Earn with Nexo
3h Somali terror groups escalate piracy in Bab el-Mandeb Strait, raising security risks
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
3h Somali terror groups escalate piracy in Bab el-Mandeb Strait, raising security risks
▲ Bab el-mandeb strait closure
33% (was 27%, ▲6¢ in 3h)
YES ▲6¢
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
2 articles
· 3h ago
33%
▲6¢
3h 
✓ 26h Trump dismisses Iranian threat, maintains Hormuz blockade stance
YES ▲5¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 6h ago
33%
▲5¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 82% FLAT
✓ 26h Trump confirms no vessels crossed Hormuz blockade amid US-Iran tensions
YES ▲3¢
XRP price predictions for may
2 articles
· 3h ago
32%
▲3¢
⚡ XRP price predictions for may 5 100% FLAT
3h XRP sentiment hits two-year high with Rakuten Wallet integration
7h Ripple CEO confirms no IPO plans despite $13T in payments processed
YES ▲3¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 7h ago
12%
▲3¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 8% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 15% FLAT
7h Trump seeks to dismantle Iran’s atomic stockpile in Pakistan talks
NO ▲2¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
· 5h ago
37%
▼2¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 37% FLAT
5h Trump warns Iran of swift action amid ongoing tensions
✓ 37h Israel vows more destruction in Lebanon amid ongoing military operations
NO ▲1¢
Kharg island control changes
1 article
· 3h ago
7%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 26% FLAT
3h Iran asserts permanent control over Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions for may 9
1 article
· 7h ago
67%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 4-10 1% FLAT
7h Bitcoin hits $80K amid US-Iran tensions, $68K by May 9 likely
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 16% FLAT
11m Iran labels UAE ‘Israeli proxy,’ warns of military action in Gulf region
✓ 21h Iran denies involvement in UAE attack amid regional tensions
✓ 24h Iran’s economic turmoil deepens amid naval blockade and military actions
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for may
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
16m Anchorage Digital, J.P. Morgan partner on Solana stablecoin reserves
2h Securitize, Jump, Jupiter launch tokenized equities on Solana blockchain
✓ 35h MoonPay acquires DFlow in $100M deal to boost Solana infrastructure
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
55m US gains pre-release access to top AI models from Alphabet, Microsoft, xAI
✓ 26h Anthropic CEO comments may impact Google’s AI model ranking by May
7h UN resolution demands Iran halt ship attacks, illegal tolls in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit
2 articles
Developing
10%
▼0¢
1h Iran introduces permit system for Strait of Hormuz vessel transits
✓ 21h US military escorts US ships through Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h API reports significant crude draw amid Hormuz tensions, oil eyes $90 by June
3h Nigeria crude supply shortfall may push oil prices to $90 by June
7h Iran conflict disrupts oil shipments, Brent crude hits $119 per barrel
Likely NO
Bitcoin future price predictions
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
1h US shifts to clear crypto regulations, boosting Bitcoin investor confidence
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 92% FLAT
1h Beijing blocks Meta’s $2B Manus deal amid US-China tensions
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
2 articles
· 2h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 8% FLAT
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
2h US-Iran talks focus on uranium enrichment amid diplomatic efforts
✓ 25h Trump comments dampen US-Iran diplomatic meeting prospects
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
3 articles
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% FLAT
3h Iran missile strikes UAE amid rising tensions in Strait of Hormuz
✓ 23h Trump declares Iran war ‘terminated’ amid airspace closure speculation
7h Trump administration declares end to hostilities with Iran, cites ceasefire
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Google Cloud, Solana launch pay-as-you-go AI system using stablecoins
Likely NO
Russia capture kostyantynivka
1 article
· 3h ago
77%
▼0¢
3h Russian troop desertions strain efforts to capture Kostyantynivka
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
3h Iran to dismantle US exploitation of Hormuz, says Khamenei
Likely NO
Trump conversations in april
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h US forces capture Nicolás Maduro, confirming removal before 2027
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 4h ago
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
4h Israel ramps up military operations in Lebanon amid ceasefire violations
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 5h ago
10%
▼0¢
5h Trump rejects Iran’s peace proposal, maintains economic pressure
6h Middle East tensions drive WTI crude oil prices higher, impacting Fed rate cut odds
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
2 articles
· 5h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% FLAT
✓ 25h Trump hints at US red lines amid rising Iran tensions
6h Iran’s military weakened amid US-Israel operations, Strait of Hormuz closed
Likely NO
Dissent at april Fed meeting
1 article
· 5h ago
3%
▼0¢
✓ 25h Trump comments on Hormuz boost US oil demand amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 5h ago
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
✓ 45h Trump suggests arming Iranians amid regime change discussions
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 6h ago
13%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
6h US confirms ongoing military operations in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Iranian demands Trump will agree to
1 article
· 7h ago
11%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 15% FLAT
7h Trump expands Cuba sanctions, dims prospects for US-Iran nuclear deal
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
1 article
· 7h ago
100%
▼0¢
7h US gas prices hit $4.3 amid Iran conflict, Bitcoin outlook stable
Likely NO
Fed rate decisions
1 article
· 7h ago
100%
▼0¢
7h ECB June rate hike bets trimmed to 23 bps amid inflation concerns
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 7h ago
6%
▼0¢
7h Romanian ministry of defense condemns russian drone debris incident
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
· 8h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in april 100% FLAT
8h Ethereum solidifies institutional role, price likely above $1,800 by May 5
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
· 8h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
8h Fed rate cuts unlikely in 2026 amid inflation concerns, markets suggest