Prediction Markets

Nvidia faces increased competition in AI processor market, market share declines

YES ▲4¢ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 2 articles Developing

10% ▲4¢

⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 4% FLAT

Y▲4

Iran denies involvement in Korean vessel incident amid Strait of Hormuz tensions

Y↑

Next to raise prices up outside Europe amid Iran conflict costs

NO ▲4¢ Iran airspace closure 1 article · 5h ago

3% ▼4¢

N▲4

Strait of Hormuz blockade fuels WTI crude oil price surge concerns

YES ▲3¢ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 5 articles Developing

10% ▲3¢

⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 46% FLAT

⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 74% FLAT

Y▲3

Thousands of ships stranded as Trump claims US “winning” Hormuz blockade

Y▲4

US suspends Strait of Hormuz ship guidance plan, shipowners seek alternatives

Y▲7

Strait of Hormuz remains closed amid US-Iran blockades

Y▲7

✓ 35h

Trump pauses US operation guiding vessels through Strait of Hormuz amid talks

Y▲7

Strait of Hormuz closure reroutes shipping, strains African port capacity

NO ▲1¢ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 1 article Developing

8% ▼1¢

⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT

N▲1

11m

Iran considers sending enriched uranium to US amid negotiation talks

NO ▲1¢ Iran military action against neighbors 6 articles Developing

10% ▼1¢

⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 7% FLAT

N▲1

25m

US escorts ships through GPS-jammed Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions

N▲3

UAE intercepts Iranian missiles amid Gulf tensions over Project Freedom

Y↑

✓ 22h

Iran seeks comprehensive agreement with US amid diplomatic overtures

Y↑

UAE marks armed forces’ 50th anniversary amid Iran tensions

N▲3

✓ 24h

Iran engages drones over Qeshm Island amid heightened military alertness

N▲4

6h

Iran continues attacks despite ceasefire, UAE reports over 500 missile strikes

NO ▲1¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026 1 article · 2h ago

4% ▼1¢

⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT

N▲1

✓ 22h

Russia accused of ceasefire violation amid ongoing Ukraine conflict escalation

YES ▲1¢ Iran leadership status by end of 2026 1 article · 2h ago

6% ▲1¢

⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT

Y▲1

Iran rejects US threats, leadership stability likely through 2026

NO ▲1¢ Israel airspace closure 1 article · 2h ago

2% ▼1¢

N▲1

Israel orders evacuation of 12 Lebanese villages amid military escalation

NO ▲1¢ Israel withdraws from lebanon 2 articles · 3h ago

2% ▼1¢

N▲1

IDF strikes Hezbollah targets, impacting Israel withdrawal market sentiment

N▲1

Israel bombs 21 Lebanese villages amid ceasefire, raising withdrawal concerns

YES ▲1¢ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 3 articles · 3h ago

6% ▲1¢

⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT

Y▲1

Iran warns UAE over US-Israel ties, peace deal odds drop

N▲1

US suspends ‘Project Freedom’ to facilitate Israel-Iran peace talks

Y▲13

House Democrats urge Trump to acknowledge Israel’s nuclear program

YES ▲1¢ Netanyahu out 1 article · 5h ago

6% ▲1¢

Y▲1

Netanyahu’s West Bank annexation plan sparks political instability concerns

Likely NO Bitcoin price predictions for may 4-10 1 article · 3h ago

100% ▼0¢

⚡ Bitcoin price on may 6 0% FLAT

⚡ Ethereum price above on may 6 100% FLAT

Y↑

Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs see major inflows amid market uncertainty

Likely NO Google stock price predictions 1 article · 4h ago

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

OpenAI, Anthropic drive US cloud demand, boost Google stock outlook for April

Likely NO Scotland parliamentary election winner 1 article · 4h ago

69% ▼0¢

Y↑

UK elections may test Starmer’s leadership amid Labour challenges

Likely NO ECB interest rates april 2026 1 article · 5h ago

3% ▼0¢

⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT

N↑

Poland holds interest rates steady amid Iran conflict-driven inflation pressures

Likely NO Meta platforms stock price predictions 1 article · 5h ago

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit record highs as AI chip stocks surge

Likely NO Sharjah secession from UAE 1 article · 5h ago

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

UAE exits OPEC amid Gulf tensions, impacting oil market dynamics

Likely YES Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 1 article Developing

65%

Y↑

1m

Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’ in Hormuz amid Pakistan mediation efforts

Likely NO Russia NATO invasion 1 article Developing

4% ▼0¢

⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 4% FLAT

⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT

Y↑

17m

Russian drones enter Romanian airspace, escalating NATO tensions

Likely NO Bitcoin price above on may 7 3 articles Developing

100% ▼0¢

⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT

⚡ Bitcoin price prediction for may 6 0% FLAT

Y↑

20m

Bitcoin nears $82,000 as oil drops 6% on US-Iran peace talks hopes

Y↑

Dollar hits 30-year low as Trump hints at possible Iran deal

N↑

Iran conflict drives oil prices up, impacts Thailand inflation

Likely NO Next Israeli prime minister 1 article Developing

2% ▼0¢

⚡ Netanyahu out 4% FLAT

N↑

27m

Poll shows Likud may fall below 20 seats without Netanyahu

Likely NO Marco rubio press briefing statements 2 articles Developing

4% ▼0¢

Y↑

Rubio’s Vatican mission complicated by Trump-Pope clash over Iran policy

Y↑

US shifts to defensive posture in Hormuz as ‘Operation Epic Fury’ ends

Likely NO Spirit airlines shutdown 1 article Developing

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

✓ 21h

Spirit Airlines faces shutdown risk amid soaring jet fuel prices and flight cuts

Likely NO Trump's visit to China 2 articles Developing

100% ▼0¢

⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT

N↑

✓ 21h

China supplies drone parts to Iran, Russia despite US sanctions: WSJ

Y↑

6h

Trump, Xi to discuss Taiwan amid China’s military drills near island

Likely NO Ethereum price above on may 6 2 articles Developing

100% ▼0¢

Y↑

BitMine buys 101,745 ETH for $238M, boosting institutional demand

Y↑

Whale activity signals institutional interest in Ethereum as price holds above $1,800

Likely YES The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office 1 article Developing

100%

Y↑

The Devil Wears Prada 2 hits $90M-$100M opening weekend target

Likely NO Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 1 article Developing

4% ▼0¢

N↑