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2h Dubai airport sees 66% passenger drop amid Iran conflict disruptions
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
2h Dubai airport sees 66% passenger drop amid Iran conflict disruptions
▼ Iran airspace closure
13% (was 15%, ▼2¢ in 2h)
YES ▲1¢
US invasion of Iran
3 articles
Developing
36%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 34% FLAT
44m Iran threatens ceasefire breach amid US Hormuz escort plan launch
2h Trump warns of military action against Iran amid heightened tensions
✓ 54h US Navy limits Hormuz escorts amid Iran tensions, impacting blockade outlook
NO ▲1¢
Largest company by december 2026
1 article
Developing
77%
▼1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 68% FLAT
1h Nvidia expands AI partnerships in Asia amid US-China tech tensions
YES ▲1¢
Iran shipping agreement
1 article
Developing
36%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
1h UKMTO advises mariners to use Oman waters amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Ethereum price above on may 4
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
7m ETFs buy $630M Bitcoin, boosting institutional interest and market confidence
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
7 articles
Developing
36%
▼0¢
9m EU naval deployment aims to secure Strait of Hormuz by June
14m Iran tensions rise as Strait of Hormuz blockade impacts global oil supply
28m US transfers Iranian ship Tuska to Pakistan amid Hormuz blockade talks
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil price predictions by june 100% FLAT
18m Gulf proposals stabilize oil prices, WTI Crude unlikely to hit $150 by May 2026
✓ 34h Iran imposes selective Hormuz blockade amid US tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price above on may 4 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 4 0% FLAT
23m Bitcoin spot ETFs see $154M inflows, led by BlackRock’s $136M boost
2h Bitcoin spot ETFs see $153.8M inflows, Ethereum outflows hit $82.4M
3h Bitcoin ETF outflows hit $490M amid short-term institutional caution
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
Developing
11%
▼0¢
26m UAE exit from OPEC fuels crude oil price surge expectations
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
30m Stock index rule changes may expedite SpaceX IPO by March 2026
2h Index funds adjust rules as SpaceX IPO filing nears June 2026
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 8 99% FLAT
32m Bitcoin rebounds to $80k amid US-Iran tensions in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
34m ECB’s Muller expects inflation acceleration amid Middle East conflict
Likely NO
Russia NATO invasion
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
51m Ukraine thwarts Russian offensive, Kostyantynivka capture unlikely by year-end
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 16% FLAT
✓ 21h US launches “Project Freedom” to free ships in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Trump reviews Iran peace plan, considers new military strikes
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h US economy rebounds 2% in Q1 2026, driven by AI and government spending
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
1h Jeddah becomes key shipping hub as Iran conflict reshapes trade routes
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
2 articles
Developing
0%
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 4 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 0% FLAT
1m $6.8B in Bitcoin long positions at risk if price falls $5,000
✓ 23h Strategy pauses Bitcoin buys ahead of Q1 earnings amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
3 articles
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
1h Iran claims readiness to counter US tech amid Middle East tensions
✓ 22h Fed’s Kashkari warns Iran conflict complicates rate policy, hints at possible hike
2h Iran conflict, inflation complicate Fed rate cuts for 2026
Likely NO
Total crypto hack value in 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
1h KelpDAO exploit highlights DeFi vulnerability amid $1.2B crypto hack concerns for 2026
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
1h Iran proposes diplomatic plan, reducing military action likelihood
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
2h Netanyahu plea deal talks begin amid corruption trial, potential 2026 exit
Likely NO
Fed decision june and july
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 4 100% FLAT
2h BOJ intervenes in forex market amid US-Iran tensions, yen stabilizes
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Israeli military strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 2h ago
16%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 16% FLAT
✓ 22h China defies US sanctions, escalating tensions over Iran petrochemical sector
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
2 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
2h Iranian lawmaker: US ship escort plan violates Hormuz ceasefire
3h Mojtaba Khamenei confirmed as Iran’s Supreme Leader amid Karachi support rally
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Anthropic nears $1.5B AI joint venture with Wall Street firms: WSJ
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high predictions
2 articles
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 5 100% FLAT
✓ 73h Bitcoin hits $80,000, triggers $114M in short liquidations amid US-Iran tensions
3h Bitcoin surges past $80K, $104M in shorts liquidated amid US-Iran ceasefire
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Spirit Airlines faces shutdown by May 31 due to financial issues: The Hill
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 3h ago
10%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
3h CENTCOM briefing suggests increased US military action against Iran
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 3h ago
10%
▼0¢
3h Trump’s rejection of Iran proposal impacts US-Iran diplomatic meeting outlook
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 6
2 articles
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high predictions 3% FLAT
✓ 74h Bitcoin surges to $80,000 amid US-Iran tensions, first time since January
✓ 24h US naval blockade in Strait of Hormuz impacts Bitcoin market sentiment