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12h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
12h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Solana price predictions for may
100% (was 1%, ▲99¢ in 12h)
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6: 0% FLAT
YES ▲99¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 12h ago
100%
▲99¢
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6 0% FLAT
12h 
NO ▲16¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 13h ago
49%
▼16¢
✓ 213h Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’ in Hormuz amid Pakistan mediation efforts
YES ▲15¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
2 articles
· 12h ago
78%
▲15¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
✓ 212h Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand, challenges Nvidia
14h Nvidia faces increased competition in AI processor market, market share declines
NO ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit
3 articles
Developing
49%
▼2¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 50% FLAT
1h Fujairah and Khor Fakkan become UAE trade hubs amid Iran tensions
3h US Navy strikes Iranian ship in Gulf of Oman amid Hormuz blockade tensions
✓ 26h USS George H.W. Bush enforces US naval blockade, redirects 52 vessels in Hormuz
YES ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
· 16h ago
5%
▲2¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 3% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 37% FLAT
✓ 316h CMA CGM vessel attacked in Strait of Hormuz, escalating regional tensions
YES ▲1¢
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
· 4h ago
24%
▲1¢
✓ 44h Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
NO ▲1¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 6h ago
3%
▼1¢
6h Jerome Powell to stay on Fed board despite Trump legal challenges
YES ▲1¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
4 articles
· 8h ago
49%
▲1¢
8h Iran seeks China’s mediation in US-Iran conflict over Strait of Hormuz
✓ 212h China urges reopening of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
✓ 213h US-Iran talks remain stalled, no agreement on key issues
NO ▲1¢
Iran airspace closure
1 article
· 9h ago
4%
▼1¢
✓ 29h Iran airstrikes damage 228 US military targets in Middle East
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
3 articles
· 12h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 312h Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
12h Pro-Kremlin lawyer criticizes Putin, highlighting rift in Russian power circles
✓ 215h Russia accused of ceasefire violation amid ongoing Ukraine conflict escalation
YES ▲1¢
Israel airspace closure
2 articles
· 12h ago
2%
▲1¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 8% FLAT
12h Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation
16h Israel orders evacuation of 12 Lebanese villages amid military escalation
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 13h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
13h Iran considers sending enriched uranium to US amid negotiation talks
NO ▲1¢
Russia NATO invasion
1 article
· 13h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 4% FLAT
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
13h Russian drones enter Romanian airspace, escalating NATO tensions
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 15h ago
5%
▼1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 4% FLAT
15h Iran denies involvement in Korean vessel incident amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
15h Next to raise prices up outside Europe amid Iran conflict costs
NO ▲1¢
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
· 15h ago
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
15h Iran rejects US threats, leadership stability likely through 2026
NO ▲1¢
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 16h ago
2%
▼1¢
16h IDF strikes Hezbollah targets, impacting Israel withdrawal market sentiment
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
· 4h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 44h US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
13h US escorts ships through GPS-jammed Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
15h UAE intercepts Iranian missiles amid Gulf tensions over Project Freedom
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 5h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 16% FLAT
✓ 35h Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price predictions
1 article
· 8h ago
38%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 38% FLAT
8h Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
4 articles
· 9h ago
5%
▼0¢
✓ 39h France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
14h Thousands of ships stranded as Trump claims US “winning” Hormuz blockade
14h US suspends Strait of Hormuz ship guidance plan, shipowners seek alternatives
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on may 6
1 article
· 9h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 1% FLAT
9h Russia’s oil tax revenues hit six-month high amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 12h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% FLAT
12h Alphabet and Meta stock predictions show strong support amid cloud growth
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
· 12h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 212h Bitcoin surges past $82K amid easing US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 12h ago
100%
▼0¢
12h US adopts pre-verification AI policy amid China competition
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
1 article
· 13h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price prediction for may 6 0% FLAT
✓ 313h Bitcoin nears $82,000 as oil drops 6% on US-Iran peace talks hopes
Likely NO
Next Israeli prime minister
1 article
· 13h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 4% FLAT
13h Poll shows Likud may fall below 20 seats without Netanyahu
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 14h ago
4%
▼0¢
14h Ukraine escalates drone strikes deep into Russia, targeting Moscow and beyond
Likely NO
Marco rubio press briefing statements
1 article
· 14h ago
4%
▼0¢
14h Rubio’s Vatican mission complicated by Trump-Pope clash over Iran policy
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 14h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 214h Spirit Airlines faces shutdown risk amid soaring jet fuel prices and flight cuts
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 14h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
✓ 214h China supplies drone parts to Iran, Russia despite US sanctions: WSJ
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on may 6
1 article
· 15h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 215h ECB signals potential 50+ bps rate cut for April 2026 amid stable wage growth
Likely NO
Ethereum price above on may 6
1 article
· 15h ago
100%
▼0¢
15h BitMine buys 101,745 ETH for $238M, boosting institutional demand
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 4-10
1 article
· 16h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 6 0% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price above on may 6 100% FLAT
16h Bitcoin, Ethereum ETFs see major inflows amid market uncertainty
Likely YES
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 14h ago
100%
14h The Devil Wears Prada 2 hits $90M-$100M opening weekend target