Prediction Markets

Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.

Bitcoin price on july 1 100% ▲96¢ United states vs. bosnia and herzegovina 100% ▲88¢ Bitcoin price predictions for july 1 100% ▲80¢ Colorado governor republican primary winner 97% ▲40¢ England vs. DR congo 100% ▲34¢ England vs. DR congo - FIFA world cup 2026 100% ▲12¢ Furthest advancing CAF nation at world cup 100% ▲11¢ Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026 65% ▲11¢ Claude fable 5 restoration for US customers 100% ▲7¢ XRP price on july 6, 2026 19% ▼7¢ World cup missed penalties 2026 19% ▼3¢ Next french presidential election 21% ▲2¢ 2026 women's wimbledon winner 27% ▲2¢ STRC hits $100 33% ▼2¢ England's stage of elimination in world cup 45% ▲2¢ Trump speaking engagements in june 13% ▼1¢ Bitcoin price on july 2 99.8% ▲1¢ World cup: USA stage of elimination 47% ▲1¢ Anthropic valuation by december 31 46% ▼1¢ Predict.fun FDV one day after launch 75% ▼1¢ Algeria parliamentary election 2026 40% ▲1¢ California governor election winner 2026 8% ▲1¢ Ethereum all time high predictions 1% ▼1¢ Balance of power in 2026 midterms 40% ▼0¢ World cup: paraguay stage of elimination 91% ▼0¢ Best AI model by end of 2026 4% ▼0¢ OpenAI IPO market cap 76% ▼0¢ Other Ballon d'or 2026 predictions 10% ▼0¢ France world cup elimination 10% ▼0¢ World cup: furthest advancing UEFA nation 1% ▼0¢ Total crypto hack value in 2026 7% ▼0¢ World cup senegal stage of elimination 100% ▼0¢ Tesla and spacex merger announcement 10% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price on july 1 100% ▲96¢ United states vs. bosnia and herzegovina 100% ▲88¢ Bitcoin price predictions for july 1 100% ▲80¢ Colorado governor republican primary winner 97% ▲40¢ England vs. DR congo 100% ▲34¢ England vs. DR congo - FIFA world cup 2026 100% ▲12¢ Furthest advancing CAF nation at world cup 100% ▲11¢ Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026 65% ▲11¢ Claude fable 5 restoration for US customers 100% ▲7¢ XRP price on july 6, 2026 19% ▼7¢ World cup missed penalties 2026 19% ▼3¢ Next french presidential election 21% ▲2¢ 2026 women's wimbledon winner 27% ▲2¢ STRC hits $100 33% ▼2¢ England's stage of elimination in world cup 45% ▲2¢ Trump speaking engagements in june 13% ▼1¢ Bitcoin price on july 2 99.8% ▲1¢ World cup: USA stage of elimination 47% ▲1¢ Anthropic valuation by december 31 46% ▼1¢ Predict.fun FDV one day after launch 75% ▼1¢ Algeria parliamentary election 2026 40% ▲1¢ California governor election winner 2026 8% ▲1¢ Ethereum all time high predictions 1% ▼1¢ Balance of power in 2026 midterms 40% ▼0¢ World cup: paraguay stage of elimination 91% ▼0¢ Best AI model by end of 2026 4% ▼0¢ OpenAI IPO market cap 76% ▼0¢ Other Ballon d'or 2026 predictions 10% ▼0¢ France world cup elimination 10% ▼0¢ World cup: furthest advancing UEFA nation 1% ▼0¢ Total crypto hack value in 2026 7% ▼0¢ World cup senegal stage of elimination 100% ▼0¢ Tesla and spacex merger announcement 10% ▼0¢
Laurashin16h

