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5h UAE airspace fully restored, Dubai Airports ramps up operations
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
5h UAE airspace fully restored, Dubai Airports ramps up operations
▲ Sharjah ruler arrest
24% (was 13%, ▲11¢ in 5h)
NO ▲5¢
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
3 articles
· 3h ago
30%
▼5¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 34% FLAT
3h UAE exits OPEC, strengthens US-Israel ties amid Iran tensions
✓ 34h Macron urges US-Iran coordination as Trump orders military guidance in Hormuz
4h Iran’s Hormuz closure disrupts global supply chains, SKW boosts fertilizer output
YES ▲2¢
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
Developing
24%
▲2¢
1h CENTCOM denies Iran missile strike claim amid heightened US-Iran tensions
NO ▲1¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
Developing
30%
▼1¢
✓ 31h UAE condemns Iranian drone attack on ADNOC vessel in Strait of Hormuz
3h US intercepts 39 vessels as Hormuz blockade enforcement continues
✓ 23h Iran weaponizes Strait of Hormuz, blocking shipping traffic amid tensions
YES ▲1¢
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▲1¢
✓ 22h UAE exits OPEC, raising oil supply concerns amid regional tensions
YES ▲1¢
Kharg island control changes
1 article
· 2h ago
8%
▲1¢
2h Iran publishes new map asserting control over Strait of Hormuz
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
· 5h ago
10%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran shipping agreement 11% FLAT
5h US launches “Project Freedom” naval mission amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
6 articles
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
✓ 29m Iran blocks US warship entry, Brent crude jumps 5% amid rising tensions
✓ 315m Western Union launches stablecoin on Solana, boosting institutional adoption
✓ 334m German minister urges Iran to negotiate amid US-Iran tension de-escalation
Likely NO
Tamil nadu legislative assembly election winner 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
13m BJP leads in West Bengal, TVK gains in Tamil Nadu, impacting AITC prospects
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 417m US alters engagement rules, escalating tensions in Strait of Hormuz
✓ 73h Iran threatens to attack US warships entering Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
29m Melania Trump adviser urges advertiser boycott over Kimmel’s controversial joke
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
2 articles
Developing
93%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 92% FLAT
39m China defies US sanctions on Iranian oil ahead of Xi-Trump summit
5h Chinese hackers target Cuban embassy amid US-China tensions
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h US deploys Merops drones amid rising tensions with Iran
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
3 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h Russian attacks on Ukrainian ports threaten European energy supplies
1h Machine gun fire reported near Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
3h Iran conflict disrupts oil supply, Endeavour warns of higher costs
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
33%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 33% FLAT
1h Trump considers military action against Iran if talks stall: Axios
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
2 articles
Developing
24%
▼0¢
1h Iran launches missiles near Persian Gulf amid rising tensions with US
4h US evacuates 22 crew from Iranian ship amid Hormuz blockade tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Bitmine stakes $508M in ETH, becomes largest corporate staker
✓ 24h Bitcoin finds support at ETF buyers’ average cost amid institutional inflows
Likely YES
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
Developing
4%
⚡ Fed decision june and july 4% FLAT
1m Barclays predicts no Fed rate cuts until 2027 amid inflation, oil price concerns
4h Iran conflict drives oil prices to four-year highs, pressures Trump’s approval
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
2h Trump skeptical of Iran’s peace proposal amid nuclear impasse
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
2 articles
· 2h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
2h Ethereum whales accumulate $322M in 96 hours, boosting market confidence
5h Meta faces New Mexico lawsuit over child safety on Facebook, Instagram
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Hezbollah rejects direct talks with Israel, impacting Lebanon withdrawal outlook
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
3h Iran reviews US peace proposal aiming to halt ongoing conflict
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
3 articles
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
3h ECB unlikely to cut rates in April 2026 amid inflation, supply chain pressures
4h Eurozone PMI steady, inflation concerns may limit ECB rate cuts in 2026
5h Middle East tensions drive oil above $100, impacting global inflation outlook
Likely NO
Russia capture kostyantynivka
2 articles
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
3h Russian forces suffer first territorial loss in Ukraine since 2024: ISW
4h Ukraine drone strikes hit Russian oil facilities, showcasing military advances
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 6
1 article
· 4h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT
✓ 24h Kraken boosts US crypto derivatives with Bitnomial acquisition
Likely NO
NATO and Russia military clash
1 article
· 5h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia NATO invasion 2% FLAT
✓ 25h US troop withdrawal from Germany raises NATO-Russia tension concerns
Likely NO
West bengal legislative assembly election winner 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
5%
▼0¢
5h Turkey inflation data impacts US Fed rate cut expectations for June 2026
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
10%
⚡ Russia NATO invasion 2% FLAT
3m NATO deterrence bolstered as German minister affirms strong defense posture
4h Trump threatens US withdrawal from NATO amid Iran conflict tensions
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO timeline
1 article
· 5h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 35h NATO chief signals improved US-Europe ties, reducing withdrawal likelihood