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1h XRP sentiment hits two-year high with Rakuten Wallet integration
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
1h XRP sentiment hits two-year high with Rakuten Wallet integration
▲ XRP price predictions for may
32% (was 29%, ▲3¢ in 1h)
⚡ XRP price predictions for may 5: 100% FLAT
YES ▲3¢
XRP price predictions for may
2 articles
Developing
32%
▲3¢
⚡ XRP price predictions for may 5 100% FLAT
1h 4h Ripple CEO confirms no IPO plans despite $13T in payments processed
NO ▲2¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 3h ago
26%
▼2¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 82% FLAT
✓ 23h Trump confirms no vessels crossed Hormuz blockade amid US-Iran tensions
NO ▲1¢
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
2 articles
Developing
26%
▼1¢
1h Somali terror groups escalate piracy in Bab el-Mandeb Strait, raising security risks
✓ 23h Trump dismisses Iranian threat, maintains Hormuz blockade stance
YES ▲1¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
4 articles
· 2h ago
11%
▲1¢
2h Trump rejects Iran’s peace proposal, maintains economic pressure
4h Middle East tensions drive WTI crude oil prices higher, impacting Fed rate cut odds
6h US launches Project Freedom to secure Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
NO ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
· 3h ago
38%
▼1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 37% FLAT
3h Trump warns Iran of swift action amid ongoing tensions
✓ 34h Israel vows more destruction in Lebanon amid ongoing military operations
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 5h ago
14%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 8% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 15% FLAT
5h Trump seeks to dismantle Iran’s atomic stockpile in Pakistan talks
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions for may 9
1 article
· 5h ago
67%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 4-10 1% FLAT
5h Bitcoin hits $80K amid US-Iran tensions, $68K by May 9 likely
YES ▲1¢
US x Iran ceasefire extensions
1 article
· 6h ago
13%
▲1¢
6h Pakistan mediates US-Iran ceasefire talks, sees progress
YES ▲1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 7h ago
13%
▲1¢
7h Trump warns of military action over Iran peace proposal dissatisfaction
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% FLAT
41m Iran missile strikes UAE amid rising tensions in Strait of Hormuz
✓ 21h Trump declares Iran war ‘terminated’ amid airspace closure speculation
4h Trump administration declares end to hostilities with Iran, cites ceasefire
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
43m Google Cloud, Solana launch pay-as-you-go AI system using stablecoins
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
51m Nigeria crude supply shortfall may push oil prices to $90 by June
5h Iran conflict disrupts oil shipments, Brent crude hits $119 per barrel
Likely NO
Russia capture kostyantynivka
1 article
Developing
77%
▼0¢
1h Russian troop desertions strain efforts to capture Kostyantynivka
Likely NO
Kharg island control changes
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 26% FLAT
1h Iran asserts permanent control over Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Iran to dismantle US exploitation of Hormuz, says Khamenei
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
2 articles
Developing
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
1h Iran’s economic turmoil deepens amid naval blockade and military actions
✓ 55h UAE intercepts Iranian missiles amid regional tensions with Israel
Likely NO
Trump conversations in april
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h US forces capture Nicolás Maduro, confirming removal before 2027
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 2h ago
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
2h Israel ramps up military operations in Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% FLAT
✓ 22h Trump hints at US red lines amid rising Iran tensions
3h Iran’s military weakened amid US-Israel operations, Strait of Hormuz closed
Likely NO
Dissent at april Fed meeting
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Trump comments on Hormuz boost US oil demand amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 3h ago
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
✓ 23h Trump comments dampen US-Iran diplomatic meeting prospects
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for may
2 articles
· 3h ago
1%
▼0¢
✓ 23h MoonPay acquires DFlow in $100M deal to boost Solana infrastructure
7h Securitize, Jump, JupiterExchange launch regulated onchain trading on Solana
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
✓ 43h Trump suggests arming Iranians amid regime change discussions
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
3 articles
· 4h ago
13%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
4h US confirms ongoing military operations in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
✓ 37h US to reduce military presence in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran ceasefire
✓ 28h Iran attacks US Navy, UAE oil sites as Hormuz tensions escalate
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
2 articles
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Anthropic CEO comments may impact Google’s AI model ranking by May
4h UN resolution demands Iran halt ship attacks, illegal tolls in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Iranian demands Trump will agree to
2 articles
· 4h ago
11%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 15% FLAT
4h Trump expands Cuba sanctions, dims prospects for US-Iran nuclear deal
✓ 26h US and Bahrain push UN-backed action for Hormuz maritime coalition
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h US gas prices hit $4.3 amid Iran conflict, Bitcoin outlook stable
Likely NO
Fed rate decisions
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h ECB June rate hike bets trimmed to 23 bps amid inflation concerns
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 5h ago
6%
▼0¢
5h Romanian ministry of defense condemns russian drone debris incident
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in april 100% FLAT
5h Ethereum solidifies institutional role, price likely above $1,800 by May 5
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
· 5h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
5h Fed rate cuts unlikely in 2026 amid inflation concerns, markets suggest
7h US-Iran conflict fuels inflation, dims Fed rate cut prospects for 2026
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit
1 article
· 7h ago
26%
▼0¢
7h Iran seizes two ships, reducing Strait of Hormuz traffic amid tensions
Likely NO
Starmer out timing
1 article
· 8h ago
40%
▼0¢
8h Labour faces historic losses as Reform UK leads polls ahead of May 2026 elections