 1,100 bombs in Ukraine escalation

N↑

7h

Russia intercepts 270 Ukrainian drones amid ongoing conflict

Likely NO Largest company by december 2026 1 article · 5h ago

80% ▼0¢

⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 68% FLAT

N↑

5h

Nvidia expands Asian partnerships, eyes largest market cap by June 30

Likely NO US declaration of war on Iran 1 article · 5h ago

8% ▼0¢

Y↑

✓ 25h

Trump signals deeper US troop cuts in Germany amid NATO tensions

Likely NO Israel withdraws from lebanon 1 article · 5h ago

3% ▼0¢

N↑

✓ 25h

Israel conducts airstrikes on Hezbollah sites amid Lebanon tensions

Likely NO Netanyahu out 1 article · 6h ago

2% ▼0¢

Y↑

✓ 26h

Protests in Tel Aviv signal growing discontent with Netanyahu’s leadership

Likely NO Meta platforms stock price predictions 1 article · 6h ago

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

6h

Meta and Microsoft cut 81K jobs in Q1 2026 to fund AI infrastructure

Likely NO Fed rate cut timing 1 article · 6h ago

100% ▼0¢

N↑

✓ 26h

Goolsbee warns against rate cuts as inflation, oil prices surge

Likely NO Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026 2 articles Developing

100%

⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 2 0% FLAT

⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 4 100% FLAT

N↑

1m

Bitcoin faces selloff as Powell exits, Warsh steps in May 2026

Y↑

US Treasury injects $35B liquidity, supports Bitcoin’s potential rise to $115K

Likely NO Iran's enriched uranium surrender 2 articles Developing

11% ▼0¢

N↑

23m

US to maintain siege on Iran’s oil exports amid ongoing conflict

Y▲1

Iran conflict escalates, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts oil supply

Likely NO Iranian demands Trump will agree to 1 article Developing

10% ▼0¢

⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 32% FLAT

⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT

N↑

31m

US approves $8.6B arms sales to Middle East allies amid Iran tensions

Likely NO Bab el-mandeb strait closure 2 articles Developing

26% ▼0¢

Y↑

✓ 247m

Iranian editor calls for Bab al-Mandab Strait closure amid US tensions

Y▲1

Iranian speedboats spotted in Strait of Hormuz, mine activity reported

Likely NO WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 2 articles Developing

0% ▼0¢

Y↑

China orders refineries to ignore US sanctions, raising oil supply concerns

N▲1

US warns against paying Iran for Strait of Hormuz passage, raising tensions

Likely NO ECB interest rates april 2026 1 article Developing

100% ▼0¢

N↑

ECB, BOE signal rate hikes amid rising oil prices and inflation concerns

Likely NO Iran leadership status by end of 2026 4 articles Developing

3% ▼0¢

⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% FLAT

⚡ Iran leadership change 34% FLAT

N↑

Iran proposes peace plan amid US tensions, seeks security assurances

N▲2

Iran rejects US proposal, reduces odds of near-term diplomatic meeting

N▲1

Iran criticizes Europe over nuclear deal, diplomatic tensions rise

N▲3

6h

Iran conflict hits Dubai tourism, hotel occupancy plunges

Likely NO Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026 2 articles Developing

77% ▼0¢

N↑

Russia, Ukraine dispute Sumy region control amid ongoing conflict

N↑

6h

Ukraine rejects Russia’s ceasefire proposal, demands long-term peace deal

Likely NO Iran airspace closure 3 articles Developing

3% ▼0¢

⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 2% FLAT

Y↑

✓ 21h

US blockade cripples Iranian economy despite fragile ceasefire

Y▲1

UAE lifts air traffic restrictions amid easing Iran tensions

Y▲4

US ships 6,500 tons of munitions to Israel amid rising Iran tensions

Likely NO US-Iran nuclear deal 3 articles Developing

15% ▼0¢

Y↑

North Korea cyber threats heighten risk of $1.2B crypto hacks in 2026

Y▲1

US warns Iran mimics North Korea’s nuclear strategy amid military tensions

N↑

Trump hints at renewed strikes on Iran amid nuclear deal uncertainty

Likely NO Trump visit to China 1 article Developing

94% ▼0¢

⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT

⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 15% FLAT

N↑

China defies US sanctions, complicates Trump visit and Iran deal talks

Likely NO MegaETH market cap after launch 1 article Developing

100% ▼0¢

⚡ MegaETH market cap predictions 100% FLAT

Y↑

MegaETH launches MEGA token with $1.5B valuation on major exchanges

Likely NO Fall of the Iranian regime 1 article · 2h ago

3% ▼0¢

N↑

Satirical video escalates tensions, complicates Israel-Lebanon withdrawal plans

Likely NO Crude oil price predictions by june 1 article · 2h ago

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

✓ 22h

Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, impacting oil supply amid UAE OPEC+ exit

Likely NO Ethereum price predictions for may 1 article · 3h ago

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

Ethereum’s Glamsterdam upgrade triples gas limit, boosts scalability

Likely NO Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026 1 article · 3h ago

5% ▼0¢

⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT

N↑