Earn with Nexo
55m Iran vows retaliation if US resumes attacks amid ceasefire tensions
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
55m Iran vows retaliation if US resumes attacks amid ceasefire tensions
▼ Iran leadership status by end of 2026
17% (was 18%, ▼1¢ in 55m)
⚡ Iran airspace closure: 18% FLAT
NO ▲1¢
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
2 articles
Developing
17%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 18% FLAT
55m 3h US naval blockade in Strait of Hormuz strains Iran’s economy, $435M daily impact
NO ▲1¢
Iranian demands Trump will agree to
1 article
Developing
36%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
1h US envoy accuses Iran of illegal sea mines, escalating Hormuz tensions
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
2 articles
· 2h ago
36%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 38% FLAT
✓ 42h Tanker attack near Fujairah heightens Strait of Hormuz tensions
✓ 53h US launches Operation Freedom to restore Strait of Hormuz navigation
NO ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
78%
▼1¢
3h Nvidia’s AI market share in China drops amid US export controls
NO ▲1¢
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
36%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
✓ 53h US clarifies “Project Freedom” as coordination effort, not Hormuz escort mission
Likely NO
Russia capture kostyantynivka
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
1h Medvedev warns of nuclear apocalypse amid Russia-NATO tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 21h BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETP reaches $1.1B AUM, boosting institutional interest
Likely NO
Largest company by december 2026
1 article
Developing
73%
▼0¢
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% FLAT
✓ 21h Morgan Stanley ups tech giants’ capex forecast to $805B for 2026
Likely NO
UAE and qatar diplomatic relations in 2026
1 article
Developing
17%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 16% FLAT
1h UAE-Israel alliance raises diplomatic strain with Qatar, potential Iran airspace closure
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO timeline
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
2h US withdraws 5,000 troops from Germany amid NATO tensions
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
10%
just now Trump’s rejection of Iran proposal impacts US-Iran diplomatic meeting outlook
2h Iran demands US troop withdrawal, sanctions relief in 14-point plan
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 6
2 articles
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high predictions 3% FLAT
✓ 410m Bitcoin surges to $80,000 amid US-Iran tensions, first time since January
12m US naval blockade in Strait of Hormuz impacts Bitcoin market sentiment
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
Developing
36%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
12m US Navy limits Hormuz escorts amid Iran tensions, impacting blockade outlook
✓ 72h Trump announces naval mission in Hormuz; Iran warns of ceasefire violation
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
Developing
36%
▼0¢
✓ 322m US Navy launches Project Freedom for safer Hormuz navigation amid blockade
1h Trump signals continued Hormuz blockade as strategic measure
3h 20,000 sailors stranded amid US-Iran blockade in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
4 articles
Developing
36%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
23m Iran imposes selective Hormuz blockade amid US tensions
37m Tanker attack in Strait of Hormuz raises WTI crude oil price concerns
53m US to guide ships through Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
40m Russia intercepts nearly 270 Ukrainian drones amid escalating conflict
1h Ukrainian drone strike hits Moscow high-rise, impacting ceasefire market
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
1h Naftali Bennett announces candidacy for Israeli Prime Minister in 2026 election
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Brazil to unveil measures on household debt amid high Selic rate
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
3 articles
Developing
17%
▼0¢
1h US Navy uses AI to detect mines, expedite Strait of Hormuz traffic
2h Tehran protests continue as military presence grows in UAE amid Iran tensions
3h Israel’s AI unit boosts air force in Iran conflict, raises regional tensions
Likely NO
Total crypto hack value in 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Treasury warns AI could escalate cyber threats to US financial systems
Likely NO
Russia NATO invasion
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ NATO and Russia military clash 4% FLAT
2h NATO starts “Amber Shock 26” drills in Poland amid Russia tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
2 articles
· 2h ago
12%
▼0¢
2h OPEC+ raises June output amid Strait of Hormuz closure, oil prices stay high
2h UAE exits OPEC amid Strait of Hormuz crisis, impacting oil prices
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h US guides ships from Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions, impacting Trump China visit
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions for may
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on may 3 100% FLAT
2h Ethereum faces selling pressure as 72,000% surge in unstaking emerges
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% FLAT
2h Pakistani Muslims march in mourning for slain Iranian leader Khamenei
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
✓ 32h Kashkari: Iran conflict complicates Fed rate guidance amid inflation risks
3h White House mulls boosting US oil output amid Iran conflict
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 3h ago
17%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Spirit Airlines ceases operations amid Strait of Hormuz fuel crisis
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 10% FLAT
3h Zelensky warns of unusual military activity on Belarus border
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
3h Israel intensifies military operations in Lebanon, delaying withdrawal plans
Likely NO
Dissent at april Fed meeting
1 article
· 3h ago
1%
▼0¢
3h Powell plans to stay as Fed governor post-chair term, reducing early exit odds
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 3h ago
16%
▼0¢
3h Iran conflict threatens Asia’s food security amid fertilizer supply disruptions
Likely YES
Bitcoin all time high predictions
2 articles
Developing
3%
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
1m Bitcoin surges past $80K, $104M in shorts liquidated amid US-Iran ceasefire
✓ 22h Bitcoin miners sell 32K BTC in Q1 2026 amid market shifts, hashrate dips
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 5
1 article
· 3h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 3 0% FLAT
3h Bitcoin surges past $79K amid US-Iran geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Middle East conflict fuels ECB rate cut speculation amid recession fears