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4h Dubai airport sees 66% passenger drop amid Iran conflict disruptions
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
4h Dubai airport sees 66% passenger drop amid Iran conflict disruptions
▼ Iran airspace closure
13% (was 15%, ▼2¢ in 4h)
NO ▲1¢
Largest company by december 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
77%
▼1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 68% FLAT
2h Nvidia expands AI partnerships in Asia amid US-China tech tensions
YES ▲1¢
Iran shipping agreement
1 article
· 3h ago
36%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
3h UKMTO advises mariners to use Oman waters amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
West bengal legislative assembly election winner 2026
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
3m Turkey inflation data impacts US Fed rate cut expectations for June 2026
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
3 articles
Developing
72%
▼0¢
22m Meta faces New Mexico lawsuit over child safety on Facebook, Instagram
1h Stock index rule changes may expedite SpaceX IPO by March 2026
4h Index funds adjust rules as SpaceX IPO filing nears June 2026
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
Developing
11%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran shipping agreement 11% FLAT
26m US launches “Project Freedom” naval mission amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
33m Chinese hackers target Cuban embassy amid US-China tensions
✓ 24h China defies US sanctions, escalating tensions over Iran petrochemical sector
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
3 articles
Developing
11%
▼0¢
37m Middle East tensions may trigger oil market shock, says Bank of France head
✓ 259m Bitcoin tops $80,000 as Clarity Act nears Senate vote, new Fed chair expected
✓ 21h Bitcoin rebounds to $80k amid US-Iran tensions in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
40m Middle East tensions drive oil above $100, impacting global inflation outlook
1h ECB’s Muller expects inflation acceleration amid Middle East conflict
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO timeline
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
✓ 343m NATO chief signals improved US-Europe ties, reducing withdrawal likelihood
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
Developing
36%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
44m Iran maintains operational constraints on Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
1h Gulf proposals stabilize oil prices, WTI Crude unlikely to hit $150 by May 2026
Likely NO
Russia capture kostyantynivka
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
45m Russian soldier desertions highlight morale issues amid Ukraine conflict
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
1 article
Developing
19%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia NATO invasion 2% FLAT
1h Kremlin tightens Putin security amid assassination fears, impacting ceasefire odds
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
3 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Kharg island control changes 11% FLAT
✓ 61h Iran warns US actions may endanger Gulf vessel security amid rising tensions
1h Iran threatens ceasefire breach amid US Hormuz escort plan launch
3h Trump warns of military action against Iran amid heightened tensions
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
36%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
1h Iran rejects US nuclear demands in Islamabad talks
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Circle mints $9.2B USDC on Solana amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 4 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 0% FLAT
1h $6.8B in Bitcoin long positions at risk if price falls $5,000
Likely NO
Ethereum price above on may 4
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
1h ETFs buy $630M Bitcoin, boosting institutional interest and market confidence
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
6 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
1h EU naval deployment aims to secure Strait of Hormuz by June
1h Iran tensions rise as Strait of Hormuz blockade impacts global oil supply
✓ 21h US transfers Iranian ship Tuska to Pakistan amid Hormuz blockade talks
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price above on may 4 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 4 0% FLAT
1h Bitcoin spot ETFs see $154M inflows, led by BlackRock’s $136M boost
4h Bitcoin spot ETFs see $153.8M inflows, Ethereum outflows hit $82.4M
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
Developing
11%
▼0¢
✓ 31h UAE exit from OPEC fuels crude oil price surge expectations
Likely NO
Russia NATO invasion
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
2h Ukraine thwarts Russian offensive, Kostyantynivka capture unlikely by year-end
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium
1 article
· 2h ago
16%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 16% FLAT
✓ 22h US launches “Project Freedom” to free ships in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Trump reviews Iran peace plan, considers new military strikes
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h US economy rebounds 2% in Q1 2026, driven by AI and government spending
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
1 article
· 2h ago
13%
▼0¢
2h Jeddah becomes key shipping hub as Iran conflict reshapes trade routes
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
3 articles
· 2h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
2h Iran claims readiness to counter US tech amid Middle East tensions
✓ 23h Fed’s Kashkari warns Iran conflict complicates rate policy, hints at possible hike
3h Iran conflict, inflation complicate Fed rate cuts for 2026
Likely NO
Total crypto hack value in 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
2h KelpDAO exploit highlights DeFi vulnerability amid $1.2B crypto hack concerns for 2026
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
3h Iran proposes diplomatic plan, reducing military action likelihood
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
· 3h ago
5%
▼0¢
3h Netanyahu plea deal talks begin amid corruption trial, potential 2026 exit
Likely NO
Fed decision june and july
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 4 100% FLAT
3h BOJ intervenes in forex market amid US-Iran tensions, yen stabilizes
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
3h Israeli military strikes Hezbollah in Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
4h Iranian lawmaker: US ship escort plan violates Hormuz ceasefire