Prediction Markets

US radar system damage in Middle East may shift alliances toward China

YES ▲1¢ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 2 articles Developing

27% ▲1¢

Y▲1

✓ 242m

Iran condemns Trump’s piracy remark amid Strait of Hormuz blockade tensions

N▲2

Iran supertanker evades US blockade, impacting Strait of Hormuz market outlook

YES ▲1¢ Bab el-mandeb strait closure 2 articles Developing

27% ▲1¢

Y▲1

✓ 21h

Iranian editor calls for Bab al-Mandab Strait closure amid US tensions

N↑

Iranian speedboats spotted in Strait of Hormuz, mine activity reported

NO ▲1¢ Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 4 articles · 3h ago

31% ▼1¢

⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 32% FLAT

N▲1

US-Iran diplomatic deadlock persists amid stalled negotiations

N▲4

✓ 35h

Iran-US hostilities expected to resume, impacting Hormuz blockade market

N▲1

Iran submits 14-point proposal to US, aims to reopen Strait of Hormuz

N▲1

Iran demands ceasefire, delaying US nuclear talks past April 22

YES ▲1¢ Google stock price predictions 1 article · 5h ago

93% ▲1¢

Y▲1

Alphabet’s Q1 earnings boost investor confidence, Google Cloud revenue up 63%

YES ▲1¢ Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline 1 article · 5h ago

78% ▲1¢

Y▲1

Jerome Powell to step down as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026, remain as governor

NO ▲1¢ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 1 article · 5h ago

31% ▼1¢

N▲1

Iran sets one-month deadline for US negotiations amid nuclear tensions

Likely NO Starmer out timing 1 article Developing

41% ▼0¢

Y↑

6m

UK local elections test Labour’s leadership amid two-party system breakdown

Likely NO WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 2 articles · 2h ago

0% ▼0¢

Y↑

China orders refineries to ignore US sanctions, raising oil supply concerns

N▲1

US warns against paying Iran for Strait of Hormuz passage, raising tensions

Likely NO ECB interest rates april 2026 1 article · 2h ago

100% ▼0¢

N↑

ECB, BOE signal rate hikes amid rising oil prices and inflation concerns

Likely NO Israel withdraws from lebanon 1 article Developing

10%

N↑

1m

Saudi mediation in Lebanon stalls amid internal divisions, impacting Israel withdrawal

Likely NO Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 1 article Developing

10% ▼0¢

N↑

15m

Ukraine drone attack on Russian tankers escalates tensions, dims ceasefire hopes

Likely NO Spirit airlines shutdown 2 articles Developing

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

33m

Spirit Airlines confirms shutdown amid regulatory, geopolitical pressures

Y↑

✓ 24h

Spirit Airlines ceases operations after failing to secure $500M bailout

Likely NO US-Iran nuclear deal 4 articles Developing

3% ▼0¢

N↑

✓ 234m

Trump doubts Iran peace proposal amid ongoing diplomatic challenges

Y↑

North Korea cyber threats heighten risk of $1.2B crypto hacks in 2026

N↑

US warns Iran mimics North Korea’s nuclear strategy amid military tensions

N↑

Trump hints at renewed strikes on Iran amid nuclear deal uncertainty

Likely NO Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 2 articles Developing

6% ▼0¢

N↑

40m

Ukraine drone strike targets Russian oil export terminal amid ongoing conflict

N↑

6h

Russia launches 1,600 drones, 1,100 bombs in Ukraine escalation

Likely NO Fall of the Iranian regime 2 articles Developing

3% ▼0¢

Y↑

55m

Israeli strike on Iran petrochemical site raises military pressure

N↑

Satirical video escalates tensions, complicates Israel-Lebanon withdrawal plans

Likely NO Ethereum price on may 2 1 article Developing

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

Whales accumulate 140,000 Ethereum worth $322M, boosting market confidence

Likely NO Largest company by market cap predictions 1 article Developing

80% ▼0¢

N↑

Tesla faces market pressure from US-China trade tensions, Nvidia favored

Likely NO Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026 2 articles Developing

99.9% ▼0¢

⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 2 0% FLAT

⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 4 100% FLAT

N↑

Bitcoin faces selloff as Powell exits, Warsh steps in May 2026

Y↑

US Treasury injects $35B liquidity, supports Bitcoin’s potential rise to $115K

Likely NO Iran's enriched uranium surrender 2 articles Developing

11% ▼0¢

N↑

✓ 21h

US to maintain siege on Iran’s oil exports amid ongoing conflict

Y▲1

Iran conflict escalates, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts oil supply

Likely NO Iranian demands Trump will agree to 1 article Developing

10% ▼0¢

⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 32% FLAT

⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT

N↑

US approves $8.6B arms sales to Middle East allies amid Iran tensions

Likely NO Iran leadership status by end of 2026 3 articles · 2h ago

3% ▼0¢

⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% FLAT

⚡ Iran leadership change 34% FLAT

N↑

Iran proposes peace plan amid US tensions, seeks security assurances

N▲3

Iran rejects US proposal, reduces odds of near-term diplomatic meeting

N▲1

Iran criticizes Europe over nuclear deal, diplomatic tensions rise

Likely NO Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026 1 article · 2h ago

77% ▼0¢

N↑

Russia, Ukraine dispute Sumy region control amid ongoing conflict

Likely NO Iran airspace closure 3 articles · 2h ago

3% ▼0¢

⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 2% FLAT

Y↑

✓ 22h

US blockade cripples Iranian economy despite fragile ceasefire

N↑

UAE lifts air traffic restrictions amid easing Iran tensions

Y▲3

US ships 6,500 tons of munitions to Israel amid rising Iran tensions

Likely NO Trump visit to China 1 article · 3h ago

94% ▼0¢

⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT

⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 15% FLAT

N↑

China defies US sanctions, complicates Trump visit and Iran deal talks

Likely NO MegaETH market cap after launch 1 article · 3h ago

100% ▼0¢

⚡ MegaETH market cap predictions 100% FLAT

Y↑

MegaETH launches MEGA token with $1.5B valuation on major exchanges

Likely NO Crude oil price predictions by june 1 article · 3h ago

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

✓ 23h

Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, impacting oil supply amid UAE OPEC+ exit

Likely NO Ethereum price predictions for may 1 article · 4h ago

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

Ethereum’s Glamsterdam upgrade triples gas limit, boosts scalability

Likely NO Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026 1 article · 4h ago

5% ▼0¢

⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT

N↑

Vietnam inflation rises in April amid Iran conflict-driven energy price surge

Likely NO US GDP growth Q1 2026 1 article · 5h ago

100% ▼0¢

Y↑