Earn with Nexo
✓ 430m US plans to guide ships through Hormuz, Brent oil drops 2.4%
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 430m US plans to guide ships through Hormuz, Brent oil drops 2.4%
▲ Bab el-mandeb strait closure
38% (was 32%, ▲6¢ in 30m)
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement: 32% FLAT
YES ▲6¢
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
Developing
38%
▲6¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 32% FLAT
✓ 430m 
YES ▲6¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
4 articles
Developing
38%
▲6¢
✓ 955m Trump orders US Navy to escort ships through Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
1h Trump announces “Project Freedom” to escort ships from Strait of Hormuz
✓ 41h Trump hints at easing Strait of Hormuz blockade amid positive Iran talks
NO ▲3¢
Iran airspace closure
5 articles
Developing
19%
▼3¢
52m Iran’s clerical divisions highlight airspace closure risk amid US-Israel tensions
56m US submits amended draft to Iran in bid to end conflict: Axios
1h Iran deploys oil tankers amid US blockade, raising regional tensions
NO ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
Developing
19%
▼2¢
41m Bulk carrier attacked near Strait of Hormuz, impacting traffic normalization odds
NO ▲1¢
Trump speaking engagements in may
1 article
Developing
16%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 16% FLAT
✓ 121h Trump announces ‘Project Freedom’ amid US-Iran tensions in Middle East
YES ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
1 article
Developing
79%
▲1¢
1h Apple projects 14-17% revenue growth despite supply issues
YES ▲1¢
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▲1¢
2h US-Israeli-Arab alliance weakens as Iran strengthens strategic position
Likely YES
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
1m Middle East conflict fuels ECB rate cut speculation amid recession fears
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on may 3 100% FLAT
6m Ethereum price hits $2,350 amid US-Iran tensions, institutional inflows rise
Likely NO
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
✓ 22h “The Devil Wears Prada 2” projected to open with $230M globally
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
⚡ US GDP growth Q1 2026 100% FLAT
8m Meta Platforms set to hit $740 by April 2026 amid AI-driven growth
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
Developing
15%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 8% FLAT
11m Iran declares no limit on uranium enrichment under IAEA supervision
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 4
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
12m Bitcoin rises 15% after Delphi Digital coordination shift
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 34% FLAT
17m Iran cracks down on Starlink users, man beaten to death for device possession
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
4 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
18m Iran conflict escalates, oil prices expected to hit $90 by June end
1h OPEC+ boosts oil production, seen as symbolic amid surplus concerns
1h Russia’s oil revenues surge as China, India boost imports amid Hormuz disruptions
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
33%
▼0¢
21m Iran warns ships must get approval to leave Persian Gulf amid rising tensions
Likely NO
Starmer out timing
1 article
Developing
67%
▼0¢
24m UK Labour Party braces for worst local election results, Starmer under pressure
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
27m FCC scrutiny on Disney lowers odds of Kimmel’s firing by May 31
Likely NO
Ethereum future price predictions
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
29m NYSE to enable tokenized securities trading with blockchain integration
1h CryptoQuant warns Bitcoin rally lacks support, signals potential decline
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 232m Spirit Airlines ceases operations, enters liquidation after blocked JetBlue merger
2h Spirit Airlines confirms shutdown, refund processing after failed $500M bailout
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
3 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
43m Israel signals escalation with Netanyahu’s security meeting amid Iran tensions
1h US-Iran diplomatic meeting proposed amid ongoing tensions
✓ 22h Iran enforces maritime red lines, raising Strait of Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
45m Attorney-General agrees to plea talks with Netanyahu defense team
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 3
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Bitcoin’s best month since April 2025 amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 10% FLAT
1h Ukraine strikes Russian oil tankers, escalating Black Sea conflict
1h Drone attacks on Plesetsk Cosmodrome delay Russian space launches
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
✓ 31h Trump rejects Iran peace offer, hints at possible airstrikes amid tensions
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Hezbollah drone tactics challenge Israel’s electronic warfare edge
Likely NO
Balance of power in 2026 midterms
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
✓ 21h ActBlue investigations may impact Democratic fundraising ahead of 2026 midterms
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Russia aids Iran amid US tensions, complicating US military plans
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high predictions
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Bitcoin hits new all-time high of $79,000 amid US-Iran diplomatic easing
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h BlackRock’s European Bitcoin ETP surpasses $1.1B in assets, signals institutional interest
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
✓ 21h Iran war threatens inflation, Fed warns of no rate cuts in 2026
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h AI drives 1.5% of US GDP growth in Q1 2026, boosting economic outlook
Likely NO
Iranian demands Trump will agree to
1 article
· 2h ago
10%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 16% FLAT
2h Trump approves $8.6B arms sales amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h Bitcoin miners pivot to AI, impacting $115K price target for May 2026
Likely NO
AI model leader by end of may
1 article
· 2h ago
19%
▼0¢
2h Ukraine deploys UGVs, reducing Russia’s chances in Kostyantynivka