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18h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
18h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Solana price predictions for may
100% (was 1%, ▲99¢ in 18h)
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6: 0% FLAT
YES ▲99¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 18h ago
100%
▲99¢
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6 0% FLAT
18h 
NO ▲15¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 19h ago
50%
▼15¢
✓ 219h Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’ in Hormuz amid Pakistan mediation efforts
YES ▲14¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
2 articles
· 18h ago
77%
▲14¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
✓ 218h Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand, challenges Nvidia
20h Nvidia faces increased competition in AI processor market, market share declines
YES ▲7¢
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
· 10h ago
30%
▲7¢
✓ 510h Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
YES ▲5¢
Epstein suicide note release
1 article
· 5h ago
14%
▲5¢
✓ 95h Federal judge unseals Jeffrey Epstein’s alleged suicide note
YES ▲2¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
4 articles
· 14h ago
50%
▲2¢
14h Iran seeks China’s mediation in US-Iran conflict over Strait of Hormuz
✓ 218h China urges reopening of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
✓ 219h US-Iran talks remain stalled, no agreement on key issues
NO ▲2¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 21h ago
4%
▼2¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 4% FLAT
21h Iran denies involvement in Korean vessel incident amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
21h Next to raise prices up outside Europe amid Iran conflict costs
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit
4 articles
· 5h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 5% FLAT
5h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global oil transit
7h Fujairah and Khor Fakkan become UAE trade hubs amid Iran tensions
9h US Navy strikes Iranian ship in Gulf of Oman amid Hormuz blockade tensions
NO ▲1¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 12h ago
3%
▼1¢
12h Jerome Powell to stay on Fed board despite Trump legal challenges
YES ▲1¢
WTI crude oil price predictions
1 article
· 14h ago
39%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 38% FLAT
14h Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
4 articles
· 15h ago
4%
▼1¢
✓ 315h France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
20h Thousands of ships stranded as Trump claims US “winning” Hormuz blockade
20h US suspends Strait of Hormuz ship guidance plan, shipowners seek alternatives
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
3 articles
· 18h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 318h Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
18h Pro-Kremlin lawyer criticizes Putin, highlighting rift in Russian power circles
✓ 221h Russia accused of ceasefire violation amid ongoing Ukraine conflict escalation
YES ▲1¢
Israel airspace closure
2 articles
· 18h ago
2%
▲1¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 8% FLAT
18h Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation
22h Israel orders evacuation of 12 Lebanese villages amid military escalation
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 19h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
19h Iran considers sending enriched uranium to US amid negotiation talks
NO ▲1¢
Russia NATO invasion
1 article
· 19h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 4% FLAT
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
19h Russian drones enter Romanian airspace, escalating NATO tensions
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 5h ago
8%
▼0¢
5h Trump warns Iran of more attacks amid stalled peace talks
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
· 10h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 610h US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
19h US escorts ships through GPS-jammed Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
21h UAE intercepts Iranian missiles amid Gulf tensions over Project Freedom
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 11h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 16% FLAT
✓ 311h Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on may 6
1 article
· 15h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 1% FLAT
15h Russia’s oil tax revenues hit six-month high amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
1 article
· 15h ago
28%
▼0¢
✓ 215h Iran airstrikes damage 228 US military targets in Middle East
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 18h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% FLAT
18h Alphabet and Meta stock predictions show strong support amid cloud growth
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
· 18h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 218h Bitcoin surges past $82K amid easing US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 18h ago
100%
▼0¢
18h US adopts pre-verification AI policy amid China competition
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
1 article
· 19h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price prediction for may 6 0% FLAT
✓ 319h Bitcoin nears $82,000 as oil drops 6% on US-Iran peace talks hopes
Likely NO
Next Israeli prime minister
1 article
· 19h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 4% FLAT
19h Poll shows Likud may fall below 20 seats without Netanyahu
Likely YES
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 20h ago
100%
20h The Devil Wears Prada 2 hits $90M-$100M opening weekend target
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 20h ago
4%
▼0¢
20h Ukraine escalates drone strikes deep into Russia, targeting Moscow and beyond
Likely NO
Marco rubio press briefing statements
1 article
· 20h ago
4%
▼0¢
20h Rubio’s Vatican mission complicated by Trump-Pope clash over Iran policy
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 20h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 220h Spirit Airlines faces shutdown risk amid soaring jet fuel prices and flight cuts
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 20h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
✓ 220h China supplies drone parts to Iran, Russia despite US sanctions: WSJ
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on may 6
1 article
· 21h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 221h ECB signals potential 50+ bps rate cut for April 2026 amid stable wage growth
Likely NO
Ethereum price above on may 6
1 article
· 21h ago
100%
▼0¢
21h BitMine buys 101,745 ETH for $238M, boosting institutional demand
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
· 21h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
21h Iran rejects US threats, leadership stability likely through 2026