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13h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
13h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Solana price predictions for may
100% (was 1%, ▲99¢ in 13h)
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6: 0% FLAT
YES ▲99¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 13h ago
100%
▲99¢
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6 0% FLAT
13h 
YES ▲15¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
2 articles
· 13h ago
78%
▲15¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
✓ 213h Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand, challenges Nvidia
15h Nvidia faces increased competition in AI processor market, market share declines
NO ▲14¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 14h ago
51%
▼14¢
✓ 214h Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’ in Hormuz amid Pakistan mediation efforts
YES ▲3¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
4 articles
· 10h ago
51%
▲3¢
10h Iran seeks China’s mediation in US-Iran conflict over Strait of Hormuz
✓ 214h China urges reopening of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
✓ 214h US-Iran talks remain stalled, no agreement on key issues
NO ▲3¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 16h ago
3%
▼3¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 4% FLAT
16h Iran denies involvement in Korean vessel incident amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
16h Next to raise prices up outside Europe amid Iran conflict costs
YES ▲2¢
Epstein suicide note release
1 article
Developing
11%
▲2¢
✓ 754m Federal judge unseals Jeffrey Epstein’s alleged suicide note
NO ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
4 articles
· 10h ago
3%
▼2¢
✓ 310h France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
15h Thousands of ships stranded as Trump claims US “winning” Hormuz blockade
16h US suspends Strait of Hormuz ship guidance plan, shipowners seek alternatives
YES ▲1¢
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
· 5h ago
24%
▲1¢
✓ 45h Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
NO ▲1¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 8h ago
3%
▼1¢
8h Jerome Powell to stay on Fed board despite Trump legal challenges
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
3 articles
· 13h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 313h Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
13h Pro-Kremlin lawyer criticizes Putin, highlighting rift in Russian power circles
✓ 216h Russia accused of ceasefire violation amid ongoing Ukraine conflict escalation
YES ▲1¢
Israel airspace closure
2 articles
· 13h ago
2%
▲1¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 8% FLAT
13h Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation
17h Israel orders evacuation of 12 Lebanese villages amid military escalation
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 14h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
14h Iran considers sending enriched uranium to US amid negotiation talks
NO ▲1¢
Russia NATO invasion
1 article
· 14h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 4% FLAT
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
14h Russian drones enter Romanian airspace, escalating NATO tensions
NO ▲1¢
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
· 16h ago
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
16h Iran rejects US threats, leadership stability likely through 2026
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit
4 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 5% FLAT
31m Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global oil transit
2h Fujairah and Khor Fakkan become UAE trade hubs amid Iran tensions
4h US Navy strikes Iranian ship in Gulf of Oman amid Hormuz blockade tensions
Likely YES
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 15h ago
100%
15h The Devil Wears Prada 2 hits $90M-$100M opening weekend target
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
43m Trump warns Iran of more attacks amid stalled peace talks
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
· 5h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 55h US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
14h US escorts ships through GPS-jammed Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
16h UAE intercepts Iranian missiles amid Gulf tensions over Project Freedom
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 6h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 16% FLAT
✓ 36h Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price predictions
1 article
· 9h ago
38%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 38% FLAT
9h Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on may 6
1 article
· 10h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 1% FLAT
10h Russia’s oil tax revenues hit six-month high amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
1 article
· 10h ago
28%
▼0¢
✓ 210h Iran airstrikes damage 228 US military targets in Middle East
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 13h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% FLAT
13h Alphabet and Meta stock predictions show strong support amid cloud growth
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
· 13h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 213h Bitcoin surges past $82K amid easing US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 14h ago
100%
▼0¢
14h US adopts pre-verification AI policy amid China competition
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
1 article
· 14h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price prediction for may 6 0% FLAT
✓ 314h Bitcoin nears $82,000 as oil drops 6% on US-Iran peace talks hopes
Likely NO
Next Israeli prime minister
1 article
· 14h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 4% FLAT
14h Poll shows Likud may fall below 20 seats without Netanyahu
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 15h ago
4%
▼0¢
15h Ukraine escalates drone strikes deep into Russia, targeting Moscow and beyond
Likely NO
Marco rubio press briefing statements
1 article
· 15h ago
4%
▼0¢
15h Rubio’s Vatican mission complicated by Trump-Pope clash over Iran policy
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 16h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 216h Spirit Airlines faces shutdown risk amid soaring jet fuel prices and flight cuts
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 16h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
✓ 216h China supplies drone parts to Iran, Russia despite US sanctions: WSJ
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on may 6
1 article
· 16h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 216h ECB signals potential 50+ bps rate cut for April 2026 amid stable wage growth
Likely NO
Ethereum price above on may 6
1 article
· 16h ago
100%
▼0¢
16h BitMine buys 101,745 ETH for $238M, boosting institutional demand