Prediction Markets

US evacuates 22 crew from Iranian ship amid Hormuz blockade tensions

YES ▲6¢ Sharjah ruler arrest 1 article · 2h ago

19% ▲6¢

Y▲6

UAE airspace fully restored, Dubai Airports ramps up operations

NO ▲5¢ Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting 1 article · 3h ago

31% ▼5¢

⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT

N▲5

Iran rejects US nuclear demands in Islamabad talks

NO ▲4¢ US invasion of Iran 3 articles Developing

31% ▼4¢

⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 34% FLAT

N▲4

✓ 259m

Iran threatens to attack US warships entering Strait of Hormuz

Y↑

✓ 83h

Iran warns US actions may endanger Gulf vessel security amid rising tensions

N▲4

Iran threatens ceasefire breach amid US Hormuz escort plan launch

NO ▲4¢ Bab el-mandeb strait closure 3 articles Developing

31% ▼4¢

⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 34% FLAT

N▲4

UAE exits OPEC, strengthens US-Israel ties amid Iran tensions

N▲5

✓ 32h

Macron urges US-Iran coordination as Trump orders military guidance in Hormuz

Y↑

Iran’s Hormuz closure disrupts global supply chains, SKW boosts fertilizer output

NO ▲3¢ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 5 articles Developing

31% ▼3¢

N▲3

56m

US intercepts 39 vessels as Hormuz blockade enforcement continues

N▲4

✓ 21h

Iran weaponizes Strait of Hormuz, blocking shipping traffic amid tensions

Y↑

EU naval deployment aims to secure Strait of Hormuz by June

N▲5

Iran tensions rise as Strait of Hormuz blockade impacts global oil supply

N▲5

✓ 24h

US transfers Iranian ship Tuska to Pakistan amid Hormuz blockade talks

NO ▲2¢ SpaceX IPO predictions 2 articles · 3h ago

70% ▼2¢

N▲2

Meta faces New Mexico lawsuit over child safety on Facebook, Instagram

Y↑

Stock index rule changes may expedite SpaceX IPO by March 2026

NO ▲1¢ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 1 article · 3h ago

10% ▼1¢

⚡ Iran shipping agreement 11% FLAT

N▲1

US launches “Project Freedom” naval mission amid Hormuz tensions

YES ▲1¢ Bitcoin price above on may 7 3 articles · 3h ago

12% ▲1¢

Y▲1

Middle East tensions may trigger oil market shock, says Bank of France head

Y▲1

✓ 23h

Bitcoin tops $80,000 as Clarity Act nears Senate vote, new Fed chair expected

Y↑

✓ 24h

Bitcoin rebounds to $80k amid US-Iran tensions in Strait of Hormuz

NO ▲1¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026 1 article · 3h ago

18% ▼1¢

⚡ Russia NATO invasion 2% FLAT

N▲1

Kremlin tightens Putin security amid assassination fears, impacting ceasefire odds

YES ▲1¢ Crude oil price predictions by june 1 article · 4h ago

12% ▲1¢

Y▲1

✓ 34h

UAE exit from OPEC fuels crude oil price surge expectations

Likely NO Iran leadership change 1 article Developing

34% ▼0¢

Y↑

9m

UAE exits OPEC, raising oil supply concerns amid regional tensions

Likely NO Israel withdraws from lebanon 1 article Developing

3% ▼0¢

N↑

18m

Hezbollah rejects direct talks with Israel, impacting Lebanon withdrawal outlook

Likely NO Kharg island control changes 1 article Developing

7% ▼0¢

N↑

22m

Iran publishes new map asserting control over Strait of Hormuz

Likely NO Iran leadership status by end of 2026 1 article Developing

3% ▼0¢

N↑

40m

Iran reviews US peace proposal aiming to halt ongoing conflict

Likely NO WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 3 articles Developing

100% ▼0¢

⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT

Y↑

43m

Iran conflict disrupts oil supply, Endeavour warns of higher costs

N▲5

Iran maintains operational constraints on Strait of Hormuz amid tensions

N↑

Gulf proposals stabilize oil prices, WTI Crude unlikely to hit $150 by May 2026

Likely NO ECB interest rates april 2026 4 articles Developing

4% ▼0¢

N↑

53m

ECB unlikely to cut rates in April 2026 amid inflation, supply chain pressures

N↑

Eurozone PMI steady, inflation concerns may limit ECB rate cuts in 2026

N↑

Middle East tensions drive oil above $100, impacting global inflation outlook

N↑

ECB’s Muller expects inflation acceleration amid Middle East conflict

Likely NO Russia capture kostyantynivka 3 articles Developing

2% ▼0¢

N↑

Russian forces suffer first territorial loss in Ukraine since 2024: ISW

N▲1

Ukraine drone strikes hit Russian oil facilities, showcasing military advances

N↑

Russian soldier desertions highlight morale issues amid Ukraine conflict

Likely NO Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026 1 article Developing

6% ▼0¢

N↑

Iran conflict drives oil prices to four-year highs, pressures Trump’s approval

Likely NO Bitcoin price above on may 6 1 article Developing

99.9% ▼0¢

⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT

Y↑

✓ 21h

Kraken boosts US crypto derivatives with Bitnomial acquisition

Likely NO Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 1 article · 2h ago

2% ▼0¢

Y↑

Trump threatens US withdrawal from NATO amid Iran conflict tensions

Likely NO Bitcoin price targets 2 articles · 2h ago

4% ▼0¢

Y↑

✓ 22h

Bitcoin finds support at ETF buyers’ average cost amid institutional inflows

Y↑

Bitcoin spot ETFs see $154M inflows, led by BlackRock’s $136M boost

Likely NO NATO and Russia military clash 1 article · 2h ago

2% ▼0¢

⚡ Russia NATO invasion 2% FLAT

Y↑

✓ 22h

US troop withdrawal from Germany raises NATO-Russia tension concerns

Likely NO West bengal legislative assembly election winner 2026 1 article · 2h ago

5% ▼0¢

N↑

Turkey inflation data impacts US Fed rate cut expectations for June 2026

Likely NO Trump's visit to China 1 article · 3h ago

100% ▼0¢

N↑

Chinese hackers target Cuban embassy amid US-China tensions

Likely NO US withdrawal from NATO timeline 1 article · 3h ago

2% ▼0¢

N↑

✓ 33h

NATO chief signals improved US-Europe ties, reducing withdrawal likelihood

Likely NO Solana price predictions for may 1 article · 3h ago

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

Circle mints $9.2B USDC on Solana amid US-Iran tensions

Likely NO Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026 1 article · 4h ago

0% ▼0¢

⚡ Bitcoin price on may 4 0% FLAT

⚡ Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 0% FLAT

N↑

$6.8B in Bitcoin long positions at risk if price falls $5,000

Likely NO Ethereum price above on may 4 1 article · 4h ago

4% ▼0¢

⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT

Y↑

ETFs buy $630M Bitcoin, boosting institutional interest and market confidence

Likely NO Russia NATO invasion 1 article · 4h ago

2% ▼0¢

N↑