Trump’s $1B crypto earnings boost Bitcoin sentiment, regulatory focus

▲ Bitcoin price on july 1
100% (was 4%, ▲96¢ in 16h)
YES ▲96¢ Bitcoin price on july 1 1 article · 16h ago
100% ▲96¢
Y▲96
Laurashin16h
Trump’s $1B crypto earnings boost Bitcoin sentiment, regulatory focus
YES ▲40¢ Colorado governor republican primary winner 1 article · 12h ago
97% ▲40¢
Y▲40
DecisionDeskHQ12h
Kirkmeyer leads Marx in tight Colorado GOP governor primary race
YES ▲34¢ England vs. DR congo 1 article · 10h ago
100% ▲34¢
⚡ England vs. DR congo - FIFA world cup 2026 68% FLAT
Y▲34
MarioNawfalBBC Sport FootballTouchlineXGoalOliver_drk+4✓ 910h
DR Congo’s early goal against England not reflected in final World Cup score
YES ▲12¢ England vs. DR congo - FIFA world cup 2026 1 article · 12h ago
100% ▲12¢
Y▲12
TouchlineXSimplyUtdDaniel_mab43951STsportsdeskAgbaosiSal50457Fox News (Main)✓ 612h
England confirms starting XI for World Cup match vs DR Congo July 1, 2026
YES ▲11¢ Furthest advancing CAF nation at world cup 1 article · 14h ago
100% ▲11¢
Y▲11
Farenet14h
World Cup expansion boosts African teams’ success in knockout stages
YES ▲11¢ Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026 1 article · 15h ago
65% ▲11¢
Y▲11
Walter BloombergBusinessCHItraderTenet_researchWallstengineCoinbureau✓ 615h
BYD delivers 557K EVs in Q2 2026, poised to overtake Tesla
NO ▲7¢ XRP price on july 6, 2026 1 article · 13h ago
19% ▼7¢
N▲7
CoinDesk13h
XRP and HYPE ETFs see $220M inflows in June amid regulatory clarity
NO ▲3¢ World cup missed penalties 2026 1 article · 12h ago
19% ▼3¢
N▲3
Telex.hu12h
FIFA defends VAR call on Germany’s disallowed goal in World Cup
YES ▲2¢ England's stage of elimination in world cup 1 article · 7h ago
45% ▲2¢
Y▲2
BBC Sport FootballThe Guardian FootballFox News (Main)New York Post✓ 47h
Kane’s double secures England’s World Cup win over DR Congo
YES ▲2¢ Next french presidential election 1 article · 14h ago
21% ▲2¢
Y▲2
Politico Europe14h
Retailleau claims 2027 French election timing favors left-wing candidates
NO ▲1¢ Anthropic valuation by december 31 1 article · 3h ago
46% ▼1¢
N▲1
CogAbility3h
US lifts export controls on Anthropic AI models, boosting market prospects
YES ▲1¢ Bitcoin price on july 2 1 article · 5h ago
99.8% ▲1¢
Y▲1
Treasury_BTC5h
Strategy unveils $1B Bitcoin monetization, boosts STRC dividend
NO ▲1¢ Trump speaking engagements in june 1 article · 10h ago
13% ▼1¢
N▲1
IrnaEnglish10h
US misled Russia on NATO expansion, claims Russian official
YES ▲1¢ Algeria parliamentary election 2026 1 article · 12h ago
40% ▲1¢
Y▲1
AJEnglish12h
Algeria faces legislative elections amid record-low turnout concerns
NO ▲1¢ Predict.fun FDV one day after launch 1 article · 12h ago
75% ▼1¢
N▲1
TechCrunchDegenerateNews✓ 212h
Venice AI hits unicorn status with $65M Series A led by Paradigm
YES ▲1¢ California governor election winner 2026 1 article · 13h ago
8% ▲1¢
Y▲1
Business13h
California mandates four-day office return for state workers, unions oppose
Likely NO Tesla and spacex merger announcement 1 article · 12h ago
10% ▼0¢
Y↑
Theinformation12h
Elon Musk considers closer Tesla-SpaceX integration amid merger speculation
Likely NO Ballon d'or 2026 predictions 1 article · 14h ago
10% ▼0¢
Y↑
Goal14h
Mbappe ties Messi’s World Cup goal record, boosts Ballon d’Or 2026 prospects
Likely NO Best AI model by end of 2026 1 article · 13h ago
4% ▼0¢
Y↑
Testingcatalog13h
Google tests new Gemini Flash checkpoint ahead of Google IO event
Likely NO OpenAI IPO market cap 1 article · 13h ago
76% ▼0¢
Y↑
IPOtweet13h
AI infrastructure dominates 2026 IPOs, OpenAI eyes $1T valuation
Likely NO World cup: paraguay stage of elimination 1 article · 14h ago
91% ▼0¢
N↑
Farenet14h
Fernando Signorini boycotts 2026 World Cup over FIFA double standards
Likely NO France world cup elimination 1 article · 15h ago
10% ▼0¢
N↑
Reuters15h
Mbappé leads France to 3-0 win over Sweden, ties Messi’s World Cup goal record
Likely NO Total crypto hack value in 2026 1 article · 15h ago
7% ▼0¢
N↑
TheBlockCoThe Block✓ 215h
Crypto hack theft falls 7% in June to $76M as Humanity Protocol tops list