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✓ 37h Florida AG investigates OpenAI over ChatGPT’s alleged role in 2025 shooting plot
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 37h Florida AG investigates OpenAI over ChatGPT’s alleged role in 2025 shooting plot
▲ GPT-5.5 release dates
91% (was 82%, ▲9¢ in 7h)
⚡ GPT-5.5 release timing: 96% FLAT
YES ▲9¢
GPT-5.5 release dates
1 article
· 7h ago
91%
▲9¢
⚡ GPT-5.5 release timing 96% FLAT
✓ 37h 
YES ▲6¢
Bitcoin price targets
7 articles
Developing
60%
▲6¢
38m Bitcoin surges past $77K as $40M in shorts liquidated amid US-Iran tensions
1h Goldman Sachs files for Bitcoin Premium Income ETF amid market volatility
3h Strategy makes 3rd-largest BTC purchase with $1.1B acquisition
NO ▲5¢
Iranian demands Trump agreement
1 article
· 7h ago
6%
▼5¢
⚡ Iran peace deals 12% FLAT
✓ 27h Iran talks stall as VP Vance’s Pakistan trip paused
NO ▲3¢
US-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
· 6h ago
12%
▼3¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium 26% FLAT
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 43% FLAT
✓ 26h Trump halts Iran strikes, cites internal fractures in Iranian government
✓ 37h Iran rejects pressure negotiations, US-Iran peace deal unlikely by deadline
NO ▲3¢
Trump tariffs / trade war
1 article
· 7h ago
77%
▼3¢
7h US confirms Trump tariffs on Mexico permanent, EU retaliation possible
NO ▲2¢
Epstein client list release
1 article
· 6h ago
7%
▼2¢
✓ 26h Democracy Forward’s FOIA request heightens scrutiny on Kash Patel
YES ▲2¢
Trump insult prediction market
1 article
· 7h ago
69%
▲2¢
7h Mandelson scandal threatens Starmer’s leadership as pressure mounts
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire announcement
1 article
· 6h ago
82%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 82% FLAT
✓ 86h Trump extends Iran blockade as ceasefire breach deadline looms
YES ▲1¢
S&P 500 movement on april 13
1 article
· 7h ago
82%
▲1¢
7h US Treasury yields rise as US-Iran tensions escalate
YES ▲1¢
Iranian demands Trump
1 article
· 7h ago
65%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
✓ 87h US Vice President Vance cancels Pakistan trip amid US-Iran peace uncertainty
NO ▲1¢
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
· 7h ago
5%
▼1¢
✓ 127h Iran skips US talks in Pakistan, complicates ceasefire efforts
NO ▲1¢
U.S. invasion of Iran
1 article
· 7h ago
65%
▼1¢
✓ 27h Trump denied nuclear codes access during Pentagon meeting, claims ex-CIA analyst
NO ▲1¢
Iran leadership status
1 article
· 7h ago
65%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 3% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 12% FLAT
7h Israel escalates tensions with Iran, straining US relations
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
3 articles
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 15% FLAT
13m Iran faces oil shut-ins in 15 days amid sanctions, war damage
4h Iran shifts to military-security governance amid rising instability risks
6h IRGC sidelines Iran’s president, takes control of state functions
Likely NO
Fed rate decisions
2 articles
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h Kevin Warsh calls for regime change at Fed, eyes rate cuts
3h Warsh’s Senate testimony boosts US 10Y yields, dims Fed rate cut hopes
Likely NO
Trump's Iranian demands
1 article
· 6h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 3% FLAT
6h US Treasury imposes new sanctions on Iran weapon suppliers
Likely NO
Gold price predictions by end of june
1 article
· 7h ago
100%
▼0¢
7h Spot gold drops 3% amid Iran conflict and US dollar strength
Likely NO
Trump public insults by april 2026
1 article
· 7h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Who will Trump publicly insult by april 30? 100% FLAT
7h Tucker Carlson apologizes for Trump support, market expects Trump insult
Likely NO
Israel military action against Iran
2 articles
· 7h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against countries 100% FLAT
7h IRGC showcases missiles in Tehran amid low odds of Israeli military action
✓ 27h Hezbollah attacks northern Israel, raising doubts over US-brokered ceasefire
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 21
1 article
· 7h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 6% FLAT
7h Strategy gains $3.6B from Bitcoin as holdings surpass BlackRock
Likely NO
USD.AI FDV after launch
1 article
· 7h ago
99%
▼0¢
7h $CHIP token launch coincides with crypto rally amid US-Iran ceasefire
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
1 article
· 7h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 3% FLAT
✓ 27h US recalls ambassador to Israel amid Iran nuclear tensions
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal
1 article
· 7h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 82% FLAT
7h Iran calls US naval blockade “act of war,” escalating Persian Gulf tensions
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
16 articles
Developing
15%
2m Iran calls US blockade an ‘act of war’ as ceasefire chances dwindle
1h CIA operatives killed in Mexico amid Iran ceasefire doubts
1h Rumors of coup attempt in Iran highlight factional divides in Tehran
