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14h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
14h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Solana price predictions for may
100% (was 1%, ▲99¢ in 14h)
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6: 0% FLAT
YES ▲99¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 14h ago
100%
▲99¢
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6 0% FLAT
14h 
NO ▲16¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 15h ago
49%
▼16¢
✓ 215h Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’ in Hormuz amid Pakistan mediation efforts
YES ▲15¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
2 articles
· 15h ago
78%
▲15¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
✓ 215h Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand, challenges Nvidia
16h Nvidia faces increased competition in AI processor market, market share declines
YES ▲3¢
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
· 7h ago
26%
▲3¢
✓ 47h Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
YES ▲2¢
Epstein suicide note release
1 article
· 2h ago
11%
▲2¢
✓ 82h Federal judge unseals Jeffrey Epstein’s alleged suicide note
NO ▲2¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 17h ago
4%
▼2¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 4% FLAT
17h Iran denies involvement in Korean vessel incident amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
17h Next to raise prices up outside Europe amid Iran conflict costs
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit
4 articles
Developing
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 5% FLAT
1h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global oil transit
3h Fujairah and Khor Fakkan become UAE trade hubs amid Iran tensions
5h US Navy strikes Iranian ship in Gulf of Oman amid Hormuz blockade tensions
NO ▲1¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 9h ago
3%
▼1¢
9h Jerome Powell to stay on Fed board despite Trump legal challenges
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil price predictions
1 article
· 11h ago
37%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 38% FLAT
11h Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
YES ▲1¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
4 articles
· 11h ago
49%
▲1¢
11h Iran seeks China’s mediation in US-Iran conflict over Strait of Hormuz
✓ 215h China urges reopening of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
✓ 216h US-Iran talks remain stalled, no agreement on key issues
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
4 articles
· 11h ago
4%
▼1¢
✓ 311h France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
16h Thousands of ships stranded as Trump claims US “winning” Hormuz blockade
17h US suspends Strait of Hormuz ship guidance plan, shipowners seek alternatives
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
3 articles
· 14h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 314h Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
15h Pro-Kremlin lawyer criticizes Putin, highlighting rift in Russian power circles
✓ 217h Russia accused of ceasefire violation amid ongoing Ukraine conflict escalation
YES ▲1¢
Israel airspace closure
2 articles
· 14h ago
2%
▲1¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 8% FLAT
14h Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation
18h Israel orders evacuation of 12 Lebanese villages amid military escalation
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 15h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
15h Iran considers sending enriched uranium to US amid negotiation talks
NO ▲1¢
Russia NATO invasion
1 article
· 15h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 4% FLAT
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
15h Russian drones enter Romanian airspace, escalating NATO tensions
NO ▲1¢
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
· 18h ago
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
18h Iran rejects US threats, leadership stability likely through 2026
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
1h Trump warns Iran of more attacks amid stalled peace talks
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
· 6h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 66h US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
15h US escorts ships through GPS-jammed Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
17h UAE intercepts Iranian missiles amid Gulf tensions over Project Freedom
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on may 6
1 article
· 11h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 1% FLAT
11h Russia’s oil tax revenues hit six-month high amid Middle East tensions
Likely YES
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 16h ago
100%
16h The Devil Wears Prada 2 hits $90M-$100M opening weekend target
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 7h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 16% FLAT
✓ 37h Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
1 article
· 11h ago
28%
▼0¢
✓ 211h Iran airstrikes damage 228 US military targets in Middle East
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 14h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% FLAT
14h Alphabet and Meta stock predictions show strong support amid cloud growth
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
· 14h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 214h Bitcoin surges past $82K amid easing US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 15h ago
100%
▼0¢
15h US adopts pre-verification AI policy amid China competition
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
1 article
· 15h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price prediction for may 6 0% FLAT
✓ 315h Bitcoin nears $82,000 as oil drops 6% on US-Iran peace talks hopes
Likely NO
Next Israeli prime minister
1 article
· 15h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 4% FLAT
15h Poll shows Likud may fall below 20 seats without Netanyahu
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 16h ago
4%
▼0¢
16h Ukraine escalates drone strikes deep into Russia, targeting Moscow and beyond
Likely NO
Marco rubio press briefing statements
1 article
· 16h ago
4%
▼0¢
16h Rubio’s Vatican mission complicated by Trump-Pope clash over Iran policy
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 17h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 217h Spirit Airlines faces shutdown risk amid soaring jet fuel prices and flight cuts
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 17h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
✓ 217h China supplies drone parts to Iran, Russia despite US sanctions: WSJ
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on may 6
1 article
· 17h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 217h ECB signals potential 50+ bps rate cut for April 2026 amid stable wage growth
Likely NO
Ethereum price above on may 6
1 article
· 17h ago
100%
▼0¢
17h BitMine buys 101,745 ETH for $238M, boosting institutional demand