Earn with Nexo
19h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
19h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Solana price predictions for may
100% (was 1%, ▲99¢ in 19h)
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6: 0% FLAT
YES ▲99¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 19h ago
100%
▲99¢
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6 0% FLAT
19h 
YES ▲14¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
2 articles
· 19h ago
77%
▲14¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
✓ 219h Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand, challenges Nvidia
21h Nvidia faces increased competition in AI processor market, market share declines
NO ▲14¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 20h ago
51%
▼14¢
✓ 220h Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’ in Hormuz amid Pakistan mediation efforts
YES ▲6¢
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
· 11h ago
29%
▲6¢
✓ 511h Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
YES ▲3¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
4 articles
· 16h ago
51%
▲3¢
16h Iran seeks China’s mediation in US-Iran conflict over Strait of Hormuz
✓ 220h China urges reopening of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
✓ 220h US-Iran talks remain stalled, no agreement on key issues
YES ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit
4 articles
· 6h ago
5%
▲2¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 5% FLAT
6h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global oil transit
8h Fujairah and Khor Fakkan become UAE trade hubs amid Iran tensions
10h US Navy strikes Iranian ship in Gulf of Oman amid Hormuz blockade tensions
YES ▲2¢
Epstein suicide note release
1 article
· 6h ago
11%
▲2¢
✓ 106h Federal judge unseals Jeffrey Epstein’s alleged suicide note
YES ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 6h ago
5%
▲1¢
6h Trump warns Iran of more attacks amid stalled peace talks
NO ▲1¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 14h ago
3%
▼1¢
14h Jerome Powell to stay on Fed board despite Trump legal challenges
YES ▲1¢
WTI crude oil price predictions
1 article
· 16h ago
39%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 38% FLAT
16h Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
3 articles
· 19h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 319h Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
19h Pro-Kremlin lawyer criticizes Putin, highlighting rift in Russian power circles
✓ 222h Russia accused of ceasefire violation amid ongoing Ukraine conflict escalation
YES ▲1¢
Israel airspace closure
2 articles
· 19h ago
2%
▲1¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 8% FLAT
19h Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation
23h Israel orders evacuation of 12 Lebanese villages amid military escalation
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 20h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
20h Iran considers sending enriched uranium to US amid negotiation talks
NO ▲1¢
Russia NATO invasion
1 article
· 20h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 4% FLAT
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
20h Russian drones enter Romanian airspace, escalating NATO tensions
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 22h ago
5%
▼1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 4% FLAT
22h Iran denies involvement in Korean vessel incident amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
22h Next to raise prices up outside Europe amid Iran conflict costs
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
· 11h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 611h US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
20h US escorts ships through GPS-jammed Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
22h UAE intercepts Iranian missiles amid Gulf tensions over Project Freedom
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
1 article
· 16h ago
28%
▼0¢
✓ 216h Iran airstrikes damage 228 US military targets in Middle East
Likely YES
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 21h ago
100%
21h The Devil Wears Prada 2 hits $90M-$100M opening weekend target
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 12h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 16% FLAT
✓ 312h Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
4 articles
· 16h ago
5%
▼0¢
✓ 316h France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
21h Thousands of ships stranded as Trump claims US “winning” Hormuz blockade
22h US suspends Strait of Hormuz ship guidance plan, shipowners seek alternatives
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on may 6
1 article
· 16h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 1% FLAT
16h Russia’s oil tax revenues hit six-month high amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 19h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% FLAT
19h Alphabet and Meta stock predictions show strong support amid cloud growth
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
· 19h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 219h Bitcoin surges past $82K amid easing US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 20h ago
100%
▼0¢
20h US adopts pre-verification AI policy amid China competition
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
1 article
· 20h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price prediction for may 6 0% FLAT
✓ 320h Bitcoin nears $82,000 as oil drops 6% on US-Iran peace talks hopes
Likely NO
Next Israeli prime minister
1 article
· 20h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 4% FLAT
20h Poll shows Likud may fall below 20 seats without Netanyahu
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 21h ago
4%
▼0¢
21h Ukraine escalates drone strikes deep into Russia, targeting Moscow and beyond
Likely NO
Marco rubio press briefing statements
1 article
· 21h ago
4%
▼0¢
21h Rubio’s Vatican mission complicated by Trump-Pope clash over Iran policy
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 22h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 222h Spirit Airlines faces shutdown risk amid soaring jet fuel prices and flight cuts
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 22h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
✓ 222h China supplies drone parts to Iran, Russia despite US sanctions: WSJ
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on may 6
1 article
· 22h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 222h ECB signals potential 50+ bps rate cut for April 2026 amid stable wage growth
Likely NO
Ethereum price above on may 6
1 article
· 22h ago
100%
▼0¢
22h BitMine buys 101,745 ETH for $238M, boosting institutional demand
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
· 22h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
22h Iran rejects US threats, leadership stability likely through 2026