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8h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
8h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Solana price predictions for may
100% (was 1%, ▲99¢ in 8h)
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6: 0% FLAT
YES ▲99¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 8h ago
100%
▲99¢
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6 0% FLAT
8h 
NO ▲15¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 9h ago
50%
▼15¢
✓ 29h Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’ in Hormuz amid Pakistan mediation efforts
YES ▲9¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
2 articles
· 9h ago
72%
▲9¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
9h Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand, challenges Nvidia
10h Nvidia faces increased competition in AI processor market, market share declines
YES ▲2¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
4 articles
· 5h ago
50%
▲2¢
5h Iran seeks China’s mediation in US-Iran conflict over Strait of Hormuz
✓ 29h China urges reopening of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
✓ 210h US-Iran talks remain stalled, no agreement on key issues
YES ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
· 12h ago
5%
▲2¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 3% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 37% FLAT
✓ 312h CMA CGM vessel attacked in Strait of Hormuz, escalating regional tensions
YES ▲1¢
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
Developing
24%
▲1¢
✓ 21h Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
NO ▲1¢
Iran airspace closure
1 article
· 5h ago
4%
▼1¢
5h Iran airstrikes damage 228 US military targets in Middle East
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
3 articles
· 8h ago
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 38h Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
9h Pro-Kremlin lawyer criticizes Putin, highlighting rift in Russian power circles
✓ 211h Russia accused of ceasefire violation amid ongoing Ukraine conflict escalation
YES ▲1¢
Israel airspace closure
2 articles
· 9h ago
2%
▲1¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 8% FLAT
9h Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation
12h Israel orders evacuation of 12 Lebanese villages amid military escalation
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 9h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
9h Iran considers sending enriched uranium to US amid negotiation talks
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 11h ago
5%
▼1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 4% FLAT
11h Iran denies involvement in Korean vessel incident amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
12h Next to raise prices up outside Europe amid Iran conflict costs
NO ▲1¢
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
· 12h ago
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
12h Iran rejects US threats, leadership stability likely through 2026
NO ▲1¢
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 12h ago
2%
▼1¢
12h IDF strikes Hezbollah targets, impacting Israel withdrawal market sentiment
NO ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 13h ago
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
13h Iran warns UAE over US-Israel ties, peace deal odds drop
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
51m US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
10h US escorts ships through GPS-jammed Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
11h UAE intercepts Iranian missiles amid Gulf tensions over Project Freedom
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 16% FLAT
✓ 31h Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit
1 article
· 3h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 6% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 48% FLAT
✓ 23h USS George H.W. Bush enforces US naval blockade, redirects 52 vessels in Hormuz
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
3h Jerome Powell to stay on Fed board despite Trump legal challenges
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price predictions
1 article
· 5h ago
38%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 38% FLAT
5h Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
4 articles
· 5h ago
5%
▼0¢
✓ 35h France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
10h Thousands of ships stranded as Trump claims US “winning” Hormuz blockade
11h US suspends Strait of Hormuz ship guidance plan, shipowners seek alternatives
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on may 6
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 1% FLAT
5h Russia’s oil tax revenues hit six-month high amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 8h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% FLAT
8h Alphabet and Meta stock predictions show strong support amid cloud growth
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
· 9h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 29h Bitcoin surges past $82K amid easing US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Russia NATO invasion
1 article
· 9h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 4% FLAT
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
9h Russian drones enter Romanian airspace, escalating NATO tensions
Likely YES
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 10h ago
100%
10h The Devil Wears Prada 2 hits $90M-$100M opening weekend target
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 9h ago
100%
▼0¢
9h US adopts pre-verification AI policy amid China competition
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
1 article
· 9h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price prediction for may 6 0% FLAT
✓ 39h Bitcoin nears $82,000 as oil drops 6% on US-Iran peace talks hopes
Likely NO
Next Israeli prime minister
1 article
· 10h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 4% FLAT
10h Poll shows Likud may fall below 20 seats without Netanyahu
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 10h ago
4%
▼0¢
10h Ukraine escalates drone strikes deep into Russia, targeting Moscow and beyond
Likely NO
Marco rubio press briefing statements
1 article
· 11h ago
4%
▼0¢
11h Rubio’s Vatican mission complicated by Trump-Pope clash over Iran policy
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 11h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 211h Spirit Airlines faces shutdown risk amid soaring jet fuel prices and flight cuts
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 11h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
✓ 211h China supplies drone parts to Iran, Russia despite US sanctions: WSJ
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on may 6
1 article
· 11h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 211h ECB signals potential 50+ bps rate cut for April 2026 amid stable wage growth
Likely NO
Ethereum price above on may 6
2 articles
· 11h ago
100%
▼0¢
11h BitMine buys 101,745 ETH for $238M, boosting institutional demand
13h Whale activity signals institutional interest in Ethereum as price holds above $1,800
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 4-10
1 article
· 12h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 6 0% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price above on may 6 100% FLAT
12h Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs see major inflows amid market uncertainty