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4h UAE airspace fully restored, Dubai Airports ramps up operations
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
4h UAE airspace fully restored, Dubai Airports ramps up operations
▲ Sharjah ruler arrest
22% (was 13%, ▲9¢ in 4h)
NO ▲4¢
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
· 2h ago
31%
▼4¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 34% FLAT
✓ 52h Iran threatens to attack US warships entering Strait of Hormuz
✓ 85h Iran warns US actions may endanger Gulf vessel security amid rising tensions
NO ▲4¢
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
3 articles
· 2h ago
31%
▼4¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 34% FLAT
2h UAE exits OPEC, strengthens US-Israel ties amid Iran tensions
✓ 33h Macron urges US-Iran coordination as Trump orders military guidance in Hormuz
3h Iran’s Hormuz closure disrupts global supply chains, SKW boosts fertilizer output
NO ▲2¢
Iran airspace closure
2 articles
Developing
22%
▼2¢
36m Iran launches missiles near Persian Gulf amid rising tensions with US
3h US evacuates 22 crew from Iranian ship amid Hormuz blockade tensions
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price above on may 7
4 articles
Developing
99.5%
▼1¢
⚡ Ethereum price on may 5 100% FLAT
34m Used EV sales surge as Iran conflict drives US gas prices higher
✓ 61h Missile strike near Jask Island raises oil price concerns, impacts S&P 500
4h Middle East tensions may trigger oil market shock, says Bank of France head
NO ▲1¢
SpaceX IPO predictions
2 articles
Developing
99.5%
▼1¢
1h Ethereum whales accumulate $322M in 96 hours, boosting market confidence
4h Meta faces New Mexico lawsuit over child safety on Facebook, Instagram
YES ▲1¢
Iran leadership change
1 article
Developing
35%
▲1¢
✓ 21h UAE exits OPEC, raising oil supply concerns amid regional tensions
YES ▲1¢
Kharg island control changes
1 article
Developing
8%
▲1¢
1h Iran publishes new map asserting control over Strait of Hormuz
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
· 4h ago
10%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran shipping agreement 11% FLAT
4h US launches “Project Freedom” naval mission amid Hormuz tensions
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
18%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia NATO invasion 2% FLAT
5h Kremlin tightens Putin security amid assassination fears, impacting ceasefire odds
NO ▲1¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 5h ago
99.5%
▼1¢
5h Circle mints $9.2B USDC on Solana amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
Developing
31%
▼0¢
2m UAE condemns Iranian drone attack on ADNOC vessel in Strait of Hormuz
2h US intercepts 39 vessels as Hormuz blockade enforcement continues
✓ 22h Iran weaponizes Strait of Hormuz, blocking shipping traffic amid tensions
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
17m US deploys Merops drones amid rising tensions with Iran
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
Developing
22%
▼0¢
18m CENTCOM denies Iran missile strike claim amid heightened US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
4 articles
Developing
20%
▼0¢
27m Russian attacks on Ukrainian ports threaten European energy supplies
48m Machine gun fire reported near Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
2h Iran conflict disrupts oil supply, Endeavour warns of higher costs
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
2 articles
Developing
33%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 33% FLAT
31m Trump considers military action against Iran if talks stall: Axios
5h Iran rejects US nuclear demands in Islamabad talks
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
39m Bitmine stakes $508M in ETH, becomes largest corporate staker
✓ 23h Bitcoin finds support at ETF buyers’ average cost amid institutional inflows
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
1h Trump skeptical of Iran’s peace proposal amid nuclear impasse
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Hezbollah rejects direct talks with Israel, impacting Lebanon withdrawal outlook
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Iran reviews US peace proposal aiming to halt ongoing conflict
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
3 articles
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
2h ECB unlikely to cut rates in April 2026 amid inflation, supply chain pressures
3h Eurozone PMI steady, inflation concerns may limit ECB rate cuts in 2026
4h Middle East tensions drive oil above $100, impacting global inflation outlook
Likely NO
Russia capture kostyantynivka
3 articles
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
2h Russian forces suffer first territorial loss in Ukraine since 2024: ISW
3h Ukraine drone strikes hit Russian oil facilities, showcasing military advances
4h Russian soldier desertions highlight morale issues amid Ukraine conflict
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
6%
▼0¢
3h Iran conflict drives oil prices to four-year highs, pressures Trump’s approval
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 6
1 article
· 3h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT
✓ 23h Kraken boosts US crypto derivatives with Bitnomial acquisition
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
3h Trump threatens US withdrawal from NATO amid Iran conflict tensions
Likely NO
NATO and Russia military clash
1 article
· 4h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia NATO invasion 2% FLAT
✓ 24h US troop withdrawal from Germany raises NATO-Russia tension concerns
Likely NO
West bengal legislative assembly election winner 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
5%
▼0¢
4h Turkey inflation data impacts US Fed rate cut expectations for June 2026
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Chinese hackers target Cuban embassy amid US-China tensions
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO timeline
1 article
· 4h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 34h NATO chief signals improved US-Europe ties, reducing withdrawal likelihood
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 4 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price april 27-may 3 0% FLAT
5h $6.8B in Bitcoin long positions at risk if price falls $5,000
Likely NO
Ethereum price above on may 4
1 article
· 5h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
5h ETFs buy $630M Bitcoin, boosting institutional interest and market confidence