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2h Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz amid US talks for potential blockade lift
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
2h Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz amid US talks for potential blockade lift
▼ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
25% (was 27%, ▼2¢ in 2h)
NO ▲2¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
5 articles
· 2h ago
25%
▼2¢
2h 3h South Korea joins talks to ensure safe passage through Strait of Hormuz
✓ 34h US maintains naval blockade against Iran, impacting Hormuz traffic normalization
NO ▲1¢
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
Developing
22%
▼1¢
31m Iran accuses US of killing civilians, raising airspace closure risks
✓ 22h UAE intercepts missiles from Iran, escalating Gulf tensions
2h Iran threatens retaliation as US-Israel military campaign intensifies
NO ▲1¢
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
Developing
25%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 26% FLAT
1h US destroyers cross Strait of Hormuz under Iranian fire, escalating tensions
5h USS Truxtun, USS Mason attacked by Iran in Hormuz, escalating tensions
YES ▲1¢
Ethereum price on may 5
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 2% FLAT
2h Iran tensions, oil shortages impact Fed rate cut expectations for 2026
YES ▲1¢
Meta platforms stock price predictions
2 articles
· 3h ago
79%
▲1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 70% FLAT
3h China blocks US funding for AI startups amid Meta acquisition tensions
5h Meta secures $13B financing for Texas AI data center with Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan
YES ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
5%
▲1¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT
4h Stablecoin yield compromise boosts Bitcoin’s long-term regulatory outlook
NO ▲1¢
Netanyahu out
1 article
· 5h ago
13%
▼1¢
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 14% FLAT
5h Netanyahu pressured Trump on Iran military action, claims Tucker Carlson
Likely NO
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 5h ago
0%
5h “The Devil Wears Prada 2” earns $233M globally in opening weekend
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
4 articles
Developing
25%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 25% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 60% FLAT
4m Cargo ship attacked near Hormuz, escalating US-Iran tensions
1h South Korean vessel explosion adds to Strait of Hormuz instability
3h Iran tensions rise as hackers leak US Navy officer data in Persian Gulf
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on may 4
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price above on may 4 100% FLAT
26m Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs see $593M inflows amid geopolitical tensions
✓ 43h US Spot Bitcoin ETFs acquire $532.3M in Bitcoin amid regulatory clarity push
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
48m Iran threatens European bases amid rising geopolitical tensions
3h Iran-US ceasefire on brink as military actions escalate
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
2 articles
Developing
25%
▼0¢
✓ 253m Iran solidifies stance on Hormuz amid US blockade tensions
2h Vessels cluster near Dubai as Iran asserts control over Hormuz strait
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
5 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Bitmine stakes $10.2B in Ethereum amid geopolitical tensions
✓ 33h Bitcoin surges past $81,000 amid US-Iran tensions, highest since January
4h US Treasury targets Iranian exchange houses amid rising tensions with Iran
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Geopolitical tensions in Hormuz impact ECB rate cut expectations for April 2026
Likely NO
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
1h Bitcoin surges past $81,000 amid US-Iran tensions, reinforcing safe-haven status
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for may
2 articles
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h Western Union launches stablecoin on Solana, boosting network confidence
5h Solana faces ecosystem disruptions despite $750M USDC minting and Visa ties
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
2 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Israel orders evacuations in southern Lebanon amid ongoing military operations
4h Hezbollah rejects talks as tensions rise, impacting Israeli withdrawal odds
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ ECB interest rates april 2026 100% FLAT
⚡ Fed decision june and july 2% FLAT
2h Middle East conflict drives oil prices to $119, impacting global inflation
Likely NO
Scotland parliamentary election winner
1 article
· 2h ago
40%
▼0¢
2h SNP projected to win fifth term in 2026 Scottish Parliament election
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Iran-US diplomatic talks expected soon amid nuclear tensions
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Spirit Airlines files for bankruptcy, seeks retention payments amid shutdown
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 5
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 8 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
3h Fidelity’s alleged $184M Bitcoin purchase fuels institutional interest speculation
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 4 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 8 100% FLAT
4h Bitwise fund approval boosts mainstream crypto access
4h Bitcoin open interest hits $60.9B amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Strait of Hormuz closure fuels oil price surge amid global shortages
Likely NO
U.S. anti-cartel operation timeline
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Mexico deploys top security officials to Sinaloa amid cartel violence escalation
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 2% FLAT
✓ 24h Iran tensions threaten oil transit, WTI crude may hit $150 in May
Likely NO
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Crypto stocks rally as Clarity Act advances in US Senate
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h White House considers pre-release reviews for Anthropic’s AI model Mythos