Earn with Nexo
✓ 52h UAE intercepts Iranian missiles amid regional tensions with Israel
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 52h UAE intercepts Iranian missiles amid regional tensions with Israel
▼ Iran military action against neighbors
16% (was 19%, ▼3¢ in 2h)
NO ▲3¢
Iran military action against neighbors
3 articles
· 2h ago
16%
▼3¢
✓ 52h 6h Iran tests ceasefire limits with UAE attacks, maritime threats
✓ 26h Trump challenges War Powers Act as Iran conflict escalates
NO ▲2¢
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
Developing
29%
▼2¢
⚡ XRP price predictions for may 5 100% FLAT
1h Ripple CEO confirms no IPO plans despite $13T in payments processed
YES ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit
2 articles
· 3h ago
28%
▲2¢
3h Iran seizes two ships, reducing Strait of Hormuz traffic amid tensions
✓ 25h US aircraft carrier USS George H.W. Bush conducts operations in Arabian Sea
NO ▲1¢
Iran airspace closure
1 article
Developing
16%
▼1¢
1h Trump administration declares end to hostilities with Iran, cites ceasefire
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions for may 9
1 article
· 2h ago
67%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 4-10 1% FLAT
2h Bitcoin hits $80K amid US-Iran tensions, $68K by May 9 likely
YES ▲1¢
US x Iran ceasefire extensions
1 article
· 2h ago
13%
▲1¢
2h Pakistan mediates US-Iran ceasefire talks, sees progress
NO ▲1¢
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
2 articles
· 5h ago
39%
▼1¢
5h Iran refuses US meeting as envoys visit Pakistan for talks
6h Nobitex linked to sanctions evasion amid US-Iran tensions
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions for may 4-10
1 article
· 6h ago
67%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 8 100% FLAT
✓ 36h Bitcoin inflows hit $117.8M amid US-Iran ceasefire talks
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
✓ 24m Trump suggests arming Iranians amid regime change discussions
Likely NO
Fed rate decisions
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h ECB June rate hike bets trimmed to 23 bps amid inflation concerns
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
1h Romanian ministry of defense condemns russian drone debris incident
5h Russia launches massive missile, drone assault on Dnipro, injuring 30
Likely YES
Solana price predictions for may
2 articles
Developing
1%
1m MoonPay acquires DFlow in $100M deal to boost Solana infrastructure
3h Securitize, Jump, JupiterExchange launch regulated onchain trading on Solana
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 6% FLAT
26m Iran’s military weakened amid US-Israel operations, Strait of Hormuz closed
6h Iran leadership instability fuels regime change speculation amid command crisis
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
Developing
28%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 82% FLAT
✓ 229m Trump confirms no vessels crossed Hormuz blockade amid US-Iran tensions
6h US establishes defensive umbrella over Strait of Hormuz amid tensions with Iran
7h Maersk ship transits Strait of Hormuz under US military escort amid tensions
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
Developing
28%
▼0¢
✓ 233m Trump dismisses Iranian threat, maintains Hormuz blockade stance
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
5 articles
Developing
13%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
45m US confirms ongoing military operations in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
✓ 33h US to reduce military presence in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran ceasefire
✓ 24h Iran attacks US Navy, UAE oil sites as Hormuz tensions escalate
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
3 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
51m Middle East tensions drive WTI crude oil prices higher, impacting Fed rate cut odds
2h US launches Project Freedom to secure Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
4h US sanctions Iranian currency exchanges, impacting oil trade with China
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Anthropic CEO comments may impact Google’s AI model ranking by May
1h UN resolution demands Iran halt ship attacks, illegal tolls in Strait of Hormuz
5h Pentagon labels Anthropic a supply chain risk amid AI policy shift
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 7% FLAT
✓ 31h Israel vows more destruction in Lebanon amid ongoing military operations
Likely NO
Iranian demands Trump will agree to
2 articles
Developing
11%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 15% FLAT
1h Trump expands Cuba sanctions, dims prospects for US-Iran nuclear deal
✓ 22h US and Bahrain push UN-backed action for Hormuz maritime coalition
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
2 articles
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
1h US gas prices hit $4.3 amid Iran conflict, Bitcoin outlook stable
7h US-Iran tensions drive rupee to record low, impact oil and Bitcoin markets
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
Developing
15%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 8% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 15% FLAT
1h Trump seeks to dismantle Iran’s atomic stockpile in Pakistan talks
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
1h Iran conflict disrupts oil shipments, Brent crude hits $119 per barrel
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in april 100% FLAT
2h Ethereum solidifies institutional role, price likely above $1,800 by May 5
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
2h Fed rate cuts unlikely in 2026 amid inflation concerns, markets suggest
3h US-Iran conflict fuels inflation, dims Fed rate cut prospects for 2026
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 3h ago
11%
▼0¢
3h Trump warns of military action over Iran peace proposal dissatisfaction
Likely NO
Starmer out timing
1 article
· 4h ago
40%
▼0¢
4h Labour faces historic losses as Reform UK leads polls ahead of May 2026 elections
Likely NO
Romanian PM bolojan departure
1 article
· 5h ago
6%
▼0¢
✓ 45h Romanian PM Bolojan likely to exit after government collapse
Likely NO
Total crypto hack value in 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
99.7%
▼0¢
5h Ripple shares North Korea-linked threat data as crypto hacks evolve
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions for may 5
1 article
· 6h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on may 5 100% FLAT
6h Ethereum outperforms S&P 500, seen as top wartime store of value