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1h Dubai airport sees 66% passenger drop amid Iran conflict disruptions
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
1h Dubai airport sees 66% passenger drop amid Iran conflict disruptions
▼ Iran airspace closure
13% (was 15%, ▼2¢ in 1h)
NO ▲2¢
Iran airspace closure
2 articles
Developing
13%
▼2¢
1h 4h US Navy uses AI to detect mines, expedite Strait of Hormuz traffic
NO ▲2¢
Iranian demands Trump will agree to
1 article
· 4h ago
35%
▼2¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
4h US envoy accuses Iran of illegal sea mines, escalating Hormuz tensions
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
4 articles
· 3h ago
35%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
✓ 33h Iran imposes selective Hormuz blockade amid US tensions
3h Tanker attack in Strait of Hormuz raises WTI crude oil price concerns
3h US to guide ships through Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
1h Iranian lawmaker: US ship escort plan violates Hormuz ceasefire
2h Mojtaba Khamenei confirmed as Iran’s Supreme Leader amid Karachi support rally
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Microstrategy Bitcoin purchase announcement 0% FLAT
✓ 22h Strategy pauses Bitcoin buys ahead of Q1 earnings amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Anthropic nears $1.5B AI joint venture with Wall Street firms: WSJ
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high predictions
2 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 5 100% FLAT
✓ 72h Bitcoin hits $80,000, triggers $114M in short liquidations amid US-Iran tensions
2h Bitcoin surges past $80K, $104M in shorts liquidated amid US-Iran ceasefire
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Spirit Airlines faces shutdown by May 31 due to financial issues: The Hill
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 2h ago
10%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
2h CENTCOM briefing suggests increased US military action against Iran
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 2h ago
10%
▼0¢
2h Trump’s rejection of Iran proposal impacts US-Iran diplomatic meeting outlook
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 6
2 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high predictions 3% FLAT
✓ 72h Bitcoin surges to $80,000 amid US-Iran tensions, first time since January
✓ 22h US naval blockade in Strait of Hormuz impacts Bitcoin market sentiment
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
· 3h ago
6%
▼0¢
3h Russia intercepts nearly 270 Ukrainian drones amid escalating conflict
4h Ukrainian drone strike hits Moscow high-rise, impacting ceasefire market
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Brazil to unveil measures on household debt amid high Selic rate
Likely NO
Russia capture kostyantynivka
1 article
· 4h ago
2%
▼0¢
4h Medvedev warns of nuclear apocalypse amid Russia-NATO tensions
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
3%
just now Trump reviews Iran peace plan, considers new military strikes
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
6m Jeddah becomes key shipping hub as Iran conflict reshapes trade routes
Likely NO
Largest company by december 2026
2 articles
Developing
78%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 68% FLAT
24m Nvidia expands AI partnerships in Asia amid US-China tech tensions
✓ 24h Morgan Stanley ups tech giants’ capex forecast to $805B for 2026
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
3 articles
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
33m Iran claims readiness to counter US tech amid Middle East tensions
✓ 255m Fed’s Kashkari warns Iran conflict complicates rate policy, hints at possible hike
1h Iran conflict, inflation complicate Fed rate cuts for 2026
Likely NO
Total crypto hack value in 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
35m KelpDAO exploit highlights DeFi vulnerability amid $1.2B crypto hack concerns for 2026
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
47m Iran proposes diplomatic plan, reducing military action likelihood
3h Iran vows retaliation if US resumes attacks amid ceasefire tensions
Likely NO
Iran shipping agreement
1 article
Developing
35%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
49m UKMTO advises mariners to use Oman waters amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
5 articles
Developing
35%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran shipping agreement 11% FLAT
50m UKMTO warns of increased naval activity in Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
✓ 251m Strait of Hormuz threat level remains critical amid military activity: UKMTO
1h US returns seized Iranian ship Touska amid ongoing Strait of Hormuz blockade
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
2 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
54m Netanyahu plea deal talks begin amid corruption trial, potential 2026 exit
3h Naftali Bennett announces candidacy for Israeli Prime Minister in 2026 election
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
4m US economy rebounds 2% in Q1 2026, driven by AI and government spending
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 16% FLAT
58m Trump warns of military action against Iran amid heightened tensions
✓ 52h US Navy limits Hormuz escorts amid Iran tensions, impacting blockade outlook
Likely NO
Fed decision june and july
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 4 100% FLAT
1h BOJ intervenes in forex market amid US-Iran tensions, yen stabilizes
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Israeli military strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
3 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price in april 0% FLAT
1h Bitcoin spot ETFs see $153.8M inflows, Ethereum outflows hit $82.4M
2h Bitcoin ETF outflows hit $490M amid short-term institutional caution
✓ 44h BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETP reaches $1.1B AUM, boosting institutional interest
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
Developing
73%
▼0¢
1h Index funds adjust rules as SpaceX IPO filing nears June 2026
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 16% FLAT
✓ 21h China defies US sanctions, escalating tensions over Iran petrochemical sector