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6h Neom port promotion signals shift from Strait of Hormuz amid regional tensions
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
6h Neom port promotion signals shift from Strait of Hormuz amid regional tensions
▲ Strait of hormuz ship transit
83% (was 68%, ▲15¢ in 6h)
YES ▲4¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
Developing
7%
▲4¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 3% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 37% FLAT
✓ 31h CMA CGM vessel attacked in Strait of Hormuz, escalating regional tensions
YES ▲4¢
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 5h ago
16%
▲4¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 12% FLAT
5h Iran rejects US demands amid ongoing tensions and economic blockade
YES ▲1¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
Developing
7%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 4% FLAT
40m Iran denies involvement in Korean vessel incident amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
1h Next to raise prices up outside Europe amid Iran conflict costs
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 21h Russia accused of ceasefire violation amid ongoing Ukraine conflict escalation
6h Iran strikes UAE as Ukraine expands Gulf security ties
YES ▲1¢
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
2 articles
Developing
6%
▲1¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
1h Iran rejects US threats, leadership stability likely through 2026
5h Iran, China discuss ceasefire and Hormuz reopening amid US tensions
YES ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
3 articles
· 2h ago
6%
▲1¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
2h Iran warns UAE over US-Israel ties, peace deal odds drop
3h US suspends ‘Project Freedom’ to facilitate Israel-Iran peace talks
3h House Democrats urge Trump to acknowledge Israel’s nuclear program
NO ▲1¢
Iran airspace closure
2 articles
· 4h ago
6%
▼1¢
4h Strait of Hormuz blockade fuels WTI crude oil price surge concerns
5h USAF reduces presence in Europe, West Asia amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
5 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 46% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 74% FLAT
6m Thousands of ships stranded as Trump claims US “winning” Hormuz blockade
35m US suspends Strait of Hormuz ship guidance plan, shipowners seek alternatives
1h Strait of Hormuz remains closed amid US-Iran blockades
Likely NO
Marco rubio press briefing statements
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
20m Rubio’s Vatican mission complicated by Trump-Pope clash over Iran policy
3h US shifts to defensive posture in Hormuz as ‘Operation Epic Fury’ ends
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 232m Spirit Airlines faces shutdown risk amid soaring jet fuel prices and flight cuts
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
32m China supplies drone parts to Iran, Russia despite US sanctions: WSJ
4h Trump, Xi to discuss Taiwan amid China’s military drills near island
6h China defies US sanctions on Iranian oil ahead of Trump’s Beijing visit
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on may 6
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 241m ECB signals potential 50+ bps rate cut for April 2026 amid stable wage growth
Likely NO
Ethereum price above on may 6
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
44m BitMine buys 101,745 ETH for $238M, boosting institutional demand
2h Whale activity signals institutional interest in Ethereum as price holds above $1,800
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
5 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 6% FLAT
1h UAE intercepts Iranian missiles amid Gulf tensions over Project Freedom
✓ 21h Iran seeks comprehensive agreement with US amid diplomatic overtures
2h UAE marks armed forces’ 50th anniversary amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Israel airspace closure
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Israel orders evacuation of 12 Lebanese villages amid military escalation
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 4-10
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 6 0% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price above on may 6 100% FLAT
2h Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs see major inflows amid market uncertainty
5h BlackRock clients acquire $251M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
2 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h IDF strikes Hezbollah targets, impacting Israel withdrawal market sentiment
4h Israel bombs 21 Lebanese villages amid ceasefire, raising withdrawal concerns
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Dollar hits 30-year low as Trump hints at possible Iran deal
4h Iran conflict drives oil prices up, impacts Thailand inflation
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h OpenAI, Anthropic drive US cloud demand, boost Google stock outlook for April
Likely NO
Scotland parliamentary election winner
1 article
· 3h ago
69%
▼0¢
3h UK elections may test Starmer’s leadership amid Labour challenges
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
3h Poland holds interest rates steady amid Iran conflict-driven inflation pressures
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
· 4h ago
2%
▼0¢
4h Netanyahu’s West Bank annexation plan sparks political instability concerns
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit record highs as AI chip stocks surge
Likely NO
Sharjah secession from UAE
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h UAE exits OPEC amid Gulf tensions, impacting oil market dynamics
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
29%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 6 0% FLAT
5h Strategy reports wider loss amid Bitcoin price slump, geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Billions FDV after launch
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
5h Prophet debuts AI-powered prediction market with $10K capital tranche
Likely NO
MicroStrategy Bitcoin sales timeline
1 article
· 5h ago
29%
▼0¢
✓ 55h Strategy may sell Bitcoin to cover STRC dividends, says Michael Saylor
Likely NO
Bitcoin price april 27-may 3
1 article
· 6h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
6h Strategy reports $12.5B net loss, impacting Bitcoin sentiment for May 2026