Earn with Nexo
✓ 22h Iraq offers crude discounts amid Strait of Hormuz shipping risks
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 22h Iraq offers crude discounts amid Strait of Hormuz shipping risks
▼ Strait of hormuz ship transit
10% (was 12%, ▼2¢ in 2h)
NO ▲1¢
US invasion of Iran
6 articles
Developing
25%
▼1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 63% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 26% FLAT
15m Iran attacks US destroyers in Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
37m Pete Hegseth scrutinized over war powers in Iran hearing
✓ 32h US-Iran tensions rise as US Navy escorts tankers through Strait of Hormuz
NO ▲1¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
Developing
25%
▼1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 63% FLAT
18m US establishes defensive umbrella over Strait of Hormuz amid tensions with Iran
1h Maersk ship transits Strait of Hormuz under US military escort amid tensions
6h Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz amid US talks for potential blockade lift
YES ▲1¢
NATO and Russia military clash
2 articles
· 2h ago
20%
▲1¢
2h Russian attack on Ukraine’s Naftogaz gas facilities kills five, stalls ceasefire
3h Ukraine missile strike hits key Russian military electronics plant
NO ▲1¢
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
· 5h ago
29%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 25h Bitcoin surges past $81,000 amid US-Iran tensions, reinforcing safe-haven status
YES ▲1¢
Ethereum price on may 5
1 article
· 6h ago
3%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 2% FLAT
6h Iran tensions, oil shortages impact Fed rate cut expectations for 2026
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
6 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
13m Iran tests ceasefire limits with UAE attacks, maritime threats
29m Trump challenges War Powers Act as Iran conflict escalates
1h Israeli cities open shelters amid rising threat of Iranian attacks
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 6% FLAT
⚡ Iran leadership change 38% FLAT
16m Iran leadership instability fuels regime change speculation amid command crisis
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 4-10
1 article
Developing
68%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 8 100% FLAT
19m Bitcoin inflows hit $117.8M amid US-Iran ceasefire talks
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
40%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 15% FLAT
30m Nobitex linked to sanctions evasion amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions for may 5
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on may 5 100% FLAT
44m Ethereum outperforms S&P 500, seen as top wartime store of value
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
3 articles
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
1h US-Iran tensions drive rupee to record low, impact oil and Bitcoin markets
2h Iran missile strikes disrupt oil supply routes, boost WTI crude prices
4h Bitmine stakes $10.2B in Ethereum amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
1h Iran missile strike on US Navy escalates tensions, potential for US response
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 8
1 article
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
1h $226M in crypto short positions liquidated amid US-Iran-Israel tensions
Likely NO
Trump out as president
1 article
Developing
17%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 16% FLAT
1h Trump ends hostilities with Iran, reducing pressure on presidency
Likely NO
Kharg island control changes
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 58% FLAT
1h IRGC tightens control over Persian Gulf, impacting Strait of Hormuz transit
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Spirit Airlines to cease operations after failed bailout talks
Likely NO
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 32% FLAT
2h IAEA engages Russia on Iran uranium amid hardline leadership shift
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Trump administration considers AI oversight, impacting Anthropic’s US deal
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 2% FLAT
2h Middle East tensions impact Fed rate cut likelihood, support higher oil prices
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
2 articles
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ ECB interest rates april 2026 100% FLAT
3h Australia raises interest rates amid global easing trend
6h Middle East conflict drives oil prices to $119, impacting global inflation
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
14%
▼0¢
3h Thailand approves emergency borrowing amid US-Israel-Iran conflict
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
2 articles
· 3h ago
25%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 25% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 60% FLAT
3h Cargo ship attacked near Hormuz, escalating US-Iran tensions
5h South Korean vessel explosion adds to Strait of Hormuz instability
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on may 4
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price above on may 4 100% FLAT
3h Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs see $593M inflows amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
2 articles
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
4h Iran threatens European bases amid rising geopolitical tensions
6h Iran-US ceasefire on brink as military actions escalate
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
2 articles
· 4h ago
25%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Iran solidifies stance on Hormuz amid US blockade tensions
5h Vessels cluster near Dubai as Iran asserts control over Hormuz strait
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
5h Geopolitical tensions in Hormuz impact ECB rate cut expectations for April 2026
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 5h ago
0%
▼0¢
5h Western Union launches stablecoin on Solana, boosting network confidence
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 5h ago
3%
▼0¢
5h Israel orders evacuations in southern Lebanon amid ongoing military operations
Likely NO
Scotland parliamentary election winner
1 article
· 6h ago
40%
▼0¢
6h SNP projected to win fifth term in 2026 Scottish Parliament election
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
· 6h ago
78%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 70% FLAT
6h China blocks US funding for AI startups amid Meta acquisition tensions