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4h Nvidia expands AI partnerships in Asia amid US-China tech tensions
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
4h Nvidia expands AI partnerships in Asia amid US-China tech tensions
▼ Largest company by december 2026
76% (was 78%, ▼2¢ in 4h)
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions: 68% FLAT
NO ▲2¢
Largest company by december 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
76%
▼2¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 68% FLAT
4h 
NO ▲1¢
Russia capture kostyantynivka
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 6% FLAT
1h Ukraine drone strikes hit Russian oil facilities, showcasing military advances
2h Russian soldier desertions highlight morale issues amid Ukraine conflict
NO ▲1¢
Sharjah ruler arrest
1 article
Developing
12%
▼1¢
1h UAE airspace fully restored, Dubai Airports ramps up operations
NO ▲1¢
SpaceX IPO predictions
2 articles
Developing
71%
▼1¢
1h Meta faces New Mexico lawsuit over child safety on Facebook, Instagram
3h Stock index rule changes may expedite SpaceX IPO by March 2026
YES ▲1¢
Bitcoin price above on may 7
3 articles
Developing
12%
▲1¢
1h Middle East tensions may trigger oil market shock, says Bank of France head
✓ 22h Bitcoin tops $80,000 as Clarity Act nears Senate vote, new Fed chair expected
✓ 23h Bitcoin rebounds to $80k amid US-Iran tensions in Strait of Hormuz
YES ▲1¢
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
· 2h ago
12%
▲1¢
✓ 32h UAE exit from OPEC fuels crude oil price surge expectations
NO ▲1¢
Iran military action against neighbors
1 article
· 3h ago
12%
▼1¢
3h Jeddah becomes key shipping hub as Iran conflict reshapes trade routes
YES ▲1¢
Iran shipping agreement
1 article
· 4h ago
36%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
4h UKMTO advises mariners to use Oman waters amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
3 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
21m Eurozone PMI steady, inflation concerns may limit ECB rate cuts in 2026
1h Middle East tensions drive oil above $100, impacting global inflation outlook
3h ECB’s Muller expects inflation acceleration amid Middle East conflict
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
27m Iran conflict drives oil prices to four-year highs, pressures Trump’s approval
4h Iran claims readiness to counter US tech amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 6
1 article
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT
✓ 229m Kraken boosts US crypto derivatives with Bitnomial acquisition
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
2 articles
Developing
36%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
46m Macron urges US-Iran coordination as Trump orders military guidance in Hormuz
57m Iran’s Hormuz closure disrupts global supply chains, SKW boosts fertilizer output
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
1 article
Developing
12%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
52m US evacuates 22 crew from Iranian ship amid Hormuz blockade tensions
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
53m Trump threatens US withdrawal from NATO amid Iran conflict tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
54m Bitcoin finds support at ETF buyers’ average cost amid institutional inflows
2h Bitcoin spot ETFs see $154M inflows, led by BlackRock’s $136M boost
Likely NO
NATO and Russia military clash
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia NATO invasion 2% FLAT
✓ 21h US troop withdrawal from Germany raises NATO-Russia tension concerns
Likely NO
West bengal legislative assembly election winner 2026
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h Turkey inflation data impacts US Fed rate cut expectations for June 2026
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
Developing
11%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran shipping agreement 11% FLAT
1h US launches “Project Freedom” naval mission amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Chinese hackers target Cuban embassy amid US-China tensions
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO timeline
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 32h NATO chief signals improved US-Europe ties, reducing withdrawal likelihood
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
36%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
2h Iran maintains operational constraints on Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
2h Gulf proposals stabilize oil prices, WTI Crude unlikely to hit $150 by May 2026
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
19%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia NATO invasion 2% FLAT
2h Kremlin tightens Putin security amid assassination fears, impacting ceasefire odds
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
· 2h ago
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Kharg island control changes 11% FLAT
✓ 82h Iran warns US actions may endanger Gulf vessel security amid rising tensions
3h Iran threatens ceasefire breach amid US Hormuz escort plan launch
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 2h ago
36%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
2h Iran rejects US nuclear demands in Islamabad talks
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Circle mints $9.2B USDC on Solana amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 4 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 0% FLAT
2h $6.8B in Bitcoin long positions at risk if price falls $5,000
Likely NO
Ethereum price above on may 4
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
2h ETFs buy $630M Bitcoin, boosting institutional interest and market confidence
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
5 articles
· 2h ago
36%
▼0¢
2h EU naval deployment aims to secure Strait of Hormuz by June
2h Iran tensions rise as Strait of Hormuz blockade impacts global oil supply
✓ 23h US transfers Iranian ship Tuska to Pakistan amid Hormuz blockade talks
Likely NO
Russia NATO invasion
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
3h Ukraine thwarts Russian offensive, Kostyantynivka capture unlikely by year-end
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium
1 article
· 3h ago
16%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 16% FLAT
✓ 23h US launches “Project Freedom” to free ships in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
3h Trump reviews Iran peace plan, considers new military strikes
Likely NO
US GDP growth Q1 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h US economy rebounds 2% in Q1 2026, driven by AI and government spending
Likely NO
Total crypto hack value in 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
4%
▼0¢
4h KelpDAO exploit highlights DeFi vulnerability amid $1.2B crypto hack concerns for 2026
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
4h Iran proposes diplomatic plan, reducing military action likelihood
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
· 4h ago
5%
▼0¢
4h Netanyahu plea deal talks begin amid corruption trial, potential 2026 exit